How it plays out: 2010 Mock Draft

Robin Brownlee
June 23 2010 10:52AM

TORONTO - APRIL 13: Deputy Commissioner of the NHL Bill Daly announces top pick to the Edmonton Oilers during the NHL Draft Lottery Drawing at the TSN Studio April 13, 2010 in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. (Photo by Abelimages / Getty Images for NHL)

LOS ANGELES -- After Tyler and Taylor, then what?

While there's no doubt Tyler Seguin and Taylor Hall will be the top two picks at the 2010 Entry Draft, there's plenty of debate about who fits where in the next 28 slots in the first round.

Based on the needs of teams, conversations I've had with scouts and NHL reporters and educated guesswork, here's how I see the top-30 shaping up at the Staples Center Friday.

TOP 10

1. Edmonton -- TYLER SEGUIN. Oilers GM Steve Tambellini has kept his cards close to the vest in an attempt to get something from Boston to pass on Taylor Hall, but I think the slick pivot from Plymouth is his guy.

2. Boston (from Toronto) -- TAYLOR HALL. GM Peter Chiarelli hasn't stated a preference between Seguin and Hall, but I say he wants the big left-winger from Windsor. He'll give Tambellini something to get him.

3. Florida -- ERIK GUDBRANSON. New GM Dale Tallon made waves on Tuesday by getting the 15th pick from Boston for Nathan Horton. He'll keep this one and I'm thinking Gudbranson is his man.

4. Columbus -- CAM FOWLER. GM Scott Howson has been working the phones because he's willing to move down if he can get an asset to do it. If Howson can't swing something, Fowler fits his needs for a puck-mover.

5. New York Islanders -- BRETT CONNOLLY. Despite playing just 16 games with Prince George because of a hip injury, Connolly is a top-three talent. I can't see Islanders GM Garth Snow laying off him.

6. Tampa Bay -- RYAN JOHANSEN. I can see new Lightning GM Steve Yzerman taking a long look at super-skilled RW Nino Niederreiter, but my hunch is he'll take the big, rangy centre from the Winterhawks.

7. Carolina -- NINO NIEDERREITER. I don't see how Hurricanes GM Jim Rutherford can pass on a goal-scorer like the Portland right-winger, although getting defenceman Brandon Gormley here would be tempting.

8. Atlanta -- BRANDON GORMLEY. If Carolina doesn't take Niederreiter, Thrashers GM Rick Dudley will, but I'm thinking he'll happily "settle" for the versatile Moncton rearguard.

9. Minnesota -- MIKAEL GRANLUND. Smallish centre led all Finnish Elite League rookies in scoring (13-27-40) with HIFK Helsinki and the Wild can certainly use some offensive creativity in the middle.

10. New York Rangers -- ALEXANDER BURMISTROV. Barrie centre has the sizzling offensive flair that could make him a big hit on Broadway. I don't see GM Glen Sather being able to resist.

THE SECOND TIER

11. Dallas -- JEFF SKINNER. An off-the-board pick, given his No. 34 ranking by CSS, but moved 13 spots from mid-term. Kitchener winger had 20 goals and 33 points in OHL playoffs. He can flat-out score.

12. Anaheim -- DYLAN MCILRATH. The Ducks need a big, nasty defenceman to fill the void left by Chris Pronger, and the six-foot-four, 215-pounder from Moose Jaw is tough as nails and mean as hell.

13. Phoenix (from Calgary) -- DEREK FORBORT. GM Don Maloney will have to wait on the six-foot-five blueliner because he's committed to the U of North Dakota for 2010, but he's a tempting pick here.

14. St. Louis -- JACK CAMPBELL. Unless somebody falls out of the top 10 into his lap, I can't see old goaltender John Davidson passing up a crack at a quality stopper, and Campbell is certainly that.

15. Florida (from Boston) -- AUSTIN WATSON. If Tallon keeps this pick, I see Watson, a six-foot-three left-winger who started the season with Hall in Windsor and finished it in Peterborough, as being a fit.

16. Ottawa -- VLADIMIR TARASENKO. Stocky right winger has two seasons in the KHL on his resume at 18 years old and has excelled despite limited ice time. He's a talent.

17. Colorado -- NICK BJUGSTAD. Big pivot scored 29 goals and had 60 points in just 25 games with Blaine High School in Minnesota. He's a long-term project who could be worth the wait.

18. Nashville -- EMERSON ETEM. The Predators could use the kind of offence the speedy Etem, who scored 37 goals as a rookie with the Medicine Hat Tigers, brings to the table.

19. Los Angeles -- BEAU BENNETT. Under-valued at No. 32 in CSS rankings, Bennett had 120 points as a rookie with Penticton of the BCJHL. The big right-winger will attend Denver University next season.

20. Pittsburgh -- MARK PYSYK. This smallish blueliner from the Edmonton Oil Kings is ranked higher than this by CSS despite having his season cut short by a broken foot. Not a "big-bang" pick.

THIRD-STRINGERS

21. Detroit -- KIRILL KABANOV. He's a top-10 talent but a wildcard in terms of off-ice issues and maturity. Wouldn't it be like GM Ken Holland and the Red Wings to set him straight and steal him here?

22. Phoenix -- TYLER PITLICK. A big forward who can play centre or wing, Pitlick led Minnesota State freshmen with 19 points in 38 games. In 2008-09, he had 62 points in 27 games with Centennial HS.

23. Buffalo -- JARRED TINORDI. Has the bloodlines as the son of former NHLer Mark Tinordi. He's a six-foot-six defenceman who captained the U.S. Under-18 team. CSS has him grossly underrated at No. 38.

24. Atlanta (from New Jersey) -- EVGENY KUZNETZOV. Ranked No. 3 by CSS among European skaters, Kuznetzov has more skill than his numbers (2-7-9 in 35 games) with Chelyabinsk in Russia showed.

25. Vancouver -- QUINTON HOWDEN. Moose Jaw center moved up 10 spots to No. 19 from his CSS mid-term ranking. Scored 28-37-65 in 65 games with the Warriors. Skates well for his size, like a Ryan Kesler.

26. Washington -- RILEY SHEAHAN. He dropped 17 spots from his CSS mid-term ranking as No. 5, but the lanky Notre Dame centre projects as a solid two-way pivot.

27. Montreal -- JONATHAN MERRILL. A puck-mover with size at six-foot-three, Merrill spent 2009-10 with the U.S. Under-18 team. He's a project, as he's committed to the University of Michigan next season.

28. San Jose -- JOHN MCFARLAND. Sudbury forward was ranked No. 10 by CSS at mid-term, but had a bad season and dropped five spots. He isn't a big scorer, but he can skate and he plays a physical game.

29. Anaheim (from Philadelphia) -- TYLER TOFFOLI. Undersized centre had 37 goals and 79 points despite a brutal start to the season with the Ottawa 67s. Projects as a two-way type with some offensive upside.

30. Chicago -- CALVIN PICKARD. The top-ranked NA goaltender is the big reason the woeful Seattle Thunderbirds of the WHL hit double-digits for wins. His .914 saves percentage was miraculous on a team this bad.

Listen to Robin Brownlee Wednesdays and Thursdays from 4 p.m. to 6 p.m. on the Jason Gregor Show on TEAM 1260.

Aceb4a1816f5fa09879a023b07d1a9b4
A sports writer since 1983, including stints at The Edmonton Journal and The Sun 1989-2007, I happily co-host the Jason Gregor Show on TSN 1260 twice a week and write when so inclined. Have the best damn lawn on the internet. Most important, I am Sam's dad. Follow me on Twitter at Robin_Brownlee. Or don't.
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#51 Senator Theo
June 23 2010, 02:15PM
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swany wrote:

RB you are either going to look like a mind reader or a chump. Matheson, Stauffer, Spector, Bobby Mac Dreger all think the Oil will pick Hall. So either you can read Tambo's mind or you have some inside info that no one else has. I think you are the last guy holding on to the "Oil pick Seguin" mindset, good for you "if your right". From the Boston trade them getting Horton i see that as they Know Edmonton will take Hall so they made there trade for a winger, now they will trade Savard to the Bruins for Kaberle and draft Seguin to play centre.

It's not a mystery - Robin isn't trying to get you to figure anything out. He's saying his inside information tells him that the Oilers will pick Seguin.

There is no puzzle here to try and decipher.

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#52 chad
June 23 2010, 02:21PM
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What inside info? Then I guess all the other reporters and inside guys who say their inside info says Oilers pick Hall is wrong?

If the Oilers pick Segan then they will of blown another draft. It is stupid to pick according to position. You pick the winner and the best player now. To see into a crystal ball who will be better in 5 years is absurd. You pick the sure thing now and the best player available.

Robin has been on this Segan kick for quite awhile like a number of Edmonton reporters. Thats why Edmonton has always screwed up the draft. They try and see into a crystal ball instead of picking the best player available.

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#53 Oil is my blood
June 23 2010, 02:36PM
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Thanks for the top 30, Robin. But why wouldn't you go out on a limb and do the top 31???

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#54 Archaeologuy
June 23 2010, 02:41PM
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chad wrote:

What inside info? Then I guess all the other reporters and inside guys who say their inside info says Oilers pick Hall is wrong?

If the Oilers pick Segan then they will of blown another draft. It is stupid to pick according to position. You pick the winner and the best player now. To see into a crystal ball who will be better in 5 years is absurd. You pick the sure thing now and the best player available.

Robin has been on this Segan kick for quite awhile like a number of Edmonton reporters. Thats why Edmonton has always screwed up the draft. They try and see into a crystal ball instead of picking the best player available.

I sure as hell hope the Oilers dont draft Segan. I've never even heard of that kid! What position does he even play?

Now that Seguin kid, I wouldnt mind that guy. Scored more goals than Hall, plays a tougher position, is better defensively, OHL player of the year, CHL prospect of the year, Captain of his club, physical beast according to the NHL combine, and doesnt look like a man-pig.

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#55 Chris A
June 23 2010, 02:50PM
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Don't hold your breath for the Pens to take Pysyk at #20. They need a winger far more than a defenseman and they need a big defenseman far more than they need a small one.

I would be shocked if they take someone like Pysyk.

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#56 Crash
June 23 2010, 03:08PM
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Archaeologuy wrote:

I sure as hell hope the Oilers dont draft Segan. I've never even heard of that kid! What position does he even play?

Now that Seguin kid, I wouldnt mind that guy. Scored more goals than Hall, plays a tougher position, is better defensively, OHL player of the year, CHL prospect of the year, Captain of his club, physical beast according to the NHL combine, and doesnt look like a man-pig.

Sorry, have to comment...I've never understood people's need to hurl personal insults on a guy, not sure what that proves or what it has to do with who the Oilers should draft..

Also where is it written that Seguin is better defensively or where is the proof of that? Hall killed penalties for Windsor and was also a plus 46 this year....doesn't really sound like a defensive liability to me.

Given what RB reported earlier this spring Hall had put on more weight than Seguin pushing his weight up to over 200lbs which I would take to mean he's more than likely a physical beast himself.

We've had this goal scoring arguement before so I won't go into that except to say that seeing as how you like to buy into what the scouts say they have said that despite Seguin finding the net slightly more this REGULAR SEASON and in 6 more games played, Hall is the more dynamic goal scorer than Seguin....

Hall is also the only player in CHL history to win back to back Memorial Cup MVP awards and was the best player on his team throughout the playoffs both years. He has been consistent since day one in the OHL and has proven that he is not a possible one year wonder.

Lastly Gregor mentioned in one of his recent articles that Hall wowed the Oilers in recent interviews showing great leadership abilities even moreso than Seguin although both were impressive.

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#57 Archaeologuy
June 23 2010, 03:16PM
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@Crash

Man-Pig. It's just a little fun. Relax.

I never said Hall was a liability

Hall is also the only player in history to win back to back Memorial Cup MVP awards and not win the Player of the Year award or the Prospect of the Year award.

Lastly, they are both great players, I wont cry if the Oil take Hall.

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#58 Senator Theo
June 23 2010, 03:17PM
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chad wrote:

What inside info? Then I guess all the other reporters and inside guys who say their inside info says Oilers pick Hall is wrong?

If the Oilers pick Segan then they will of blown another draft. It is stupid to pick according to position. You pick the winner and the best player now. To see into a crystal ball who will be better in 5 years is absurd. You pick the sure thing now and the best player available.

Robin has been on this Segan kick for quite awhile like a number of Edmonton reporters. Thats why Edmonton has always screwed up the draft. They try and see into a crystal ball instead of picking the best player available.

"What inside info?"? If Robin came on here and said, "I have inside info on the top-secret pick, and it cam from X", he wouldn't have inside info very much longer. If you're asking him to reveal his inside sources, my guess is he won't.

I don't think that Robin is saying he thinks Seguin is better, or that he would pick Seguin. Only that *his sources* tell him the Oilers will pick him. You can debate weather or not he was right after the draft, but given his track record, I'm inclined to believe him.

EDIT: "Inside info" only works if you keep the source private. Otherwise, it's not inside info anymore.

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#59 I'm a Scientist!
June 23 2010, 03:38PM
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PropJay wrote:

If the oilers take seguin there will be absolute hell to pay in edmonton with the fans. I really cannot see it happening. How would the edmonton Management explain why they went against every MSM outlet and scout possible? Only the edmonton reporters and scouts seem to be pumping Seguin and it would be the Biggest " I told you so" ever if he was drafted and then did not turn out to be the better player. Seguin is just the pick with too much risk involved!

Really? Hell to pay because we drafted a player that most consider to be an equal to Taylor Hall? They are obviously very close in their appeal or we wouldn't have had these arguments for the last 3 months.

I am on Team Seguin. I want a good center on our team for once. But at the same time, i am not going to burn down Rexall (as one commenter stated) if the team picks Hall. Taylor Hall is also an amazing prospect. So i really don't think we can lose. Raising hell for getting a good player is rediculous.

Have fun causing a one person riot - I think that is just called vandalism.

*runs off to make his I heart Taylor Segin t-shirt*

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#60 Senator Theo
June 23 2010, 03:43PM
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@I'm a Scientist!

well put - props to you sir.

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#61 I'm a Scientist!
June 23 2010, 04:06PM
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@Senator Theo

Thanks, if only i had saved it for the NEW aritcle on this exact same topic. Everyone has quit reading this one now. Le sigh.

Ballsy....AH, wrong article.

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#62 Senator Theo
June 23 2010, 04:48PM
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@I'm a Scientist!

I sometimes do that too - all my real gems are left languishing on articles no one clicks on anymore...the real low-IQ stuff I save for the current articles. ;)

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#63 Bob is your uncle
June 23 2010, 04:57PM
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Is this who you think or what you know in terms of Seguin over Hall. I really doubt that the Oilers are going to let a Hall pass by. Too much talent and proven to pass on. More to lose with Seguin then with Hall.

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#64 madjam
June 23 2010, 05:07PM
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Ogden Brother Jr. - Team Strudwick for coach wrote:

Why would we draft Beukeboom that high? There are better options.

We are talking Oilers here . Recall when they drafted Plante and Nash way ahead of what i felt they had to , and also gave up a very good second round choice that they probably didn't have to do to get Nash . I was so frustrated with that draft, and watching them bypass D. Perron twice , when i had him rated on par with S.Gagner ! Beukeboom is currently rated NBR. 41 and i doubt they'll wait to try and get him at our NBR. 48 pick . I'd wait , but i doubt Oilers would .

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#65 Nate Full of Hate
June 23 2010, 06:15PM
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5. New York Islanders -- BRETT CONNOLLY. Despite playing just 16 games with Prince George because of a hip injury, Connolly is a top-three talent. I can't see Islanders GM Garth Snow laying off him.

Garth Snow might lay off Connolly after drafting Rick Dipetro..

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#66 Phil
June 23 2010, 07:19PM
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people were saying this is a weak draft year? thats a damn fine top 10, hell, top 20. Skinner is going to be a steal for someone, I don't care how small he is.

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#67 R.A. Slapshotzky
June 24 2010, 09:27AM
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@Phil

I hear Skinner is this year's Eberle, but chances are he won't fall to 22nd. I bet he's gone by the 10th pick.

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#68 dayin01
June 25 2010, 03:30AM
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