WHICH DOOBIE YOU BE?

Lowetide
February 18 2012 08:10AM

Devan Dubnyk is getting an opportunity every goalie dreams of: the chance to prove himself in the best league on the planet. His performance this season has been uneven, and there are as many questions now as there were at the starting gate. Can Devan Dubnyk handle the #1 job?

Dubnyk's SP (.907) is well down the list among goalies with enough TOI to qualify as regulars. Of the 46 goaltenders on nhl.com's SP leaders list, Dubnyk sits 33rd overall--just ahead of Toronto's monsters. Nikolai Khabibulin is tied for 22nd and has outplayed Dubnyk by any reasonable measure.

Or maybe not.

OH BOY, ADAVANCED STATS

Nah, I leave that to guys like Willis who know their way around a slide rule. The information I'm passing along here is available via nhl.com

EVEN STRENGTH SP 2011-12

  1. Devan Dubnyk .923
  2. Nikolai Khabibulin .914

Crazy, eh? Dubnyk's number is tied for 25th among NHL regulars. NK's number is 36th. Oiler goalies are playing in front of inexperienced forwards and disabled defensemen, and I think we can at least wonder about the prevailing wisdom about DD's season. Jonathan Bernier, a goalie getting some mention as a possible target, has an EV SP this season of .893.

Of course Dubnyk's SP shorthanded is .836, and that's one of the worst in the NHL. And the Oilers PK this season is pretty good--13th overall as of last night.

WHAT DOES IT ALL MEAN?

Dubnyk has his foibles, God knows handling the puck is an adventure and his pads seem to be made of kevlar some nights. However, it's extremely difficult to backstop an inexperienced group of forwards and the blueline has been short all year due to injuries and poor play.

Devan Dubnyk may not end up being the Oilers starter through this decade, but there's enough evidence for the Oilers to see this thing through.

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Lowetide has been one of the Oilogosphere's shining lights for over a century. You can check him out here at OilersNation and at lowetide.ca. He is also the host of Lowdown with Lowetide weekday mornings 10-noon on TSN 1260.
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#101 nunyour
February 19 2012, 12:21PM
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Jonathan Willis wrote:

There's a good chance that Yann Danis - who in three NHL seasons has save percentages of 0.908, 0.910 and 0.923 - would outperform Khabibulin at the NHL level right now.

just say no to drugs

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#102 BigE91
February 19 2012, 12:53PM
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They're $hittie wrote:

the point is maybe smyth would want to go to win a cup, (yes he has said otherwise but this is politically correct and ups his value if someone wants him, he is harder to get), rajaala has said he doesnt want to play in the echl. cornett can be traded at the draft not doing any damage to the team and be replace be a high priced veteran ahl player next year, and same thing with kytnar, opening up ice time for hamilton, martindale and pitlick. These are prospects that fit more in with what the oilers are missing. Yes on these players the return would be minimal, that is why i suggested a 7th round pick. With the exception of cornet the players add no depth to the AHL franchise.

As for tuebert, you are missing the point. I had him listed 8th on the depth chart, meaning he will be in OKC. Peckham as 9th can not go up and down the roster without clearing waivers. So with no spot on the big club he is gone either way. Get something for him.

There isn't a spin doctor in the world that could rationalize to the Oiler fan base the reasons Smyth would be traded (obvious benefits aside) after both sides have indicated that he would be going nowhere at the deadline. Fool me once shame on you, fool me twice......

Also you keep mentioning replacing Cornet with a high priced AHL veteran. He is currently in his second professional season on an entry level deal making $55,000 in the minors. The vast improvements he has made from last season to this year indicate that the Oilers might have a diamond in the rough here. Giving up on him for a third round pick that is an unknown commodity doesn't seem like good asset management to me.

Finally, I realize that draft picks are gold this day and age and to this point Stu has done an amazing job but in think the Oilers need to be mindful that eventually this guy is going to swing and miss, that is inevitable. I don't think emptying the cupboards for continual picks is the answer as the next Jason Bonsignor is lurking somewhere.

By the way thx for the dialogue.....whatever happen the banter is always fun.

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#103 Mike
February 20 2012, 03:05AM
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@BigE91

[quote]There isn't a spin doctor in the world that could rationalize to the Oiler fan base the reasons Smyth would be traded (obvious benefits aside) after both sides have indicated that he would be going nowhere at the deadline. Fool me once shame on you, fool me twice......

[/quote]

At the game tonight, they had a 90 second Smyth montage they threw up on the big screen. Can't imagine them doing that if they're planning on moving him.

By the way, compare that to the season ticket holder event yesterday - a 3-4 minute highlight video, and no Hemsky in it. Read into that what you will...

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#104 Mike
February 20 2012, 03:23AM
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It stings a little to see that we drafted Dubnyk over Schneider. And then missed our second crack at him when we drafted Schremp.

Not that Schwartz or Montoya have been any screaming hell either. Not sure drafting goalies in the first round makes much sense.

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