Picking the winner of the Stanley Cup Finals

Jonathan Willis
May 29 2012 02:46PM

So far, these playoffs have defied prediction, as our playoff prediction contest tends to demonstrate. Interestingly though, there seems to be a very clear favourite in the series between Los Angeles and New Jersey.

Writer Picks

Writer Team Games
Kent Wilson LA 6
Jason Gregor LA 6
Lowetide LA 6
Vintage Flame LA 6
Ryan Pike LA 6
Jonathan Willis LA 7
Justin Azevedo LA 5

If our predictions mean anything, Los Angeles will win the Stanley Cup in a six game series over the New Jersey Devils. There is a clear consensus among our writers on that score.

The Standings

However, as these standings show, that consensus may bear little relationship to what actually happens in the series. Note – I’ve included everyone who has entered at any point, even if only for one round, so some of the percentages below don’t reflect the fact that the entrant may have missed a round or three.

Writer Total Score Percentage
Beavis 9 64.3%
schevvy 9 64.3%
~S~K~ 8 57.1%
BigE91 8 57.1%
Cam Charron 8 57.1%
Dunnonuttin 8 57.1%
geoilersgist 8 57.1%
greenlightning86 8 57.1%
Johe 8 57.1%
Wax Man Riley 8 57.1%
Vintage Flame 8 57.1%
Bucknuck 7 50.0%
D 7 50.0%
First Name Unidentified 7 50.0%
Horcsky 7 50.0%
Jason Gregor 7 50.0%
Koolaid drinker #33 7 50.0%
Mantastic 7 50.0%
master of my domain 7 50.0%
Matt Stephen 7 50.0%
Oilers4ever 7 50.0%
Orange-n-Blue 7 50.0%
Danny Gray 6 42.9%
david 6 42.9%
EvanAllTogether 6 42.9%
ItsTheBGB 6 42.9%
John Cullen 6 42.9%
Jonathan Willis 6 42.9%
Lowetide 6 42.9%
madjam 6 42.9%
maimster 6 42.9%
Mason Storm 6 42.9%
Number 44 6 42.9%
Oilerpride15 6 42.9%
TLHansum 6 42.9%
yawto 6 42.9%
Alberto's dad 5 35.7%
ashley 5 35.7%
DieHard 5 35.7%
Justin Azevedo 5 35.7%
Kent Wilson 5 35.7%
Quicksilver ballet 5 35.7%
Time Travelling Sean 5 35.7%
Woodguy 5 35.7%
Abby W. 4 28.6%
Brett Mitchell 4 28.6%
Cam Davie 4 28.6%
Ern Beckett 4 28.6%
icedawg_42 4 28.6%
James 4 28.6%
Jeff Angus 4 28.6%
Marda Miller 4 28.6%
mayorpoop 4 28.6%
Nate Sans Hate 4 28.6%
ncomas 4 28.6%
oilderrick 4 28.6%
Oilers G 4 28.6%
Rob Vollman 4 28.6%
shanetrain 4 28.6%
Thomas Drance 4 28.6%
Tim in Kelowna 4 28.6%
Trentonl 4 28.6%
Wes Mantooth 4 28.6%
Colin 3 21.4%
Come join the Dark Parade 3 21.4%
dan 3 21.4%
Gitagrip 3 21.4%
gord962 3 21.4%
John Lofranco 3 21.4%
Patrick Johnston 3 21.4%
Tinfoil Tuque 3 21.4%
Wanyes bastard child 3 21.4%
Chris 2 14.3%
Copperblueandwhite 2 14.3%
Dawn 2 14.3%
everton fc 2 14.3%
Fight Club 2 14.3%
mark 2 14.3%
Mattthemascot 2 14.3%
Ryan Fancey 2 14.3%
Dan the Man 1 7.1%
Ron Burgundy 1 7.1%
Sincity1976 1 7.1%
SLAM 1 7.1%

Once again, I list my name above Lowetide’s even though we’re tied. You might think thhis has to do with alphabetical order, but you would be wrong; I do this solely because of his merciless ribbing after out-predicting the entire field last year.

Get your predictions for the Final in below.

74b7cedc5d8bfbe88cf071309e98d2c3
Jonathan Willis is a freelance writer. He currently works for Oilers Nation, the Edmonton Journal and Bleacher Report. He's co-written three books and worked for myriad websites, including Grantland, ESPN, The Score, and Hockey Prospectus. He was previously the founder and managing editor of Copper & Blue.
Avatar
#1 geoilersgist
May 29 2012, 03:04PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
1
cheers

I want brodeur to win another cup but im sticking with my gut it seems to be working so far. LA in 6

Avatar
#2 First Name Unidentified
May 29 2012, 02:53PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

LAK in 6

Go Sutter!

Avatar
#3 Bucknuck
May 29 2012, 02:56PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

LAK in 7 - NJ will push it to the brink.

Avatar
#4 Vintage Flame
May 29 2012, 02:59PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

Ummm Jonathan. I should be at 8 not 7.

I had LA and NYR in the last round.

Avatar
#5 everton fc
May 29 2012, 03:00PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

I left the contest after Round 1, but I'll pick the Devils in 7.

Avatar
#6 The Beaker
May 29 2012, 03:03PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

@Bucknuck

You think LA wins that game 7 on the road? I Like LA too but if it takes 7 games I'm iffy about that.

Avatar
#7 mayorpoop
May 29 2012, 03:09PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

considering i never even put in my picks for the 2nd round (i think) i'll take 28%.

kings in 4.

Avatar
#8 schevvy
May 29 2012, 03:10PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

Tied for the lead!! Shows that the people of Lethbridge know their stuff! (well, some of them)

I'm not sure what my co-leader Beavis is picking, but I'll go LA in 6. If he picks the same I may go opposite. Go for it all!

Avatar
#9 Mantastic
May 29 2012, 03:15PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

LA in 5

Avatar
#10 Wax Man Riley
May 29 2012, 03:21PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

Ok, I'll say it for him....

Quicksilver Ballet = Come Join The Dark Parade, so he is either beating himself with a poor record ;p

Or he is up at 8 wins.... tied with me (just had to brag) for 2nd....

Which is it, Quicks?

Now the conundrum... do I take the chance to win (or tie, ftw), or do I go with my gut..... I'll be back in a couple hours....

Avatar
#11 Next up, is Connor McJesus.
May 29 2012, 03:42PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

@Wax Man

I try and maintain a low profile. I changed my name to divide my score so others may share in a little bit of the ON glory.

Hard to believe LT went 14/15 last yr.

Kings in 6,Quick for Conn Smythe

Avatar
#12 yawto
May 29 2012, 03:43PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

Kings in 6

Avatar
#13 Wax Man Riley
May 29 2012, 03:48PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers
Next up, is Connor McJesus. wrote:

@Wax Man

I try and maintain a low profile. I changed my name to divide my score so others may share in a little bit of the ON glory.

Hard to believe LT went 14/15 last yr.

Kings in 6,Quick for Conn Smythe

I, for one, appreciate that glory.

Thanks Quicks!!

Avatar
#14 bmac
May 29 2012, 03:51PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

LA in 6

Avatar
#15 Mojo
May 29 2012, 03:56PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

NJD in 6.

Nothing makes sense this year, so LA losing 4 games is a perfect prediction.

Avatar
#16 Dman09
May 29 2012, 03:57PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

LA in 5 with three road victories. Brodeur will be handing over the torch to Quick after this one.

Avatar
#18 Nat
May 29 2012, 03:58PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

I agree with the bloggers here. LA in 6.

Avatar
#19 Sincity1976
May 29 2012, 03:59PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

Ha. I only started playing last round. Got one of them which gets me tied for last place.

I think LA in 5. LA has already walked through two strong teams. Phoenix as well. So I don't buy into the myth that the next round is going to be any tougher.

On a side note, at the beginning of the year I bet on three teams to win the cup. Calgary because I am a sucker. Buffalo because they were my dark horse. And LA because I thought they would win the cup.

Only I completely forgot I bet on LA until I logged into bodog the other day. Nice surprise! At least now I have some reason to watch the cup finals. LA vs NJ? Really? Yawn.

Avatar
#20 ItsTheBGB
May 29 2012, 04:00PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

Since every one is picking La, it's time for me to make a power move.

NEW JERSEY IN 4!!!!

Avatar
#21 Dman09
May 29 2012, 04:02PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers
Sincity1976 wrote:

Ha. I only started playing last round. Got one of them which gets me tied for last place.

I think LA in 5. LA has already walked through two strong teams. Phoenix as well. So I don't buy into the myth that the next round is going to be any tougher.

On a side note, at the beginning of the year I bet on three teams to win the cup. Calgary because I am a sucker. Buffalo because they were my dark horse. And LA because I thought they would win the cup.

Only I completely forgot I bet on LA until I logged into bodog the other day. Nice surprise! At least now I have some reason to watch the cup finals. LA vs NJ? Really? Yawn.

My decision to go with 5 games was entirely based on the fact that NJ is the home team and LA has been tearing it up on the road. If LA had home ice advantage I would have said 6 games.

Avatar
#22 MangoTanker
May 29 2012, 04:08PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

LA in 6

Avatar
#23 RKD
May 29 2012, 04:22PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

I understand everyone picking LA to win based on their physicality, speed, skill, size, coaching, and sheer dominance.

However, everyone minus Flames and Bruins fans thought Vancouver was going to win the Stanley Cup last season. The Canucks looked unstoppable.

Remember that NJ has the equivalence to some of the players on LA.

Brown=Parise Kopitar=Kovalchuck.

NJ's fourth line has amassed 16 points. Guys like Elias and Brodeur know what it takes to win in the finals. LA has never won the Stanley Cup.

Richards, Carter, Stoll and Darryl Sutter all made it to the finals and lost. The finals are completely different beast.

Avatar
#24 Greg Stink | ESPN
May 29 2012, 04:22PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

Devils in 6. But how does Ryan Smyth feel if the Kings win the cup, especially with his current contract negotiations?

Avatar
#25 Sincity1976
May 29 2012, 05:00PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

@Greg Stink | ESPN

Who really cares how Ryan Smyth feels? I am just waiting for Cry Baby 2 - Mommy they didn't sign me a again!. The pre-screening reviews are pretty dreadful but I could watch Smyth cry all day.

Avatar
#26 theartfuldodger
May 29 2012, 05:33PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

NJ in 7 - Brodeur retires :) Henrique is Rookie of the year.

Avatar
#27 master of my domain
May 29 2012, 05:34PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

LA 5

Avatar
#28 oilerman53
May 29 2012, 06:14PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers
ItsTheBGB wrote:

Since every one is picking La, it's time for me to make a power move.

NEW JERSEY IN 4!!!!

As much as I want to believe in LA's magic. Brodeur will have an answer and Quick will get first hand experience on how to win Championships. Jersey in 4.

Avatar
#29 Beavis
May 29 2012, 06:33PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers
schevvy wrote:

Tied for the lead!! Shows that the people of Lethbridge know their stuff! (well, some of them)

I'm not sure what my co-leader Beavis is picking, but I'll go LA in 6. If he picks the same I may go opposite. Go for it all!

I've been picking counterintuitively for much of these three rounds and it seems to have worked out, so I'll do it again and go for New Jersey in 7 (but I'll admit that this in part due to the fact that schevvy above picked LA and it works out better if one of us gets to be the overall winner). Part of the pick is based on something I read, maybe at NHL numbers, maybe at Backhand shelf, about LA and hot streaks and how they have to end at some point. We shall see. I'm happy either way as I'd love to see Penner win the cup again.

Avatar
#30 TLHansum
May 29 2012, 06:36PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

kings in 5

Avatar
#31 DieHard
May 29 2012, 06:38PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

Missed the 3rd round but would have scored 50%. LA in 4.

Avatar
#32 D
May 29 2012, 06:40PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

LA will face adversity for the first time in these playoffs and actually lose two games. LA in 6.

Avatar
#33 Dunnonuttin
May 29 2012, 06:45PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

LA in six.

Avatar
#34 Dan the Man
May 29 2012, 06:47PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

LA in 6

Avatar
#35 ChinookArch
May 29 2012, 09:03PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

LA in 5.

Avatar
#36 Wax Man Riley
May 29 2012, 09:21PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

LA in 7

Avatar
#37 maimster
May 30 2012, 08:57AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

Devils in 7

Avatar
#38 greenlightning86
May 30 2012, 09:12AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

LA 6

Avatar
#39 BigE91
May 30 2012, 09:19AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

LA in 6

Avatar
#40 EvanAllTogether
May 30 2012, 11:43AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

Devils in 7.

Avatar
#41 Dangerous Neil
May 30 2012, 12:43PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

Devils in 6!

Avatar
#42 @Oilanderp
May 30 2012, 04:08PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

NJD won both meetings between these two teams this year. I see it continuing, even though it is hard to bet against LA. I pick New Jersey in 6.

Avatar
#43 The Keystone Garter
May 30 2012, 07:20PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

Gotta be careful not to cheer for too many teams. Like NJ a bit with Brodeur, Parise and Zajac. Like a long series when I'm too broke for alternatives (like buying hockey DVDs and watching Ivan Hlinka). But expect LA sweep. NYR didn't look good and I'm a big Lundqvist fan. Beat Holtby. LA got injured Sedin, and Pieterangelo, and offensively challenged (for final 4) Phx. Still LA dominated. If Salvador is best NJ defenseman, Zidlicky prolly getting a little soft... LA has lots of young defenseman and added 5 players by deadline. Weirdly LA's young D look solid compared to NYR turnover machines and Girardi 5 holes. I think Brodeur is a 10-15 goalie. Hmm, maybe I like Lundqvist better than Quick. Gaborik isn't as agile or strong as before injuries and when young. I do like Parise and Kovachuk better than Kopitar and Richards but NJ just doesn't match up on FW. All LA is missing is a #2 D and would be trult dominant.

Avatar
#44 The Keystone Garter
May 30 2012, 08:55PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

Injuries can explain a lot. Phx, NJ-over-NYR and Philly over Pittsburgh only upsets I see. Brodeur outplayed Lundqvist and many pre-season NYR turnovers. Was that Van Damme in the crowd?!

Avatar
#45 The Keystone Garter
May 30 2012, 09:05PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Cheers
0
cheers

Grapes stole my pick: Clarkson. But NYR ruined the contest by falling down like bowling pins. Brodeur is playing well. I'll say J.Carter snipes a rebound off the ref and in.

Comments are closed for this article.