Playoff Prediction Project: Stanley Cup Finals!

Jonathan Willis
May 30 2011 01:03AM

The Stanley Cup Finals start on Wednesday, and that gives everyone three days to get their picks in for the winner. After the jump, results from the first three rounds.

The Standings

Entrant Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Totals Win%
Lowetide 8 3 2 13 92.9%
Cam Davie 7 3 2 12 85.7%
Jonathan Willis 8 2 2 12 85.7%
Ashley 7 2 2 11 78.6%
Chickenplucker 6 3 2 11 78.6%
SumOil 7 2 2 11 78.6%
Home team record 6 2 2 10 71.4%
~S~K~ 5 3 2 10 71.4%
Aitch 6 3 1 10 71.4%
Clyde Frog 6 4   10 71.4%
CrazyCaptain88 7 2 1 10 71.4%
Pat Steinberg 6 3 1 10 71.4%
TigerUnderGlass 6 3 1 10 71.4%
Big Worm 7 1 1 9 64.3%
DDP 6 3   9 64.3%
greenlightning86 7 2   9 64.3%
hoil 6 2 1 9 64.3%
Horcsky 7 1 1 9 64.3%
Kent Wilson 6 2 1 9 64.3%
master of my domain 6 3   9 64.3%
mbam99 7 2   9 64.3%
mesh 7 2   9 64.3%
Oilerpride15 6 3   9 64.3%
Olaf Peacock 6 2 1 9 64.3%
Pilgor09 7 2 0 9 64.3%
Riles97 6 2 1 9 64.3%
Steve Lansky 4 3 2 9 64.3%
Thomas Drance 5 3 1 9 64.3%
Vanguard 6 3   9 64.3%
Wax Man Riley 7 2 0 9 64.3%
Woogie 7 2   9 64.3%
Beeker73 6 2   8 57.1%
Bigblue 5 3   8 57.1%
bretzky 6 2   8 57.1%
Bucknuck 5 3   8 57.1%
Bucky9 6 2   8 57.1%
Ender 5 3   8 57.1%
EvanAllTogether 6 1 1 8 57.1%
FlamesinHamilton 5 3   8 57.1%
Freezing Weather Fan 4 3 1 8 57.1%
ItsTheBGB 7 1   8 57.1%
Jason Gregor 6 1 1 8 57.1%
John Chambers 5 3   8 57.1%
MoJo 4 3 1 8 57.1%
Motel 7 1   8 57.1%
Skidplate 6 2   8 57.1%
Spydyr 6 1 1 8 57.1%
VATech 6 2   8 57.1%
Wanye Gretz 6 1 1 8 57.1%
Zimmy 7 1   8 57.1%
6zeppelin6 7     7 50.0%
A Sad Panda 6 1   7 50.0%
Archaeologuy 5 2   7 50.0%
cambosmash 5 2   7 50.0%
Chunklets 5 2   7 50.0%
Crash 4 3   7 50.0%
D 5 2 0 7 50.0%
dawgbone 7     7 50.0%
DougWeightProblem 6 1   7 50.0%
DrPow 5 1 1 7 50.0%
Eulers 5 2   7 50.0%
GLoKz0r 7     7 50.0%
Heavyd 7     7 50.0%
jayoilfan 5 2   7 50.0%
jbh 6 1   7 50.0%
Lord Tunderin' 7     7 50.0%
madjam 5 2   7 50.0%
Ninjai 6 1   7 50.0%
Ogden Brother Jr. 7     7 50.0%
Oil Rigz 4 2 1 7 50.0%
Oilcruzer 6 1   7 50.0%
OILISMYBLOOD 7     7 50.0%
OvenChicken8 5 2   7 50.0%
Quicksilver 5 2   7 50.0%
raretomediumrare 6 1   7 50.0%
Sheldon "Oilers Fan for Life!!!" 6 1   7 50.0%
Stone Hands McOsta 6 1   7 50.0%
Tayranchula 7     7 50.0%
The Iron Maiden 7     7 50.0%
theoil 5 1 1 7 50.0%
toprightcorner 7     7 50.0%
Tracie 6 1   7 50.0%
Woodguy 6   1 7 50.0%
Bash 6     6 42.9%
Blue Blooded 6     6 42.9%
BurkeTheTurd 6     6 42.9%
bwmcdoug 6     6 42.9%
chicago oiler 6     6 42.9%
d.fresh 6     6 42.9%
Draft Wiz 6     6 42.9%
E-Mac 6     6 42.9%
Eric Johnson 6     6 42.9%
Etown Rebel 6     6 42.9%
Feynman 4 2   6 42.9%
Gord 4 2   6 42.9%
GSP 4 2   6 42.9%
Hannibal 6     6 42.9%
I'm a Scientist 6     6 42.9%
Kodiak 6     6 42.9%
Mantastic 5 0 1 6 42.9%
Milli 6     6 42.9%
MWA1991 6     6 42.9%
oildrop 6 0   6 42.9%
Peterborough 6 0   6 42.9%
RLH 6     6 42.9%
Ron Burgundy 5 1   6 42.9%
schevvy 4 2   6 42.9%
smiliegirl15 6     6 42.9%
brah 5     5 35.7%
Colin 4 1   5 35.7%
Dakota 5     5 35.7%
Dmcc 5     5 35.7%
D-rek 5     5 35.7%
DRock 4 1   5 35.7%
Henri 5     5 35.7%
Homie 5     5 35.7%
Hoovisonfire 5     5 35.7%
Mark-LW 5 0   5 35.7%
me 5     5 35.7%
NastyNate 5 0   5 35.7%
necrobot 5     5 35.7%
oilfan86 4 1   5 35.7%
OilLeak 5 0   5 35.7%
Petr's Jofa 5     5 35.7%
Robinrussia 4 1   5 35.7%
SLAM 5     5 35.7%
smytty777 5     5 35.7%
Soft Hands McSteeley 5 0 0 5 35.7%
DieHard 4     4 28.6%
Dutchscooter 4     4 28.6%
Dyckster 4     4 28.6%
geoilerogist   3 1 4 28.6%
JeffG   4   4 28.6%
maimster 4     4 28.6%
mayorpoop 3 1   4 28.6%
night and daze 4     4 28.6%
TrentonL 4     4 28.6%
d_mac15   3   3 21.4%
Dominoiler   3   3 21.4%
J_Budd   3   3 21.4%
Jakethesnake 3     3 21.4%
Marcus   3   3 21.4%
Minister D- 3     3 21.4%
oliveplusgreen 3     3 21.4%
Rogue   3   3 21.4%
stilldrinkingthekoolaid   3   3 21.4%
bigsul   2   2 14.3%
brashpatrick   2   2 14.3%
buttermilk biscuits   2   2 14.3%
Cosmo   2   2 14.3%
funkyjaman   2   2 14.3%
Henry   2   2 14.3%
joel   2   2 14.3%
Luc   2   2 14.3%
marty   2   2 14.3%
OillsMyBlood   2   2 14.3%
Palt   1 1 2 14.3%
Rallan72   2   2 14.3%
sofarsogood   2   2 14.3%
Starving Student   2   2 14.3%
Theoil   2   2 14.3%
Dan the Man   1   1 7.1%
Dooz   1   1 7.1%
H.O.P.E   1   1 7.1%
Oilers4ever   1   1 7.1%
positivebrontefan   1   1 7.1%
Rugslinger   1   1 7.1%
SurfacetoAirMissile   1   1 7.1%
Twiggs   1   1 7.1%

If anybody sees any issues with their score, just let me know – we’re all fallible (well, Lowetide’s only technically fallible, based on his record).

Finals Picks

  • Cam Davie: Vancouver in six games
  • Thomas Drance: Vancouver in five games
  • Jason Gregor: Vancouver in six games
  • Wanye Gretz: Boston in six games
  • Steven Lansky: Boston in seven games
  • Lowetide: Boston in seven games
  • Patrick Steinberg: Vancouver in five games
  • Jonathan Willis: Vancouver in five games
  • Kent Wilson: Vancouver in six games
74b7cedc5d8bfbe88cf071309e98d2c3
Jonathan Willis is a freelance writer. He currently works for Oilers Nation, Sportsnet, the Edmonton Journal and Bleacher Report. He's co-written three books and worked for myriad websites, including Grantland, ESPN, The Score, and Hockey Prospectus. He was previously the founder and managing editor of Copper & Blue.
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#1 Lowetide
May 30 2011, 07:21AM
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I'm just going to post my prediction here if that's okay. Bruins in 7.

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#2 master of my domain
May 30 2011, 09:05AM
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I missed last round due to moving and having no computer and interweb hooked up. but since I moved to vancouver, Boston in 7. nothing would make me happier than to see all of the pain and dissapointment LIVE.

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#3 Mrs. Potato Dick
May 30 2011, 09:56AM
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jeanshorts wrote:

I don't know who Steve Lansky is but if his prediction comes true I will fellate him till the end of time.

#StopTheCanucks

Nasty dude. Surely there is an another way to show your unending appreciation. You'd have to tape a small TV screen to Steve's stomach to catch the games....or maybe just catch the radio broadcast. PS - Why no love for Lowetide?

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#4 Wax Man Riley
May 30 2011, 04:18PM
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Had my laptop stole.... Those jerks, so now I'm on the slow work computer.

Here it goes though.... Detroit in in 6... errr.. ummm.... San Jose? ... Dammit!

Ok, ok, For real... Vancouer in 6. Sorry boys, I hate to say it, I have bet with my heart against them all the way. Even though I said that if they beat Chicago in that game 7, they will win the cup... my heart just couldn't accept it.

Now, sadly..... It is time. Van in 6.

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#5 Big Perm
May 30 2011, 06:29PM
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Canucks accumulate three diving penalties in the first six games, while the Bruins' power-play finally ignites.

Bruins in six.

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#7 m3sh
May 30 2011, 10:40PM
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You have to hope for the game 7 Nucks loss, don't you?

In OT, right? Imagine the dejection on every face, it'd be priceless.

Damn, forgot to pick for previous round, I'd have taken 1 pt by my recall of what I was thinking pre CFs.

Bruins in 7

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#8 Wanye
May 30 2011, 11:42PM
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Next year my team name is going to start with an A so that I win the alphabetical tie rankings.

Look out for

AAAAAAAA Wanye Pizza

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#9 Mr. Pederson
May 31 2011, 03:51PM
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Vancouver in 5. Christ is hurts my heart to write that

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#10 Peterborough
May 31 2011, 09:48PM
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B's in 5! Die canucks bastards, Die!

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#11 Gman
May 30 2011, 01:36AM
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Look at that, Lowetide in fist place!

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#12 jeanshorts
May 30 2011, 02:21AM
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I don't know who Steve Lansky is but if his prediction comes true I will fellate him till the end of time.

#StopTheCanucks

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#13 Sheldon "Oilers Fan for Life!!!"
May 30 2011, 02:39AM
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LoweTide Please DO NOT pick the Canucks to win it all! If you Do there is a 92.2 chance you are right and I really do not want to start suffering this early.

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#14 Sheldon "Oilers Fan for Life!!!"
May 30 2011, 02:39AM
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Boston in 7

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#15 @Oilanderp
May 30 2011, 02:40AM
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I don't want it to happen but here's how I see it going down: Timmy steals one game and Roberta ****s the bed in another. Boston's meanness doesn't make up for their inability to score. VAN in 6, I guess. *sigh* Go BRUINS!

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#16 @Oilanderp
May 30 2011, 02:44AM
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Sheldon "Oilers Fan for Life!!!" wrote:

LoweTide Please DO NOT pick the Canucks to win it all! If you Do there is a 92.2 chance you are right and I really do not want to start suffering this early.

Some would say he has a 50% chance of being right.

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#17 robinrussia
May 30 2011, 03:17AM
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I sucked at this....next time pick with the brain and not the heart! -Curses Vancouver under his breath-

I had a 35% rate, so I'll pick Vancouver in 6 and expect my poor success rate continues and secretly hope Boston with the broom in 4!

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#18 pelhem grenville
May 30 2011, 04:04AM
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jeanshorts wrote:

I don't know who Steve Lansky is but if his prediction comes true I will fellate him till the end of time.

#StopTheCanucks

...now that's a wager !

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#19 Archaeologuy
May 30 2011, 06:49AM
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Im dead in the water because I missed the 3rd round (and am terrible at predictions), but Im going for Boston in 6.

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#20 Oilerpride15
May 30 2011, 06:55AM
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The bruins in 6.

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#21 jayoilfan
May 30 2011, 07:43AM
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Oops looks like I forgot the last round, oh well. Vancity looks too strong (ughh pains me to say it) but I think Vancouver abd general lower Fraser River valley will be destroyed by riots of ecstasy, drunkeness, hoodlumism and all-round stupidity, when the fans rejoice a stanley cup win, in 5.

Go Oilers Go did Huberdeau's Memorical cup win sway any of the Oilers scouts? hope not.

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#22 jayoilfan
May 30 2011, 07:45AM
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doh! memorial cup, MEMORIAL, not memorical, jeez you'd think it would be awake this early after riding le velo in to work...

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I thought I made predicitons for round 2? I went 1 for 4 in round 2 and 2 for 2 in round 3.

Boston in 4.

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#24 madjam
May 30 2011, 08:01AM
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Vancouver in 5 .

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#25 CrazyCaptain88
May 30 2011, 08:10AM
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I am picking Boston in 7

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#26 Horcsky
May 30 2011, 08:23AM
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Big Bad Bruins in 6.

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#27 Riles97
May 30 2011, 08:28AM
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Boston in 7!!!

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#28 DDP
May 30 2011, 08:33AM
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Boston in 7

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#29 Ninjai
May 30 2011, 08:33AM
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Yeah! I'm 50%... which makes sense, statistically, since I've guessed this whole way. Let's hope I can win the majority vote:

Boston in 6!

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#30 Woogie
May 30 2011, 08:42AM
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Van in 6

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#31 Oil Rigz
May 30 2011, 09:04AM
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Boston in 6

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#32 Mbam99
May 30 2011, 09:05AM
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Damn, I missed round 3 too, but would have picked TB and SJ anyway.

I'll go with the Bruins. In 6

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#33 geoilersgist
May 30 2011, 09:24AM
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it pains me to say this but van in 6

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#34 Mantastic
May 30 2011, 09:34AM
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B's in 7, 42.9% worse then half of lowetide!!!

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#35 Bucky9
May 30 2011, 09:49AM
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Bruins in 7. Vancouver shall not win.

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#36 Ender
May 30 2011, 10:06AM
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Archaeologuy wrote:

Im dead in the water because I missed the 3rd round (and am terrible at predictions), but Im going for Boston in 6.

I know the feeling; round 3 was posted on the weekend and I missed it as well. Even so, I'm tied with Wanye.

If you correct for actual percentage of games predicted, I'm right up there in 14th spot just behind TigerUnderGlass and ahead of Kent Wilson.

I can't believe Jon has the time or inclination to track stats like these. I'm glad that he does; I just can't figure out why he does. Mad props, Willis.

Going out on a limb with the final. The Canucks have found their stride and the 'Bolts took too much out of Boston.

Vancouver in 5.

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#37 Spydyr
May 30 2011, 10:08AM
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The big bad Bruins in 7 .In front of the Vancouver fans.

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#38 FastOil
May 30 2011, 10:08AM
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Van in 6 - Ugghhhhhhhh.

At least Stan will be back in Canada. I dread listening to my outlaws for the next, uh, forever.

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#39 Mark-LW
May 30 2011, 10:12AM
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Boston in 5 games.

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#40 Ashley
May 30 2011, 10:14AM
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VAN in 6

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#41 Clyde Frog
May 30 2011, 10:33AM
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Damn, my round 3 predictions missed the boat, I could have sworn I posted them. Still 71.4% aint bad.

Vancouver in 6! Although I hate to say it :(

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#42 Sheldon "Oilers Fan for Life!!!"
May 30 2011, 10:41AM
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Lowetide wrote:

I'm just going to post my prediction here if that's okay. Bruins in 7.

Relief!

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#43 Sheldon "Oilers Fan for Life!!!"
May 30 2011, 10:44AM
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Ender wrote:

I know the feeling; round 3 was posted on the weekend and I missed it as well. Even so, I'm tied with Wanye.

If you correct for actual percentage of games predicted, I'm right up there in 14th spot just behind TigerUnderGlass and ahead of Kent Wilson.

I can't believe Jon has the time or inclination to track stats like these. I'm glad that he does; I just can't figure out why he does. Mad props, Willis.

Going out on a limb with the final. The Canucks have found their stride and the 'Bolts took too much out of Boston.

Vancouver in 5.

HE does it because it is fun for ALL of us and it has made it fun to be here! I thinks he is enjoying our enjoyment of it!

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#44 greenlightning86
May 30 2011, 10:47AM
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Vancouver 6

I don't know what happened to my conference final predictions I wrote Van and Bos and I pressed "post comment", it showed me it was there.

Oh well at least I know I have 78.6%, thats all that matters right.....right

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#45 hoil
May 30 2011, 10:51AM
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Vancouver Canucks will defy the curse placed on them by sweeping the Boston Bruins in four straight games.

Luongo will have four shut-out games and win the Hart.

I wish the Canucks and their fans all the luck in the world.

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#46 hoil
May 30 2011, 10:53AM
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I would have 11 wins if I had not picked against the Canucks when I knew they would win. When there is no money on the line, you play the game different.

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#47 theoil
May 30 2011, 10:54AM
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As much as it pains me deeply to say this... VAN in 7..

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#48 potvin
May 30 2011, 11:53AM
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robinrussia wrote:

I sucked at this....next time pick with the brain and not the heart! -Curses Vancouver under his breath-

I had a 35% rate, so I'll pick Vancouver in 6 and expect my poor success rate continues and secretly hope Boston with the broom in 4!

are you serious!

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#49 Pilgor09
May 30 2011, 12:21PM
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Boston in 7.

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#50 The Beaker
May 30 2011, 12:29PM
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I'm just bad at this. Before the playoffs Boston was my pick to win the cup. Since then I have bet against them twice and they've won both. So just because of that I bet on Vancouver... Yay for win-wins.

Vancouver in 7.

(Though in a perfect world --> Boston in 4)

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