GDB 18.0: MORNING MADNESS

Jason Gregor
November 09 2013 09:06AM

Yesterday at 4:45 p.m. news broke that the Oilers had traded Ladislav Smid to Calgary, and a half hour later the Ilya Bryzgalov signing became official. Some wondered if the two deals were connected. I believe they were, but not just for financial reasons.

Trading Smid freed up $2.786 million in cap space for the remainder of the season, and $3.5 mill cap hit for the following three years, while Ilya Bryzgalov was signed for $1.75 million, which starting today is $1.393 million in actual cap space. The Oilers could have signed Bryzgalov to that deal without moving Smid; however, I do see a connection between the moves.

The Oilers aren't making the playoffs this season. The coaches and players won't think that way, as they should, but in making these moves I believe Craig MacTavish recognizes the disappointing reality that the Oilers are already 12 points out of a playoff spot.

I expect the Oilers to be better in their final 65 games, but they won't go 38-17-6 in their final 65 (which would give them 92 points).

An hour after making the deal, MacTavish stated that he felt the Oilers had more depth on the blueline, and he expected Oscar Klefbom or Darnell Nurse to be two possibilities to replace Smid's size. Klefbom is 6'3" while Nurse is 6'4", but neither will replace Smid right now. Both of them will push for a roster spot next season, although Klefbom likely will get some games near the end of this season.

MacTavish made this move with the long-term future in mind, more than the short term, and I believe the Bryzgalov move was also made with the bigger picture in mind.

MacTavish is hoping Bryzgalov can come in and either out perform Devan Dubnyk, or push him to play better. That helps right now, but more importantly he needs solid goaltending so his players can taste some success. I don't see the Bryzgalov signing as a big risk. He can't be worse than what they have, and despite some of his past comments, I doubt he will be a bad influence in the dressing room.

The Oilers are finally starting to get comfortable with Dallas Eakins system, and if they can get some victories they are more likely to buy in even more and should enter next season more comfortable in their overall game. For that to happen they need better goaltending.

The Oilers outplayed Tampa Bay on Thursday, one of the better teams in the league, but they lost. We all saw the need to try and improve the goaltending right away, but I feel that MacTavish also did it with an eye on next season.

Eakins isn't getting fired, and next year will be the first time in four seasons that the Oilers won't have to learn a new system. They will enter a season with some actual continuity and understanding of their system. They won't need 10, 15 or 50 games to get comfortable with their new coach.

The Oilers need to have a strong second half. They will get more comfortable in the system, and if they can win some games down the stretch, at least they will end the season with some confidence.

These trades were about the big picture, and the Smid move also gave MacTavish some cap flexibility so he can make even more moves leading up to the trade deadline.

SMID TRADE...

The Oilers lose this trade today; because Roman Horak and Laurent Brossoit are both prospects and there is no guarantee either one of them will ever play. They won't help the Oilers today. It is fair to question why MacTavish made the move, but I believe he made it to get some cap flexibility short term and long term, and he felt Smid was expendable.

Smid was their best shot blocker and most physical defender. He will be missed. Despite his offensive shortcomings, no one ever questioned his willingness and desire. He competed, and he was sick of losing. He was well-liked in the dressing room, and he really enjoyed living in Edmonton. I know being a good guy off the ice, doesn't always coincide with victories on the ice, but the community will miss him. I

On a personal note, I enjoyed interacting with Smid. He was always throwing out barbs and chirps. He would chirp anyone and he was always smiling, even when he was pissed off. A part of me feels bad for Smid, because he is leaving one rebuild for another. I don't see him racking up a lot of wins in Calgary and being on a losing team for that long must start to wear on a guy.

At the same time I don't think Smid's departure is a major blow to the Oilers. They will miss his competitiveness and shot-blocking abilities, but Andrew Ference plays the same game, and if Klefbom is ready next season he has more overall upside.

I also don't think Taylor Fedun's play led to the Smid trade. Craig MacTavish said he had been discussing this deal with the Flames for a few weeks. Smid's puck moving ability was a concern for the team, especially in Dallas Eakins' new system.

TODAY'S GAME....

The Oilers and Flyers are the poster boys for underachieving so far this season. The Oilers sit in the basement of the western conference, while the Flyers are a disappointing 2nd last in the east. The Flyers only have nine points.

Claude Giroux has 0 goals in 15 games. Scott Hartnell has 1 point in 11 games. Wayne Simmonds and Jacob Voracek each have 1 goal in 15 games.

Giroux had 41 goals and 140 points in his previous 125 games.
Hartnell had 45 goals and 75 points in his previous 114 games.
Simmonds had 43 goals and 81 points in his previous 127 games.
Voracek had 40 goals and 85 points in his previous 126 games.

The Flyers are struggling because their best forwards can't produce.

Flyers analyst Steve Coates told me yesterday that the Flyers are an extremely fragile team right now. When something goes wrong in a game they unravel, and they haven't been able to overcome adversity.

Despite below average goaltending and some five-star giveaways the Oilers haven't folded their tents, except for the brutal Detroit game, so far this season. The Oilers have at least battled throughout the majority of their games.

The Oilers need to attack the Flyers right away. Score first and see if the Flyers will wilt. Eventually Giroux, Hartnell, Simmonds and Voracek are going to start scoring, the Oilers have to try and delay that inevitability for at least one more game.

LINEUP...

Perron-Nugent-Hopkins-Eberle
Hall-Gagner-Hemsky
Joensuu-Gordon-Arcobello
Gazdic-Smyth-Yakupov

The fourth line could also include Ryan Jones or Wil Acton. Those players rotated in and out during yesterday's practice.

David Perron and Jesse Joensuu will return to the lineup, and the Oilers will dress their healthiest forward group of the season. If you switched Yakupov for Arcobello, the top three lines would be what most projected them to be, but Arcobello has earned the right to stay in the top-nine.

If the Oilers can stay healthy, Eakins will finally have the option to move guys in and out, or up and down the lineup based on performance.

Ference-Petry
Belov-Larsen
N.Schultz-Fedun

Dubnyk

The D pairs could also change with Anton Belov replacing Smid. The Oilers backend isn't very big or physical, but the Oilers feel they can move the puck quickly, and that should allow their fast, skilled forwards to generate offence.

MORNING GLORY....

GAME DAY PREDICTION: The Flyers and Oilers will each get a point. This one ends in a SO, and the Oilers get the bonus point in a 4-3 win.

OBVIOUS GAME DAY PREDICTION: Wanye and many others miss the first period. Wanye slept in because he spent three hours talking to babes on line after returning home from the bar. Unlike Chip from Napolean Dynamite, none of Wanye's babes lived in the same country, however, so there will be no nuptials in his immediate future. But he will SQUEEEEEEEE when Eberle scores in the 2nd period.

NOT-SO-OBVIOUS GAME DAY PREDICTION: Fedun scores for the third consecutive game. His comeback story just gets better and better as he becomes the first D-man in the expansion era to score a goal in his first three NHL games. Fedun was the first D-man to score in his first two games since, Marcus Ragnarsson in 1995/1996. (Thanks to Elias Sports Bureau for getting me that answer.)

RECENTLY BY JASON GREGOR 

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One of Canada's most versatile sports personalities. Jason hosts The Jason Gregor Show, weekdays from 2 to 6 p.m., on TSN 1260, and he writes a column every Monday in the Edmonton Journal. You can follow him on Twitter at twitter.com/JasonGregor
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#351 Old Retired Guy (A.K.A. Die-Nasty)
November 09 2013, 12:47PM
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James wrote:

Haha, well played good sir.

Thank you James.....and I echo your post..."Thank you Perron!"

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#352 Batfink
November 09 2013, 12:48PM
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How are we still in this? Thank god Giroux is snake bitten. He will have a brake out soon, hopefully not in the 3rd!

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#353 Serious Gord
November 09 2013, 12:49PM
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Stauffer is going to interview MacT in a couple min. Could be worth tuning in for.

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#354 Spydyr
November 09 2013, 12:59PM
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Bucknuck wrote:

This feed from Philly is perhaps the only American feed that hasn't irritated the stink out of me. They aren't half bad.

The camera seems far away and at a weird angle but you are right it is not half bad.

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#355 Spaz
November 09 2013, 01:11PM
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@James

Wouldn't hurt to try starting the second unit first as a 'message' and maybe an opportunity to get the first PP unit against the second tier PK.

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#356 Spydyr
November 09 2013, 01:14PM
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James wrote:

Not sure. It's his first game back, but what about Jonensuu on PP? Big body, could hang out in front of the net for the shovel/re-direct. I'd try Gagner on the PK again to see if he can get back to where he was last year. Also, shorten the shifts of the first line PP, they clearly aren't getting it done as well as they need to be. Belov also hasn't played any PK time. Not saying these will work any better, but maybe it's worth a shot.

Feed JJ taco bell before the game.Then tell him to stand in front of the goalie and to not move his whole shift.Then they might get going on the PP.

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#357 Spaz
November 09 2013, 01:18PM
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https://twitter.com/ryandittrick/status/399269272775430144/photo/1

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#358 Lofty
November 09 2013, 01:19PM
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That's the most emotion I've seen from Eakins on the bench.

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#359 Spydyr
November 09 2013, 01:24PM
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Soccer Steve wrote:

And your classic make-up call by this "ref". So lame.

Maybe the ref was at the bar last night too.

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#360 Rheal1
November 09 2013, 01:29PM
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3-1 Flyers. This game is officially over. Is a loser of a team was MacT's idea of a "bold move"?

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#361 Alsker
November 09 2013, 01:30PM
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Reg Dunlop wrote:

Hall looks like he may have spent last night at the bar.

For anyone thinking that size doesn't matter, watch Eberle. If the smaller player is as committed, is quicker to change direction and is faster from point A to B then size is not relevant. However, big, mean NHLers in today's NHL are just as fast, quick and motivated. This isn't 1980 when slewfoots like Brad Marsh populated rosters. All else being +/- equal size is the determining factor. The oil will remain detritus feeders until more than 1 of the dwarfs are converted into actual men.

"may have", question is who was along for the ride?

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#362 Rheal1
November 09 2013, 01:33PM
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CHED just commented "Oilers gave up on their offence". 3-2 Hall

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#363 Spydyr
November 09 2013, 01:37PM
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Bucknuck wrote:

I'm glad I just can't turn off an Oiler game... just one more..

All of here understand your jones.

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#364 Mikey
November 09 2013, 01:51PM
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Spydyr wrote:

Trash poll I love it.

I would trade anyone on the team not named Hall or Nuge for Subban.

So you would only trade Hall or Nuge? I am confused.

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#365 Spydyr
November 09 2013, 01:52PM
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Mikey wrote:

So you would only trade Hall or Nuge? I am confused.

Opps typo I'll go back and fix it.Thanks

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#366 Spydyr
November 09 2013, 02:21PM
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Spaz wrote:

Batman's a scientist.

Katz is a scientist?

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#367 Talbot17
November 09 2013, 02:22PM
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How i feel after witnessing another Oilers loss

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F2_oFE9ovNk

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#368 Jerod
November 09 2013, 03:00PM
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Spydyr wrote:

Thanks for coming we were missing our regular troll

I was going to say playoffs but then I thought you would think I'm a troll.

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#369 Hangin@Bangin
November 12 2013, 11:07AM
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Nice work Jason, time and time you prove to be a total phoney. It's time you man up and call the oilers as they are and stop sugarcoating it and being such a pushover optimist this team is so far down the gutters the great one himself circa 1987 couldn't save this abomination. (How much are the oilers paying you?)

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