David Perron: MacTavish’s Masterpiece?

Jonathan Willis
November 24 2013 11:30AM

With the Edmonton Oilers struggling as they are, Craig MacTavish hasn’t exactly been given a free pass by fans in his first full season as general manager. What even his most ardent critics should agree on, though, is that it looks like he fleeced the St. Louis Blues when he pawned off Magnus Paajarvi and a draft pick in exchange for David Perron.

Perron was already a pretty good player when MacTavish added him. But the 25-year-old forward is on pace to exceed his previous career bests – and by a lot.

The Basic Numbers

The chart above shows Perron’s 82-game pace from every season in his career where he played more than 40 games. The only preceding season even close to his early work this year was 2011-12, where Perron rode a high shooting percentage to a 30-goal pace.

The really astonishing item here is Perron’s shot totals. Players don’t typically see huge leaps in shot totals, but Perron is running at more than double his established career rate. What’s going on?

Five-on-five

Numbers for this chart (and the next one) come from ExtraSkater.com and BehindtheNet.ca.

There really isn’t much to see at this level: Perron is a hair below his career goal numbers and a touch above his career assist numbers.

But something interesting happens when we compare Perron’s shot numbers for this season to last season. Perron had 61 shots at five-on-five in 48 games a year ago; this season he has 54 in 20 games. He’s firing the puck roughly twice as often as he has in the past once ice-time is accounted for. His goal totals are only at his career rate because his shooting percentage is half what it was last year at even-strength.

In short: he’s been good so far, but if these shot numbers are for real he’s likely going to be even better at evens in the near future. Which is frightening.

Five-on-four

Perron’s numbers are through the roof here. Some of that may come from playing on a better power play unit – it’s extremely difficult to separate teammate and coaching effects from player talent when looking at special teams numbers – and the assist totals in particular may not be ridiculous.

As for the goal totals? Digging into the shot numbers again, we find that Perron is again firing the puck at roughly twice the rate he did in St. Louis, but this time his shooting percentage is roughly double what it was last season. This to some degree will off-set the expected rise in his five-on-five shooting percentage.

In other words, these numbers are likely going to come down because that spike in shooting percentage probably isn’t sustainable, but even so he’s legitimately on pace for a career-best season.

The Biggest Question

I can’t recall an instance of an experienced NHL forward suddenly doubling his shot rates at the age of 25. One of the reasons people like me prize shot rates so much is because they tend to be pretty stable; players reach an established level of ability and move a bit but the fluctuations are nowhere near as dramatic as shooting percentage is.

I don’t know if Perron can keep up this shooting pace, and I didn’t watch him closely enough in St. Louis to hazard a guess as to what’s changed. One item that stands out – Tyler Dellow brought it to my attention on Twitter last night – is that Perron is getting a higher percentage of his shots through to the net (he has 16 missed shots on 80 shots this year; last year the number was 31 on 84) and that seems like something that probably won’t continue, but it isn’t close to being the whole explanation either.

My gut feeling is that Perron shoots a little less frequently simply because this is so far out of the norm, but at the same time it seems entirely possible to me that this is a breakout campaign and an indication of a more trigger-happy player.

If so, that’s fantastic news for Edmonton. Perron is under contract for two more years at a $3.812 million cap hit; that’s a pretty fair deal for a 50-point guy and a ridiculously good deal for a player who will challenge for 30 goals every year if he keeps shooting like this.

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Jonathan Willis is a freelance writer. He currently works for Oilers Nation, the Edmonton Journal and Bleacher Report. He's co-written three books and worked for myriad websites, including Grantland, ESPN, The Score, and Hockey Prospectus. He was previously the founder and managing editor of Copper & Blue.
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#51 dangilitis
November 24 2013, 11:15PM
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DSF wrote:

Perron was moved as a salary dump so the Blues could sign Chris Stewart and TJ Oshie.

With Backes, Stewart, Oshie, Reaves, Cracknell, Sobotka and Lapierre, the Blues are a very gritty team.

No surprise that Perron is a different player now that he's not playing Hitchcock's D first system.

Too bad the Oilers didn't draft him when they had a chance.

"Too bad the Blackhawks didn't draft Patrick Sharp when they had the chance back in 2001.

Adam Munro, Matt Keith, Craig Anderson (who they lost on waivers), Nicolas Corbeil were all drafted by Chicago, ahead of Philly's 95th pick."

... is what a pathetic and sour old loser would say!

Who the heck cares how a team acquires a player? Flyers got fleeced in 2005 and the Hawks made up for that poor draft big time with this trade 4 years later. Sound familiar?

And who cares what the circumstances in St. Louis were at the time? Oh, they had to shed salary? Thanks, captain obvious! MacT was an opportunist, and 28 other teams lost out, case closed. Arguing anything around this point and blaming the team that won the trade for not drafting Perron in the first place is loser talk, coming from someone who likes to argue for the sake of it.

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#52 D-Unit
November 25 2013, 09:13AM
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S cottV wrote:

I would have to disagree. An experienced coach would have this team at .500 with an outside chance at rallying to make the playoffs. This is a disaster because it would have put the club in a position to play very serious must win hockey games for the remainder of the year. A great learning experience for the club, whether they ended up making the playoffs this year or not. Now - they will try to put a brave face on it - say the right things - maybe get the players to rally somewhat around the bigger picture beyond this year - but - very difficult to play 60 games with no chance to make the playoffs. The fact that we have had such turnover with the Head Coach was probably all the more reason to avoid too many system changes - too soon. The players looked like they were over thinking - second guessing themselves left and right through too many avoidable losses this year. I read a post not long ago that was apparently from an inside source which said something like "it might take 30 or 40 games for the players to totally get what Eakins is trying to do." OMG! Information overload - and it sure looked like it. With a 4 year contract, you dont have to fully put your stamp on a team until mid way through year 2, after a decent run at the playoffs year 1 and well on the way to making the playoffs in year 2. Arrogance, ego and inexperience got in the way. Geez - will this team make the playoffs next year? Only 140 more games to go, before we find out I guess...

I don't think you can say an experienced coach "would have", but maybe "should have". Things were a disaster, and it is system related. But systems get way too much talk. Every system comes back to fundamental hockey, with some minor differences. The players had a hard time playing his system and he did make tweaks to it. Though, it appeared the players only wanted to play the "I will just do whatever I want system". No coach will ever implement it though, cause it doesn't work.

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#53 Jordan Nugent-Hallkins
November 25 2013, 09:22AM
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What a trade by MacT, St Louis was thoroughly fleeced. Their backs were to the (cap) wall, but it's good to see a GM capable of making a calculated move against a team backed into a corner. Usually it's the Oilers between the hammer and the anvil.

The Smid trade is still a head scratcher though, ol' silver fox must be confident he can get Belov to re-sign.

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#54 Old Retired Guy (A.K.A. Die-Nasty)
November 25 2013, 09:29AM
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Fresh Mess wrote:

Grebeshkov and Smid were horrendous moves.

Another way of looking at it...........Anyone who has ever been in a position that calls for high level decision making based on a multitude of variables knows and understands that it's not a perfect science.

Putting aside your perception of the results...which is 100% hindsight......when you're in the position of the decision maker, in real time, part of the equation is the calculation of the percentage chance that you'll be right/correct in your assessment.....you have two fundamental choices....One...do nothing.....Two....take a risk.....which is what decision making is...AND....look for ways to mitigate that risk.......

Grebeshkov was risk mitigation.....one of either he or Belov needed to pan out in order for the decision to sign both to be deemed a success.

As for Smid...you can debate the return value of the players coming back...but it seems clear that Smid, as much as we liked his character, was not a part of the system the Oilers are building....in other words, he was not a fit....doesn't mean he's not a good player......beyond this..all else is conjecture and opinion...which is fine....

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#55 Oildrops
November 25 2013, 10:02AM
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Dubnyk has not been rock solid, his corners are still the place to get goals, he's been beat so many times and saved by the post the past games.

With the Hawks, those guys don't miss a lot so I aspect him to be as soft as butter on Jennifer Garners a**.

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#56 oilersinsider
November 24 2013, 11:43AM
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And I never would have thought he'd draw penalties better than MPS, but he does. Perron brings the Oilers exactly the kind of sandpaper they needed and he's and offensive weapon.

Just like he said in his first presser. MacTavish will be judged on his work and his forwards are a plus. His defense is still up for debate.

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#57 Wäx Män Riley
November 24 2013, 12:16PM
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My guess is that Perron is a true professional. He came in here a little older and a little more mature, with an outside view of this organization. When he sees that the team needs grit, and the coach asks for more grit, he delivers.

When he sees that this team needs to shoot more, and the coach says that you can't pass the puck into the net, he thinks "ok then I will shoot more."

I think it is simply Perron realizing what needs to be done and doing it. He is leading by example, and I hope the rest of the team takes note.

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#58 David S
November 24 2013, 01:09PM
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I'm continually amazed that some people who rely on stats are confounded by the possibility that a pro athlete might do something different or change something about his game to acquire massive improvements (legally I mean - not "The Armstrong way"). Being at the top of your sport doesn't mean you can't always strive to get better. Sometimes in the course of doing so you discover something simple that puts you on a new level. That's one of the coolest things about sport.

On the other hand, Perron's improvement might be the result of something as inane as a training camp conversation like this:

Eakins: Hey David, you ever thought about shooting more? Might help.

Perron: Nope. But I'll give it a try and see what happens.

*High fives*

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#59 HOFFFF
November 24 2013, 01:28PM
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DSF wrote:

You know the Oilers picked Alex Plante and Riley Nash ahead of Perron, right?

Yep. Was just laughing about that too.

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#60 Fresh Mess
November 24 2013, 01:29PM
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I hated this trade when MacLooselips made it. I thought MPS had turned a corner in his play last season and was starting to protect the puck with his body and take it to the net. I thought MPS AND a second rounder was a terrible price to pay for Perron. I thought he was another small skill player on a team already overloaded with them.

I was wrong.

I knew Perron had skill and great hands. What I didn't know was how much grit and agitation he had in his game. He has been excellent, and I am happy to admit I was very wrong about that trade.

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#61 Fresh Mess
November 24 2013, 01:36PM
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David S wrote:

I'm continually amazed that some people who rely on stats are confounded by the possibility that a pro athlete might do something different or change something about his game to acquire massive improvements (legally I mean - not "The Armstrong way"). Being at the top of your sport doesn't mean you can't always strive to get better. Sometimes in the course of doing so you discover something simple that puts you on a new level. That's one of the coolest things about sport.

On the other hand, Perron's improvement might be the result of something as inane as a training camp conversation like this:

Eakins: Hey David, you ever thought about shooting more? Might help.

Perron: Nope. But I'll give it a try and see what happens.

*High fives*

exactly the point I have tried to make with advanced stat cultists.

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#62 THRNHJE
November 24 2013, 01:43PM
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Wrong thread DSF, go back to the thread about MacG, this one is about MacT.

I must agree that our drafting has been historically dreadful. Someone on the other page said offer SJ's scouts copious amounts of money to come here... I could get behind that idea.

OH and on topic, I liked Magnus more than most fans did, but I thought it was a good trade when I saw it. It has turned out to be evem better than I expected.

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#63 Rocket
November 24 2013, 02:36PM
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@BC BOY

What about Grebeshkov?

I mostly agree with you though. MacT (so far) has been better than Tambellini.

But still, Grebeshkov? What was MacT thinking?

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#64 THRNHJE
November 24 2013, 02:43PM
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Rocket wrote:

What about Grebeshkov?

I mostly agree with you though. MacT (so far) has been better than Tambellini.

But still, Grebeshkov? What was MacT thinking?

Do you remember the quality play Grebs had under MacT as coach? He thought if he could get that kind of Dman again for very little, it would be amazing, if not, no big deal. Low risk move with high potential upswing, just like Belov, and Larsen in the Horcoff cap dump. I dont see picking Grebs up as a bad move, getting Larsen, Belov, and Grebs and banking on one to work out and if more did, all the better.

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#65 Thumby
November 24 2013, 03:44PM
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DSF wrote:

How much of it might be system related?

DSF hit this nail on the head.

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#66 pkam
November 24 2013, 03:49PM
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DSF wrote:

You know the Oilers picked Alex Plante and Riley Nash ahead of Perron, right?

I know, and I also know the head amateur scout Kevin Prendergast for that draft has been replaced.

You know Canucks picked Patrick White just ahead of Perron, right? And you know that the Canucks picked Cody Hodgson ahead of Erik Karlsson and Jordan Eberle, right?

And you know that head amateur scout is still with the Canucks organization, right?

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#67 D-Unit
November 24 2013, 04:02PM
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DSF wrote:

Well, considering he was drafted 26th and by the Blues, while the Oilers had 3 first round picks before that, that would leave only 22 teams who passed.

Some of those were busy picking the likes of Patrick Kane, JVR, Kyle Turris, Karl Alzner, Jakub Voracek, Logan Couture, Lars Eller, Ken Shattenkirk, Ryan McDonagh and Max Pacioretty, so it appears only a few teams missed and only one of them had 3 first round picks.

Why no mention of how the Wild were busy picking Colton Gillies? Really, he had 10 points for the Wild, he turned out great, and was only picked 10 spots ahead of Perron.

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#68 Darrell
November 24 2013, 04:59PM
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DSF wrote:

Well, considering he was drafted 26th and by the Blues, while the Oilers had 3 first round picks before that, that would leave only 22 teams who passed.

Some of those were busy picking the likes of Patrick Kane, JVR, Kyle Turris, Karl Alzner, Jakub Voracek, Logan Couture, Lars Eller, Ken Shattenkirk, Ryan McDonagh and Max Pacioretty, so it appears only a few teams missed and only one of them had 3 first round picks.

Just curious DSF - do other teams make mistakes in your eye or just the Oilers? It amazes me how you can continually play Monday morning QB ! What amazes me even more is that your allowed to crap on the Oilers on our own site without the admins doing something - lowetide site benefits Wanye - grow a pair !

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#69 pkam
November 24 2013, 05:24PM
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DSF wrote:

Yeah their amateur scouting has been a weakness forever although Edler (3rd round) Bieksa (5th round), Hansen (9th round),

Their pro scouting makes up for that pretty well by finding undrafted free agents or useful players on the waiver wire.

Alex Burrows, Chris Tanev and Eddie Lack were undrafted treasures while they've also picked up Chris Higgins, Mike Santorelli, Ryan Stanton and others for peanuts.

It is really hard to not recognize the great work of the Canucks' pro scout. Just look at Zack Kassian, Keith Ballard and David Booth.

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#70 Rocket
November 24 2013, 05:29PM
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Does anyone here watch St. Louis games a lot? I'd like to know how Paajarvi is doing from someone who actually watches Blues games.

His stats are not great but I don't know exactly why? He's a smart defensive forward so I would have thought he would fit in with a Hitchcock style of play.

I'm glad The Oilers got Perron though and I would make that trade again in a second but I always kinda liked Paajarvi and wouldn't mind seeing him do well.

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#71 Mikey
November 24 2013, 07:21PM
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DSF wrote:

Here's an idea...

Post something positive about a team that has missed the playoffs 8 years in a row....

That doesn't have a player in the top 30 in scoring despite drafting in the top 10 year after year.

That has below average goaltending....

That has close to the worst centre depth in the league....

That has ZERO top pairing D...

Go!

They have won three in a row.

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#72 Mikey
November 24 2013, 07:26PM
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DSF wrote:

Here's an idea...

Post something positive about a team that has missed the playoffs 8 years in a row....

That doesn't have a player in the top 30 in scoring despite drafting in the top 10 year after year.

That has below average goaltending....

That has close to the worst centre depth in the league....

That has ZERO top pairing D...

Go!

Regarding no player in top 30 for scoring. Neither does PHX, COL, BOS, TO, MON, NYR. Which are playoff teams. I never did check non playoff teams.

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#73 Rocket
November 24 2013, 07:29PM
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@Mikey

Sweet optimism! I wish I could stay that positive about this team. Keep up the good work.

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#74 pkam
November 24 2013, 07:43PM
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DSF wrote:

Everyone is talking about their 2 cups in the last 10 years, or their 4 cups in the last 20 years.

Once the Oilers do that, we'll talk about it...I promise.

We didn't have a cup in the last 20 years, or 23 years to be exact. But nowhere near 43 years. Not something to be proud of for sure. However, some fans are so proud of their 7 year playoff streak despite being cupless for 43 years.

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#75 Nimrod
November 24 2013, 07:51PM
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Perron has been a pleasant surprise, but his offensive numbers will probably come down. I suspect Eakins likes him because unlike many of the other top six forwards there is some sandpaper to his game, even if he's not the biggest guy.

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#76 Slyers
November 24 2013, 08:35PM
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DSF wrote:

Keep ignoring reality if you like.

At least 10 of those teams drafted better players and only 2 teams in that draft had more than 1 first round pick.

St Louis came away with Lars Eller and David Perron and the Oilers came away with Sam Gagner and a fist full of nothing.

As usual you use skewed results, 4 of the names you mentioned were drafted before the oilers first pick. You realize you are the joke of this site, with zero credibility.

It's sad really because this was NOT a good draft for Oilers, yet you still feel the need to distort the facts...... WOW you really just can't help your self PATHETIC !

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#77 Larry
November 24 2013, 10:04PM
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bulldog12 wrote:

Who's this DSF guy? He's an idiot and to respond to him is a waste of time, space and lowers yourself to his intellect.

He's an employee of Oiler Nation to keep things interesting. But, yes, I agree, let's ignore him.

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#78 Spydyr
November 25 2013, 07:34AM
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YFC Prez wrote:

Wow. This thread is totally derailed.

Mr DSF ,

Can you agree on the 2 main points from Willis' article ? 1 Mac T fleeced St. Louis on the deal sending out Paajarvi and getting Perron. 2 Perron is having a career year offensively.

I'm fairly confident even the most jaded fan such as yourself will agree with these 2 points.

DSF trolls for the win.

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#79 Oil Kings 'n' Pretty Things
November 25 2013, 08:39AM
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All I know is that I picked him up in the 18th round of my fantasy draft because of a comment on the trade article that predicted an uptick in his production.

Couldn't be happier.

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#80 camdog
November 25 2013, 09:45AM
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Jordan Nugent-Hallkins wrote:

What a trade by MacT, St Louis was thoroughly fleeced. Their backs were to the (cap) wall, but it's good to see a GM capable of making a calculated move against a team backed into a corner. Usually it's the Oilers between the hammer and the anvil.

The Smid trade is still a head scratcher though, ol' silver fox must be confident he can get Belov to re-sign.

I'm starting to follow Mact's logic here, not saying that I agree, but I understand.

Mact thinks that Klefbomb will be as tough as Smid and ready for next season. Between Belov and N.Shultz the Smid role became redundant. The organization doesn't think Smid is good enough with the puck and not tough enough to warrant keeping around for another 3 seasons at his projected salary and subsequent cap hit.

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#81 yaksbak
November 25 2013, 01:58PM
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S cottV wrote:

I would have to disagree. An experienced coach would have this team at .500 with an outside chance at rallying to make the playoffs. This is a disaster because it would have put the club in a position to play very serious must win hockey games for the remainder of the year. A great learning experience for the club, whether they ended up making the playoffs this year or not. Now - they will try to put a brave face on it - say the right things - maybe get the players to rally somewhat around the bigger picture beyond this year - but - very difficult to play 60 games with no chance to make the playoffs. The fact that we have had such turnover with the Head Coach was probably all the more reason to avoid too many system changes - too soon. The players looked like they were over thinking - second guessing themselves left and right through too many avoidable losses this year. I read a post not long ago that was apparently from an inside source which said something like "it might take 30 or 40 games for the players to totally get what Eakins is trying to do." OMG! Information overload - and it sure looked like it. With a 4 year contract, you dont have to fully put your stamp on a team until mid way through year 2, after a decent run at the playoffs year 1 and well on the way to making the playoffs in year 2. Arrogance, ego and inexperience got in the way. Geez - will this team make the playoffs next year? Only 140 more games to go, before we find out I guess...

Scotty Bowman couldn't have had this team at .500 with the goaltending we got.

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#82 A-Mc
November 24 2013, 12:00PM
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When I heard that we were getting Perron, I watched some StL games to see what he was about. In those games he looked shifty with his hands but he definitely didn't look like a constant threat. Also, he wasn't as gritty as we have seen so far from him.

I was on the fence at first but now that we have seen what he consistently brings, he was a steal! His play looks different by my eye but it doesn't look unreasonable or unsustainable.

Some players just fit better with certain teams/systems; I really hope Perron has found HIS catalyst for good Play, here in edm.

If you're going to have small forwards, you want them to be gritty like Perron.

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#83 Thumby
November 24 2013, 12:08PM
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oilersinsider wrote:

And I never would have thought he'd draw penalties better than MPS, but he does. Perron brings the Oilers exactly the kind of sandpaper they needed and he's and offensive weapon.

Just like he said in his first presser. MacTavish will be judged on his work and his forwards are a plus. His defense is still up for debate.

Belov looks like a nice pickup...

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#84 andrewmk20
November 24 2013, 12:40PM
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@A-Mc

He was actually pretty gritty in St Louis but his linemates were Backes and Oshie on most nights so he didn't play that role as often as he does here because he didn't need to. I was always a Perron fan and was surprised when I heard about the deal because he's a skill guy with some edge and they didn't give up much for him. I guess St Louis had to decide between him and Oshie because they're fairly similar players, kind of like Neal and Benn in Dallas. Those deals always make me scratch my head though because unlike Edmonton having too many skill perimeter players, having more than one of Benn, Neal, Oshie, or Perron seems like a good thing.

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#85 HOFFFF
November 24 2013, 01:09PM
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DSF wrote:

Perron was moved as a salary dump so the Blues could sign Chris Stewart and TJ Oshie.

With Backes, Stewart, Oshie, Reaves, Cracknell, Sobotka and Lapierre, the Blues are a very gritty team.

No surprise that Perron is a different player now that he's not playing Hitchcock's D first system.

Too bad the Oilers didn't draft him when they had a chance.

His point totals are almost identical to the guy we did draft. What is your point? Actually I don't want to hear it but I'm sure we will anyways. We could have also picked Jakub Voracek or Logan Couture or Jamie Benn, heck even PK. But we didn't.

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#86 @stevegregson02
November 24 2013, 01:46PM
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Two things.

Time table for full recovery from a severe concussion like the one Perron had is iffy if not impossible to predict. Often it takes a year or two for a player to feel Fully comfortable or to get back to even Being close to what they were. I have a feeling this injury, along with a very deep blues sqaud, eroded Perrons value - who prior to concussion - was pegged by many in st Louis to be a future star and an asset they wouldn't trade. His career best pace (albiet shooting inflated) i belive came in his injury year.

Second thing is and I have heard Hitchcock say this before in interviews, that players would "waste" low percentage shots and give up possession. Hitch's system has always been possession based cycle games in the o zone where shot attempts come from the point (shattenkirk - petro or Zubov - Sydor) and he likes to post players in the slots for tips or - high percentage cycle based chances. It is likely, since hitch took over (if I remember interview correctly) that he would have muzzled Perrons shot attempts from side angles - 2 of 8 of his goals this year have come off of bad angle shots - in order to not give up possession.

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#89 Woodguy
November 24 2013, 02:27PM
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Jonathan Willis wrote:

Both good points.

As to the second one, I had a similar thought last night, but when I looked at Perron's shot locations chart it didn't look to me like his shot quality has suffered at all.

Jon,

NHL.com has Perron with 80 shots and the SSS has him at 37 shots.

What am I missing?

Also,

Nice post.

Saw you and Tyler tweeting about it last night.

Got me thinking about last game and Perron passed up more than one "good pass" to Gordon in the slot to take a low percentage from closer to the corner.

Wonder if he's doing that by design or just "Feeling it" so he keeps hammering away.

9 shots last game out of the total 35 the Oilers took.

Love it.

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#90 @stevegregson02
November 24 2013, 02:35PM
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@jonathonwillis

Another thing - Perron has played RW last three games with Smyth on left side. In same time frame he has 19SOG. Previous two games he had 6SOG on Left side. Maye he's better suited for right side of the ice in Ozone.

I think the Hitchcock system was a factor. Think about this. You cycle puck predominately on one side of ice. To do this effectively you need three men, two in boards, one in slot. If Perron or another Blue were to fire the puck from sharp angle after gaining forecheck and cycle position - and miss net, glance goalie - puck goes ino opposite corner where single D man for offense is most likely outmanned by D zone coverage.

I know Perrons shot quality hasn't been hurt per say, but I believeany of those random side of the net prayers he throws up a game would have been a no no in a cycle system based on size, strength an positioning to wear down the opposition.

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#91 michael
November 24 2013, 02:55PM
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Like where Perron is heading. Partly due to the fact he is on the 3rd line matched against lesser opponents. Also playing with a center who knows where his bread is buttered. You think Gordon has not been a revelation since he came in lieu of Belanger.

Perron also has seen first unit PP time that is choice. I really see a huge upside to Perron in Eakins system. His skill set matched with his desire for the puck. A grade hockey sense. His shooting from anywhere and we'll see what happens is what we need more of from all of the Oilers.

Perron and Yakupov and eating up Eakins coaching and its starting to pay dividends on the ice.

3 wins in a row does not a season make. But it feels good to see the Oilers not looking like keystone cops for a change.

Chicago tomorrow night is going to be fun. 7-6 Edmonton in a SO win.

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#93 RexLibris
November 24 2013, 02:58PM
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Wasn't it the Perron trade where MacTavish referenced his "stats guys" absolutely loving Perron?

And Perron himself stated repeatedly when he came here that he was looking forward to playing in a more aggressive, offensively-oriented scheme.

So to tap into the other thread that is going on about the Oilers' draft miscues in that 2007 class, perhaps when it comes to professional analytics the Oilers are beginning to get things right?

With regards to the draft hindsight argument, this is virtually always the case. Ken Holland said that if he and his group were really so smart to recognize what kind of players Datsyuk or Zetterberg would become, why did they wait so long to pick them?

The draft begins with identifying and prioritizing talent, but it includes healthy doses of development and sheer luck (Joey Hishon and Alexei Cherepanov are two quick examples of the latter).

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#95 Ron Burgundy
November 24 2013, 03:09PM
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Have been a fan of Perron for years and have owned him on various fantasy teams, so have watched him where I could and followed his stats almost daily for several years. My feeling on his increased production is that there are two reasons: 1. System. 2. Health. Even in Hitch's defense-focussed system Perron went on some good runs, but these have in the past frequently been interrupted by injury. St Louis is so deep that this may have led to Perron losing his spot on a line when he came back, though I don't know that for sure. All I know is, I cheered out loud when I heard about the deal, and he has not disappointed. More please.

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#96 justDOit
November 24 2013, 03:23PM
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@Jonathan Willis

In trying to find another player who has seen a big jump in shots/gm, try looking for someone who might be obvious.

I don't know where to look this stuff up, nor do I have the time, but I'm willing to bet at least one guy on the 88-89 LA Kings saw an uptick in sh/gm. I'm not saying that Perron is playing with Gretzky here in Edmonton, just trying to find another example.

http://www.hockeydb.com/ihdb/stats/leagues/seasons/teams/0000401989.html

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#97 Johnnydapunk
November 24 2013, 03:26PM
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Rob... wrote:

My fear with Belov is that he'll continue to improve and get snatched up by a contender instead of re-signing with the Oilers.

That's my fear as well. With Belov as he doesn't seem to be interviewed much, it's hard to gauge what his mindset is. He is getting a lot of minutes and seems to have been left to just worry about hockey so that might work in the Oilers favour. He seems like a fairly principled guy, the signing of one year deals to keep his hunger to have to play for a new contract and also keep his options open is different, but kind of refreshing.

I think we are just starting to see him come into his game, he has a surprisingly nasty streak in him which has only just started to come out. This video from the KHL is what happens when you piss him off :-)

Belov reaction

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#98 BC BOY
November 24 2013, 03:31PM
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@Rocket

Yeah he hasnt been a good signing so far but it wasn't a high risk signing only one year

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#99 Jon
November 24 2013, 03:38PM
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Did no one catch the quote from David Perron when asked why he's having more success this year??

His answer was "I'm shooting more than I ever have".

There you have it.

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#100 Hockey Problems
November 24 2013, 03:43PM
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Johnnydapunk wrote:

That's my fear as well. With Belov as he doesn't seem to be interviewed much, it's hard to gauge what his mindset is. He is getting a lot of minutes and seems to have been left to just worry about hockey so that might work in the Oilers favour. He seems like a fairly principled guy, the signing of one year deals to keep his hunger to have to play for a new contract and also keep his options open is different, but kind of refreshing.

I think we are just starting to see him come into his game, he has a surprisingly nasty streak in him which has only just started to come out. This video from the KHL is what happens when you piss him off :-)

Belov reaction

That's Awesome. I can't wait for see more of this from him.

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