GDB 13.0: Nothing could possiblie go wrong

Jonathan Willis
October 27 2013 09:08AM

Tonight’s game features a tired Oilers team that lost a one-goal game to Phoenix last night against a rested Los Angeles squad that when last seen trounced those same Coyotes by a 7-4 score on Thursday.

What could possibly go wrong?

The Lineup

There has been no official word on lineup changes yet, but up front there are two items of note. First, Tyler Pitlick left on crutches after getting caught awkwardly by a hip check; hopefully any injury is less serious than the knee injury that sidelined him back in January. Second, Anton Lander was scratched by Oklahoma City last night, so it seems probable that he will be in the lineup for tonight’s game (to which I would imagine Linus Omark’s reaction is a mixture of happiness for his good friend and ‘I just scored FOUR GOALS in ONE GAME’).

Update: The Lander news is official.

With at least one probable lineup shift, I’m just going to guess here and update later once we get official word. I don’t imagine we’ll see major changes to the forward unit, and I’d guess that Nick Schultz draws in as fresh legs on the blue line.

  • F1. Nail Yakupov – Ryan Nugent-Hopkins – Jordan Eberle
  • F2. David Perron – Mark Arcobello – Ales Hemsky
  • F3. Ben Eager – Boyd Gordon – Ryan Jones
  • F4. Luke Gazdic – Will Acton – Anton Lander
  • D1. Ladislav Smid – Jeff Petry
  • D2. Anton Belov – Justin Schultz
  • D3. Andrew Ference – Nich Schultz

Devan Dubnyk will almost certainly start.

Update: I still think Dubnyk starts, but this is interesting.

Coaching & Signs of the Apocalypse

I knew, what with all the talk of firing coaches and whatnot, that things were getting awfully grim. But I didn’t realize how low spirits were until I started noticing the reaction to DSF’s comments:

  • -8/+25 on a comment saying the Oilers had mostly played Eastern Conference “cream puffs”
  • -6/+18 on a comment saying Vancouver had all of Edmonton’s adversity but was playing great
  • -4/+12 on a comment agreeing that Dallas Eakins was in over his head
  • -4/+11 on a comment extolling the Canucks’ virtues

I won’t argue against the Canucks – they have handled some tough circumstances extremely well, and while like the Oilers they have mostly played ‘Eastern Conference cream puffs’ (8 of 13 games) they have also had a road-heavy schedule early. They just went 5-1-1 on a seven-game road-trip, which is insanely good.

What I will say is that it’s way too make Eakins the scapegoat, something that was being done in the comments here yesterday. Certainly, he’s done things I haven’t liked – he was awfully quick to haul last year’s leading goal-scorer out of the lineup, rotating a bunch of skilled first-time penalty killers into the PK all at the same time hasn’t worked well, and the Gazdic-Acton-Brown fourth line never appealed to me – but isn’t it abundantly clear at this point that firing the coach isn’t the solution?

Besides, we’ve seen this play out in reverse before. When Pat Quinn came in, the Oilers jumped out to a 6-2-1 start – one built on getting outshot badly but posting insane percentages. Quinn turned out to be probably the worst head coach in team history. This is the reverse situation: the Oilers have built a losing streak based on decent shot totals and terrible goaltending. I doubt it lasts either.

I can’t definitively say that Eakins is the solution to the problem, but the problem definitely predates his arrival.

Predictions

Game day prediction: 3-0 Los Angeles.

Obvious game day prediction: Mark Arcobello will take three shots that, while all scoring chances, somehow catch the edge of a pad or bounce off the outside of the post or something like that.

Not-so-obvious game day prediction: In the third period, with the score still 2-0, Nail Yakupov will get a glorious opportunity from the right faceoff circle. Jonathan Quick will flash the leather, then immediately skate to centre ice with his arms stretched out in the air before sliding to his knees at the middle of the ice. Don Cherry will chuckle as he’s playing the tape of it on Coach’s Corner next Saturday.

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Jonathan Willis is a freelance writer. He currently works for Oilers Nation, the Edmonton Journal and Bleacher Report. He's co-written three books and worked for myriad websites, including Grantland, ESPN, The Score, and Hockey Prospectus. He was previously the founder and managing editor of Copper & Blue.
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#101 Mac962
October 27 2013, 02:43PM
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Butters wrote:

I thought about MR too. Usually the Oilers are big on reclamation projects. I am not sure why they took a pass.

Trust me - Mayson Raymond is a piece a Bigger Leafs team needed. Not the Mighty Mouse Edmonton Oilers, He would not make a difference here. If he was that good , the Nucks would not have let him go.

Decent Player - not what we need.

Go after Tootoo - say what you want- he is the energizer bunny like Brownie only more skill and no fear and fairly close to being as tough, for his size.

Can you imagine [ not that he is a second liner] plying against him and Perron from time to time, It would tick you off to no end.

Think about it. We pay N.Schultz huge bucks for what ?

If i could quite smoking for a week i am sure i can compete with Nick.

LOL -K MAYBE NOT.

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#102 DSF
October 27 2013, 07:14PM
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6 ring circus wrote:

That's a pretty big gamble by Snow he gave up quite a bit for a UFA If Vanek signs on the island all is good if not that's a big time overpayment .

Could well be.

I think he's gambling Tavares can take Vanek's game to a new level.

But even so, Moulson is also going to be a UFA and Snow can likely get his picks back at the deadline if he has to.

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#103 DSF
October 27 2013, 07:14PM
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6 ring circus wrote:

That's a pretty big gamble by Snow he gave up quite a bit for a UFA If Vanek signs on the island all is good if not that's a big time overpayment .

Could well be.

I think he's gambling Tavares can take Vanek's game to a new level.

But even so, Moulson is also going to be a UFA and Snow can likely get his picks back at the deadline if he has to.

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#104 Jordan Nugent-Hallkins
October 27 2013, 08:00PM
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Yeah, Gazdic should've grabbed Clifford and beaten the living piss out of him. Screw the instigator, that's the third knee on knee in what, three games? Will someone show a little fire for once? That's your team mate out there, you morons.

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#105 Slyers
October 27 2013, 08:13PM
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Louie Debrusk..... Such a Moron first... Last night saying our goalie never had a chance on any of the goals. Then tonight saying the Clifford hit was clean. Half the time I don't know what game he's watching. He just talks to talk.... It's goofy his comments are nonsense.... Makes watching the oil even more difficult, if that is possible. PLEASE for the love of god Louie follow the PLAY!!!!!!

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#106 dougtheslug
October 27 2013, 09:42PM
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This is like being blindfolded, given a last cigarette, and waiting for the bullet. And they just pulled the trigger with an empty chamber. This isn't even humane.

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#107 Serious Gord
October 27 2013, 09:52PM
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45-18 sog in favor of la. Oh the corsi!!

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#108 YFC Prez
October 27 2013, 10:08PM
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Well I like just about every oiler ever in the history of the oilers. But Oct 27, 2013 is the night I fell in love with Richard Bachman. Fantastic performance.

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#109 dougtheslug
October 27 2013, 10:53PM
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I know advanced statistics are for nerds, but may I politely and respectfully point out that a save percentage of .979 just might not be sustainable.

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#110 Next up, is Connor McJesus.
October 27 2013, 11:02PM
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I was hoping to celebrate in silence this evening with another regulation loss. Where the heck is Dubnyk or LaBarbara when i need them.

I'm already pulling for another top 3 pick next summer. Every point cuts like a dagger when this is the goal.

is this wrong, what's wrong with me?

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#111 TDSM31
October 27 2013, 11:07PM
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Time to abandon the 'swarm' system...like yesterday.

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#112 dougtheslug
October 27 2013, 11:29PM
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spliff wrote:

Even if we had won this game who cares. We allowed 48 SHOTS!

We are so far away from even being a mid-level team, let alone a contender.

It begs the question; what the hell was KLost doing the past 5 years during the so-called rebuild? Why haven't the supporting pieces been put in place? This organization is a disaster. What's the new plan now, get a great goalie who can save 45 shots a game, and hope our "skill guys" can score on one of our three good chances per game? The LA Kings are men (some of whom, like Matt Greene, used to be our men - Thanks Lowe FFS). The Oilers are children against these teams, even though some of these children are getting 6 bills a year and are in their 3rd or 4th year in the league. Tonight's loss was worse then the loss to Phoenix because it truly shows what caliber of team we are. Complete and utter mis-management.

Not even close to being a contender. Could you imagine the Oilers playing a 7 game playoff series against that team? After a half decade of losing hockey, "sticking to the plan", being patient with the "rebuild", we see a team that has made exactly zero progress. It's beyond discouraging. That last period looked like a 20 minute penalty kill. I wouldn't even call it men against boys. More like Canada vs. Latvia.

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#113 Mikey
October 27 2013, 09:13AM
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Can it be at least 3-1 LA? One goal would be nice.

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#114 Loweblows
October 27 2013, 09:25AM
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Gameday prediction. We lose. KLowe keeps his job.

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#115 Woogie63
October 27 2013, 09:40AM
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Jonathan Willis wrote:

Off the top of my head? Holmgren/Berube.

Agree with the mess in Philly... But after that ....

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#116 Chaz
October 27 2013, 09:46AM
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Has Kevin Lowe been fired yet? The fact he is still employed boggles my mind. The only way to kill this dragon of losing is to cut off its head, and the head is K-Lowe.

I'm going to design a shirt to sell: "k-Lowe Must Go" *

* May or may not actually get around to doing this.....

Proceeds to go to the Depressed Oiler Fan Support Network

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#117 Ryan
October 27 2013, 09:48AM
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We need a #1 defensemen and have since pronger left.

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#118 @schmidty66
October 27 2013, 10:09AM
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I realize that the coach carousel with the Oilers has to stop. That can only happen when new management hire a decent NHL coach. First Quinn then his asst Renny then his asst Kruger now Eakins all the while keeping the core of asst coaches like Bucky Smith and Chabot around? With coaches like Ruff, Tortortella and Vigneault available last year I can not figure out how we ended up with Eakins an unproven coach who seems to have lost the room already. I have had season tickets for nearly 15 years every year lately I kick myself for renewing them. Usually it takes until January before I can't give them away this year it is November. I am a diehard fan it kills me when they play this bad but I think the only way this team gets better is if we the fans just stop going. Then and only the will Katz be forced to make a management change and stop living in the 80s glory years.

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#119 K_Mart
October 27 2013, 10:14AM
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While it is too early to put any real blame on eakins, and it is too early to say that our record is a true reflection of our play, it is NOT too early to say the playoffs are out of reach.

They are. I could realistically see things turning around this season, and us closing out the season with a record near or even at .500, but our start has put us too far out.

My guess is we might reach .500 by game 70-75 but we will most certainly not reach the playoffs.

Our goaltending, despite my faith that Dubnyk is good enough to be the man, has essentially already cost us the playoffs.

So yeah, a turnaround is still likely, based on the numbers, but missing the playoffs is even more likely.

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#120 Mikey
October 27 2013, 10:18AM
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Woogie63 wrote:

Agree with the mess in Philly... But after that ....

The guys in Buffalo, Dallas, Vancouver, Calgary, Winnipeg, New Jersey.

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#121 Batfink
October 27 2013, 10:48AM
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I am not proposing that Eakins did/does not deserve his NHL shot. Just not with us. He needed to complete his apprenticeship, as an assistant to an experienced NHL coach. We are simply not in the position of hiring unproven (at the NHL level) coaches after the years we've had. You want consistency? Hartley, Ruff, Torts, Vigneault. All these are new hires at their respective teams, instigating new team ethos and philosophies, yet they are, by and large, succeeding. Why? Players? Goaltending? Sure, these are tangibles that certainly contribute. But you tell me we don't have the players? Look at Calgary (turn head and spit). We don't have goal tending? Then you adapt your system to protect the goalie more, a la Nashville. You adapt or die. Not say "I know I'm right" when that record is staring you right in the face. Still, stiff upper lip, eh? If refusing to look facts straight in the face won't get us through then taking away the moral 'moneyball' corsi victories will, right?

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#122 2004Z06
October 27 2013, 10:50AM
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Just a few questions and other thoughts. Do you think anyone from the Oilers organization reads these blogs? Probably not....maybe a bit more productive to aim your ire at the organization. Try emailing, sending a letter, phoning the Oilers office.....Maybe boycott a game or two?

As for MacT he is taking the heat for Labarberra and Grebishkov, but no praise for the moves to bring in Ference, Belov, Perron and Gordon?

Can't win em all.....

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#123 EricOG
October 27 2013, 10:51AM
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TeddyTurnbuckle wrote:

I've watched all of the games this year and have to say this is the best Oiler team since 06 despite their record. We would have won last night if Dubnyk was in net. I find it really pathetic how people are constantly taking shots at K Lowe on this site. How about offering constructive criticism instead of recycling the same old K Lowe bashing. Go to some other forum and take your uneducated hockey opinions with you. The Oilers are competing hard every night which is a vast improvement over past seasons. The team is obviously still too young so a little more patience is needed. Yakupov has to stop giving up 5 star to the other team with his poor defensive play. He is directly responsible for at least one goal against us every game. That being said he is getting better at using his teammates.

And right on cue, someone from the front office steps in to defend his boss.

I respect that, however, wasn't it Lowe who gave out all those dumb contracts? (Souray, thecaptainethanmoreau, Staios). That alone was a big part of the problem. Had to clear all those out just to start getting something into the sistem.

It was Lowe who selected Tambo, and look how that went.

Aside from one lightning in a bottle postseason, there is nothing in his resume that screams managerial succes.

Most important, he was part of teams BUILT to win the cup, show me any proof that Sather ever went to him for advise on how to run those teams.

But, I'm just a Center Ice fan, so what do I know?

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#124 Mikey
October 27 2013, 11:13AM
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@DSF

I see about 5 but your point still stands.

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#125 D
October 27 2013, 11:23AM
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2004Z06 wrote:

Just a few questions and other thoughts. Do you think anyone from the Oilers organization reads these blogs? Probably not....maybe a bit more productive to aim your ire at the organization. Try emailing, sending a letter, phoning the Oilers office.....Maybe boycott a game or two?

As for MacT he is taking the heat for Labarberra and Grebishkov, but no praise for the moves to bring in Ference, Belov, Perron and Gordon?

Can't win em all.....

The Oilers (as with any business getting free market research) would definitely read this blog.

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#126 Hammers
October 27 2013, 11:32AM
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Have we had bad goaltending ? Hell yes . Has Eakins Swarm system cost us in both goals & games ? Also hell yes .Did McT clean house? Hell yes Did he add better players again yes . Perron , Ference Belov Gordon .Also some bit players Joensuu Gazdic ( Still not sure on Acton )So where does the problem sit? If you can't upgrade goalkeeping the system needs to change .

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#127 Rama Lama
October 27 2013, 11:38AM
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I read your player grades after the last game.........just about everyone got passing grades with the exception being Jason Labarbra.

While I agree with your grades and especially your observations, I can't help but ask the logical question, why not grade the coach as well?

I would love to grade the coaches on line combinations that click, line matching, line changes, coaching hunches, no stupid too many players penalties, special team results, etc.

At some point the " professional writer", have to start questioning the true abilities of the coach..........he has received far too much slack for systems that belong in some other league.

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#128 Alsker
October 27 2013, 12:10PM
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DSF wrote:

"Phoenix Coyotes center Martin Hanzal will have a hearing with the NHL Department of Player Safety Monday for a hit on Edmonton Oilers defenseman Jeff Petry on Saturday night at Jobing.com Arena.

At 13:42 of the first period, Hanzal checked Petry against the boards in the Edmonton end after Petry had moved the puck. Hanzal received a two-minute minor for charging on the play.

Petry was shaken up on the play but remained in the game."

http://www.sportsnet.ca/hockey/nhl/hanzal-faces-hearing-for-hit-on-oilers-petry/

Well at least the league is doing something, still does NOT excuse our lack of response.

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#129 OilFanInBC
October 27 2013, 01:03PM
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@TeddyTurnbuckle

K Lowe, is that you?

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#130 vetinari
October 27 2013, 01:26PM
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New Oiler promotion... buy three or more tickets to the game and have your name entered into a draw to be our starting goalie... can't be much worse than the other alternatives, can it?

GDP: Oilers 1 Kings 5 (because, hey, we usually give up about 5 goals a game so why change that?)

OGDP: At least 2 Kings goals will come on the PP, and at least 1 other will be a "what the h3ll was the defenceman thinking on that play by dangerously throwing the puck cross ice at the blue line when no one was behind him to stop the resulting breakaway" goal

NSOGDP: Bachman, revved up to make his first NHL start of the year, comes out every period singing "Taking Care of Business" until he ends the game with "Running Back to Saskatoon"

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#131 madjam
October 27 2013, 01:32PM
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Are we loaded with skill but short on talent ?

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#132 Butters
October 27 2013, 01:48PM
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DSF wrote:

In other news...Mason Raymond, who was picked up for nothing on a PTO and has a cap hit of only $1M, is on pace for a 27G 61P season.

I thought about MR too. Usually the Oilers are big on reclamation projects. I am not sure why they took a pass.

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#133 Spydyr
October 27 2013, 02:29PM
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On a positive note anyone else watch the Dallas - Detroit NFL game.What a game, wow.

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#134 MessyEH!
October 27 2013, 02:32PM
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sizedoesmatter wrote:

Sorry for being positive but one good winning streak puts the team back in the hunt with a long home stand coming.

I have this bridge forsale. Hardy used. A little old lady had it for getting to church on Sundays.

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#135 dougtheslug
October 27 2013, 02:53PM
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Gaz wrote:

Positivity is good. That's the mark of winners.

Positivity to the point of ignorance is where you have to draw the line.

That is exactly what is happening with this team. They'll lose four and nearly have management forced to face up to reality, and then win two, and everything is hunky-dory again. Thats how you end up winning 30 games a year and try to convince yourself and the public that everything is headed the right way.

30 wins??!? I'd be happy with 30 wins. This team has only reached that lofty goal once in the past 4 seasons and sure ain't happening this year.

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#136 Mikey
October 27 2013, 03:42PM
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Clarko wrote:

Patrick Roy is also getting a .958 save percentage out of his goalies. The offenses have been very comparable so far, so hard to say that Colorado is playing that much better other than the goaltending so far.

It's also been 10 games between two goalies. I think it's a bit more than just hot goalies.

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#137 Dog Train
October 27 2013, 05:01PM
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The Kings in the regular season are not the Kings who show up in the playoffs. That said, we don't match up well with them. Kings win 3-1.

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#138 I'm not a troll, I live here.
October 27 2013, 05:21PM
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Next Message ... Blah ! Blah ! Blah Play, rewind, repeat. We've seen this collapse before. To try and tell us otherwise is an insult. It's just that we'd hope to be in the hunt in the 4th week of the season. Ya, we've started seasons well and had a slide. I see a slide alright, only 71 more games. An epic failure playing out in front of our eyes. If I try real hard, maybe I'll wake up from this nightmare and it will still be August. I still care but if this were a marriage, I'd be on the phone with a divorce lawyer.

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#139 Mac692
October 27 2013, 06:44PM
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Mac962 wrote:

Lol - you make laugh, no , really you do ! Honest , you are so witty.

Yeah , i was under the table.

You from Calgary ?

Don't comment any further unless you wish to add your real name

So we can all see what highly intelligent individual you are.

You first tuff guy,

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#140 Abdullah
October 27 2013, 06:52PM
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Mac692 wrote:

You first tuff guy,

You think you gonna tell me what to do. Nope. I read enough of your nonesense every day loser. Get a life. Who cares if the Oilers or any other NHL team wins or loses. I'm done with hockey and all the bs that goes with it-like wasting a minute of my life on this. Bye forever. Don't tell me your name cause I really don't give a damn.

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#141 Mac and Cheese
October 27 2013, 06:53PM
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Abdullah wrote:

You think you gonna tell me what to do. Nope. I read enough of your nonesense every day loser. Get a life. Who cares if the Oilers or any other NHL team wins or loses. I'm done with hockey and all the bs that goes with it-like wasting a minute of my life on this. Bye forever. Don't tell me your name cause I really don't give a damn.

Me too!

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#142 nick
October 27 2013, 07:13PM
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@Loweblows

Absolutely agree, McT made a horrible mistake hiring this egotistical coach who thinks his way is the only right way. After destroying the special teams what more can he screw up

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#143 Wonger
October 27 2013, 07:40PM
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StHenriOilBomb wrote:

the kings announcers are pretty sure that was a dirty hit. No bias there.

Man. This is tough.

Clifford needs a Big Mac Beating! Eakins would let him do it too! When will MAC be Back?

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#144 madjam
October 27 2013, 08:04PM
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Should have been two match penalties against Kings - but they got nothing . Clifford for knee , and Green on Perron with forearm shiver to head . Maybe Shanahan will suspend them both after game . What we need is for Hemsky to run that lead footed Regher .

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#145 I tried it at home
October 27 2013, 08:36PM
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Good on the Yak for breaking his dry spell, but I dont want to say anything to jinx this. Umm.. Calgary sucks?

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#146 Spydyr
October 27 2013, 08:51PM
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Stack Pad Save wrote:

That was a dirty hit. Why no retribution by the Oilers? Why, that was your best player just took as dirty a hit you can throw in the game and no reaction by the Oilers. So weak.... So frustrated with this team and with the referees

The referees should have nothing to do with it.You have to stand up for your teammates.That is what happens when you have all skill and no balls on the top two lines.

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#147 YFC Prez
October 27 2013, 08:53PM
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@Spydyr

There were 2 fights after. Jones on Clifford was retribution. They stood up for nuge just fine

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#148 Romanus
October 27 2013, 09:25PM
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Hangingkayaker wrote:

Another minor league goalie. Another lousy night by a lousy team. This is all on Loser Lowe. I will never have anything good to say about this team until Katz's lapdog Lowe is gone!!

You do have the choice not to support the team by not going to the games, not buying merchandise and not coming on sites like this.

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#149 BingBong
October 27 2013, 09:54PM
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Well, the Kings were pretty dominant throughout, but at least nobody can say the effort wasn't there. They were working.

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#150 Rocket
October 27 2013, 11:25PM
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Bachman or GTFO

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