David Perron a Scoring Chance Machine vs. Boston

Jonathan Willis
December 12 2013 10:51PM

 

Despite the 4-2 loss, the Edmonton Oilers had an okay game against Boston, with "okay" here meaning a combination of dreadful for one period and excellent for two. David Perron, who scored both of Edmonton's goals, was a little north of that mark.

Team Scoring Chances

Edmonton Oilers SC+ SC- SC%
Even Strength 15 12 55.6%
Power Play 2 1 66.7%
Short Handed 0 2 0.0%
Total 17 15 53.1%

The Oilers won the scoring chances battle by a narrow amount overall after losing it in the first period. Some of that is score effects - teams with leads get conservative, as the Bruins did, and that helps the team trailing to take an edge.

The Forwards

Player SC+ SC- SC%
Mark Arcobello 1 0 100.0%
Jordan Eberle 9 3 75.0%
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 12 5 70.6%
David Perron 11 5 68.8%
Ales Hemsky 2 2 50.0%
Nail Yakupov 3 4 42.9%
Taylor Hall 2 3 40.0%
Sam Gagner 3 5 37.5%
Jesse Joensuu 1 2 33.3%
Ryan Jones 1 2 33.3%
Luke Gazdic 0 2 0.0%
Anton Lander 0 3 0.0%

There is an interesting range of performance here.

Obviously, Perron's line was the engine that drove the Oilers tonight; Edmonton only managed 15 even-strength chances and more than two-thirds of those came with Perron and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins on the ice. 

The third and fourth lines weren't able to contribute much to the chances battle, but the alarm here is Taylor Hall. He's capable of being the best player on the team and the Oilers aren't going to win many games where he's an indifferent presence. 

The Defence

Player SC+ SC- SC%
Anton Belov 6 2 75.0%
Jeff Petry 6 4 60.0%
Philip Larsen 6 5 54.5%
Andrew Ference 6 6 50.0%
Justin Schultz 3 3 50.0%
Nick Schultz 3 4 42.9%

There's not much to see here.

Jeff Petry and Anton Belov, as the third pair, had the lightest match-ups on the night and did pretty well with them. The top-four more or less broke even, with the Schultz's having the most trouble by eye during five-on-five play.

No real surprises anywhere on this list, given how the lines played by eye; I wouldn't have guessed that Joensuu was on the ice for so few dangerous shots (the only one five-on-five would have been that Gagner rebound he put just wide) because he looked pretty good but sometimes strong play doesn't lead to chances in a period as short as a single hockey game. 

That Nugent-Hopkins, Eberle and Perron line has looked pretty good for a while now but the Oilers need to figure out a way to get everyone else going. 

Recently by Jonathan Willis

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Jonathan Willis is a freelance writer. He currently works for Oilers Nation, Sportsnet, the Edmonton Journal and Bleacher Report. He's co-written three books and worked for myriad websites, including Grantland, ESPN, The Score, and Hockey Prospectus. He was previously the founder and managing editor of Copper & Blue.
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#51 Serious Gord
December 13 2013, 07:32AM
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Cowbell_Feva wrote:

I really have a hard time with people bashing the new coach. For far too long the players have held little to no accountability with how THEY are performing on the ice.

Was it Eakins fault Dubey is not a NHL starter? No, but Labarbara is even worse. Blame management, namely KLowe.

Is it Eakins fault that his top scorer doesn't know how to take the open man on the PP 2 on 1, even though Bergeron literally stopped and allowed him time to get a stick on Marchard? No, but Eberle is their best scorer so he has to play him in a tight game late in the 3rd.

I might not agree with having Larsen on the PP because he clearly was fighting the puck all night. Sure. But lets face it. The Oilers defensive corps is the worst in the league. Management traded one of their so called "top 2" to Calgary and added zero.

You can't paint a picasso with dog-sh*t. To think Eakins is the issue is missing the more obvious, glaring holes. Bad goaltending and worse defensemen= bad hockey team. Toe Blake, Scotty Bowman and Pat Burns combined wouldn't have this team much more than a few points higher than it currently stands.

Baloney.

Eakins can definitely have an impact on how the individual players play.

You talk about lack of account ability? That's Eakins role and it's his fault they haven't been held to account.

You talk about not knowing how to defend? Eakins and company should be able to teach it and make sure it happens.

Just contrast how the plow mules to the city south if EDM are playing compared to the oil and you will see how awful a coaching group the oil has.

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#52 camdog
December 13 2013, 09:16AM
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Eulers wrote:

Have a good look at the short handed goal where Eberle lets up on his man and misses the pass when he should have taken the body. I will certainly concede that his point production has turned around though.

All he had to do is put his stick on is man and that goal doesn't go in. Shultz does this a lot as well. I don't understand playing cute in the d- zone. I also don't understand why they keep getting away with this.

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#53 vetinari
December 13 2013, 09:28AM
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Wohin gehst du? wrote:

Does anyone think Dubnyk would clear waivers?

Don't know, but it's tempting some days to try. There has got to be a team willing to flip a pick for him at the deadline, right?

I do suggest a new nickname for him:

Devin "Digger" Dubnyk

Digger as in, "digs pucks out of his own net"

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#54 David S
December 13 2013, 09:42AM
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BTW Jonathan. Any chance of getting more of those screen capture/stop action articles? I'd really like to know what system Eakins is running that's screwing these guys up so much. Or what opposing teams are doing to neutralize our strengths.

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#55 David S
December 13 2013, 10:37AM
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d wrote:

Not eakins. Lowe

I wouldn't be surprised if Lowe gives pointers to eakins on how to coach. Afterall, he does have more rings than him lmao

Well he DOES know something about winning, if anyone should ask.

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#56 tileguy55
December 13 2013, 11:01AM
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vetinari wrote:

Don't know, but it's tempting some days to try. There has got to be a team willing to flip a pick for him at the deadline, right?

I do suggest a new nickname for him:

Devin "Digger" Dubnyk

Digger as in, "digs pucks out of his own net"

Awh, sorta like "Red Light Racicot"

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#57 rindog
December 13 2013, 11:32AM
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27Ginge wrote:

Hall's poor performance shouldn't be alarming. He got saddled with Hemsky. Toughest guy to play with on team by a mile.

His minuses and scoring chances against came when he was with Yakupov and Gagner. His game got better in the 2nd and 3rd period.

Nice try though...

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#58 S cottV
December 13 2013, 11:37AM
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@Rama Lama

Like others, I have posted my disdain for the swarm from the start. Some teams do swarm like things at certain times / in certain isolated situations, but no one employs that stuff as the default way to defend - your 90% way to handle things in your own end. OMG - the NHL is way too fast and way too skilled to throw what is essentially an extra man on the puck carrier, leaving what is normally an opposition point man - wide open.

Eakins having the gall - the nerve - the inflated ego, to come into his first NHL coaching assignment to "impose his will" with the swarm, was a bad rookie coach move. That thing cost the Oilers a lot of points and maybe we could have been at .500 right now.

No question in my mind, that the Asst Coaches would have been rolling their eyes - watching the swarm and other Eakins tactics blow up left and right - throughout this season.

We do not know how much the Asst Coaches challenge the direction of the Head Coach. However - the fact that they have survived for so long, thru all of the recent Head Coach changes - probably tells you that they are diplomats. Some diplomacy can be good but too much can be real bad.

One of the main reasons that a Head Coach generally picks his own Asst's, is that there is greater chance for a united and focused leadership impact on the player group to get the vision executed on the ice. This can be very powerful - "if" the vision is on target - the right things to do with the player group on hand.

I would suspect that Buchberger and Smith have not been fully on side with Eakins direction - how could they be? So - there has been a disconnect and if so, it is impossible to keep this from the player group, even if the leadership group tries to hide it. Fragmented leadership makes a tough situaton - tougher and shows on the ice, in the form of more losses than would otherwise be the case.

If Eakins revised "vision" is now on point, and is something that Buchberger and Smith can really embrace with a united passion - then maybe there is a chance they stay together.

My guess however, is that passionate synergy isnt really there and is something that will have to change in one way or another.

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#59 michael
December 13 2013, 06:16AM
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Gagner on pace for 45 points. Sae as always. You want more? Gagner is a third line center. He is not playing well enough to be the second line center. No matter who he is teamed up with on a line. His play is kinda like the Belanger vortex of futility. Anyone near him gets sucked in and is done.

DD. He has/was solid before that goal. Then the old DD arrived and in a game where you might get 2-3 goals yourself giving up a freebie is not in your teams best interest.

The cycle goal is what the Oilers cannot stop. At all. Their lack of a dman on each pairing with size and physicality kills them. Petry is big. Sure. Yet he is as soft as Charmin.

The SH goal. Again. Eberle looked gassed coing back and essentially glided the last 10 ft or so. MacT .Its the last 5% that is difference between winning and losing in the NHL> EBS and his teamamtes should watch that goal over and over so that quote can sink in.

Open net goal. Why on Earth does not Eakins pull the goalie right off the bat on the PP. Larsen at the blueline is a ess when he is forced to handle the puck under pressue.

Perron. Whats right with this team.

Would Galchenyuk be more desirable at center than Sam Rheinhart?

Garth Snow is about to do something. He is under sever pressure. He needs a shooter to compliment Tavares. What will he give up? Vanek has turned into an albatross. The Isles need a major shake up.

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#60 Zamboni Driver
December 13 2013, 08:05AM
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You know it's gone from bad to worse when two goals qualifies one as a 'scoring machine'.

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#61 27Ginge
December 13 2013, 10:44AM
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Hall's poor performance shouldn't be alarming. He got saddled with Hemsky. Toughest guy to play with on team by a mile.

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#62 common sense
December 13 2013, 12:15PM
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rindog wrote:

What about feeling sorry for Gagner's linemates instead?

I like Gagner, but it is bordering on insanity having him in the top 6 at this point.

Gags is playing conspicuously terrible. He needs to spend some time in the pressbox and let his jaw and his psyche heal. Maybe his dad can give him some professional and emotional support. Probably rushed back from injury but his play hasn't even been up to AHL level.

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#63 risto siltanen's slapshot
December 13 2013, 12:02AM
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as a cubs fan I believe in curses...that being said I hope the oilers make the playoffs before the cubs win a world series. the burke curse is alive and well since lowe gave all the picks for penner.now that we have all of our high picked talent maybe we can trde them for a playoff berth .if not we'll keep floundering and we can watch a real hockey man lead those awful flames to the playoffs or at least more victories than the oil.peca, brodziak,marchant,grier, moreau, pisani,stortini....all would sound good right now over 3 or 4 of our floaters. just hit somebody please cuz our powerplay is putting me to sleep.can anyone break a tissue paper shooter tutor from the point?

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#64 Eulers
December 13 2013, 08:13AM
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geno wrote:

it's a good thing some people suggested benching Eberle. Punish the team for a mistake made by one of the top 3Fs of the nights

Have a good look at the short handed goal where Eberle lets up on his man and misses the pass when he should have taken the body. I will certainly concede that his point production has turned around though.

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#65 Wohin gehst du?
December 13 2013, 08:57AM
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Does anyone think Dubnyk would clear waivers?

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#66 S cottV
December 13 2013, 09:42AM
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Nice to see a game with a Stanley Cup contender involved, in the "big team" profile. While probably not the only way to approach the building to contender status, it is easy to see - why its effective. It's not only big and tough - its reach, commanding space, strong sticks, protecting puck possession, dirty ice entry etc etc..

If you reinstate the 6 guys out of the Bruins line up, go with Rask in net, set up a playoff series between the two teams - with playoff style refereeing and the Oilers would obviously not stand a chance. No big surprise in that, but probably sheds some light on where MacT has to put some focus, if we are ever to see a playoff game, in the not too distant future. I dont think you have to be particularly big to compete, but big enough is a minimum and the Oilers are not there.

There were several Oilers last night that were not comfortable playing "big boy" hockey. Some can adjust and others are just are not suited for it. The stats probably tell some of that story. Not sure because I had company while watching the game and didnt pay particular attention - but - looks like Hall's line, saw the most of Chara from the numbers. If so - another indicator that size matters.

Not to pick on Gagner - but with RNH not being the biggest kind of guy and not going anywhere - it magnifies the need for a larger and talented 2C, to play with the big boys in the league. So - size really does matter in 2C. It also matters in 1 or 2D and 3 or 4D.

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#67 d
December 13 2013, 10:22AM
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David S wrote:

BTW Jonathan. Any chance of getting more of those screen capture/stop action articles? I'd really like to know what system Eakins is running that's screwing these guys up so much. Or what opposing teams are doing to neutralize our strengths.

Not eakins. Lowe

I wouldn't be surprised if Lowe gives pointers to eakins on how to coach. Afterall, he does have more rings than him lmao

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#68 risto siltanen's slapshot
December 13 2013, 11:45AM
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how good is st. Louis if they can almost give away someone with that much heart and passion? go mac t and find another team's character player and let him teach our superstars how to play cuz ou veterans don't know how to win let alone battle.hemsky,gagner don't have enough between them to justify their role on this team...unless the invisible man is a role they"re trying out for.doug weight learned from guys like Richardson and buchberger on how to compete who"s teaching our kids?

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#69 Dave
December 13 2013, 12:05PM
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Slightly off topic. No televised hockey where I am so I listened to the game on 630. I thought that Bob Stauffer had a very good play by play filling in and I liked Brown as his colour guy. In fact I liked the broadcast better !

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#70 Drowning in Oil
December 13 2013, 01:32AM
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It really doesn't matter how bad Eakins is or becomes because he is staying. Mac T has the perfect excuse to keep his hiring..... Stability. So even if Eakins ends up being a horrible coach and he hasn't done much to prove he is great, we are stuck with him for at least 2 to 3 more years. Mac T will always use the typical excuses to keep his hiring in place. Just more of the same B.S. from the (we were here for the Stanley Cups but weren't really vital) group running this team!!

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#71 bwar
December 13 2013, 02:48AM
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The top line was great tonight. Rest of the team not so much. Really need to find a second line combination that can effect games positively and consistently. I personally would like to see something along the lines of Gagner-Arcobello-Hemsky/Hall. I really feel strongly that Gagner needs to move to the wing and once Gordon can come back I really hope we see him shifted over for a few games.

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#72 Serious Gord
December 13 2013, 09:03AM
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Bruce McCurdy wrote:

One last try. It seems like the "less than" symbol obliterates the entire rest of a comment due to the highly advanced comments editor in use here. I will avoid that character completely in my third attempt to make a simple comment. Please feel free to delete the prior two. ---

Perron-RNH-Eberle were the focus of Claude Julien's preferred match-up, as Chara played over 11 minutes against each, compared to LESS THAN 7 vs. Hall and LESS THAN 5 vs. every other Oilers forward. They also saw about 8 minutes of Bergeron, who played around 6 minutes vs. Hall and LESS THAN 5 minutes vs. every other Oilers forward.

Despite matching up against Boston's top defenceman and top defensive forwards -- each among the NHL's elite at their function -- 57-93-14 generated three-quarters of Oilers scoring chances? Good for them! But where were their teammates?

Interesting post - worth the effort.

My question is: did chara get put up against that line from the outset or did the coach switch his focus once he saw that hall wasn't going last night?

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#73 Zamboni Driver
December 13 2013, 09:08AM
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Zamboni Driver wrote:

You know it's gone from bad to worse when two goals qualifies one as a 'scoring machine'.

My bad for poor reading skills.

Missed the 'Scoring Chance' part.

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#74 Rod from Viking
December 13 2013, 09:09AM
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Wintoon wrote:

MacT has to find a 2C or a legitimate 1C and bump RNH down to 2C. The contribution, or rather the lack thereof from Gagner is hurting this team immensely. Those that say Gagner can play wing are kidding themselves. He is no good on the boards, can't compete in the corners, isn't a fast enough skater and is just generally mentally challenged from a defensive perspective. Until MacT comes up with the needed Centre, this team will struugle to achieve respectability.

There are maybe 3 of teams teams that may have interest in Gagner, Toronto, Nashville and Vancouver, I have no idea what we could get back and I don't care, finish the year with the the centers we have.

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#75 David S
December 13 2013, 09:40AM
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** wrote:

Eakins should make it a rule never to put Yak, Hall and Gags together again. Ever.

Problem is the sync. Gagner isn't quite there yet, Hall is off somehow and Yak needs to take 10% off his shot velocity to be more accurate. If they had some decent defence behind them they'd be more agressive and free flowing (notice that Gagner is hanging back more these days instead of comitting to the play? That's compensating for bad D). In fact, this line could kill it if those guys were running on all cylinders.

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#76 Virtual_Xi
December 13 2013, 11:53AM
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for a team that is so sensitive to having the first goal scored on them, Dubnyk is a real cancer in the dressing room. I know guys like to stick behind the goaltender, but how many times have they cut to a player after dubnyk lets in one of those goals, and see the body language of the players (i.e., hall). It doesn't matter how many awesome saves he makes, when players see those knucklers go in, it deadens them. Nothing will change while he's the goalie because the players don't believe in him anymore.

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#77 Danger Pay
December 13 2013, 12:03PM
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Man the TSN blog sucks, The moderators wont let any Oiler comments on todays game story, so weak. Thank Goodness for Oilers Nation!!!!!!

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#78 Rama Lama
December 13 2013, 12:36PM
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S cottV wrote:

Like others, I have posted my disdain for the swarm from the start. Some teams do swarm like things at certain times / in certain isolated situations, but no one employs that stuff as the default way to defend - your 90% way to handle things in your own end. OMG - the NHL is way too fast and way too skilled to throw what is essentially an extra man on the puck carrier, leaving what is normally an opposition point man - wide open.

Eakins having the gall - the nerve - the inflated ego, to come into his first NHL coaching assignment to "impose his will" with the swarm, was a bad rookie coach move. That thing cost the Oilers a lot of points and maybe we could have been at .500 right now.

No question in my mind, that the Asst Coaches would have been rolling their eyes - watching the swarm and other Eakins tactics blow up left and right - throughout this season.

We do not know how much the Asst Coaches challenge the direction of the Head Coach. However - the fact that they have survived for so long, thru all of the recent Head Coach changes - probably tells you that they are diplomats. Some diplomacy can be good but too much can be real bad.

One of the main reasons that a Head Coach generally picks his own Asst's, is that there is greater chance for a united and focused leadership impact on the player group to get the vision executed on the ice. This can be very powerful - "if" the vision is on target - the right things to do with the player group on hand.

I would suspect that Buchberger and Smith have not been fully on side with Eakins direction - how could they be? So - there has been a disconnect and if so, it is impossible to keep this from the player group, even if the leadership group tries to hide it. Fragmented leadership makes a tough situaton - tougher and shows on the ice, in the form of more losses than would otherwise be the case.

If Eakins revised "vision" is now on point, and is something that Buchberger and Smith can really embrace with a united passion - then maybe there is a chance they stay together.

My guess however, is that passionate synergy isnt really there and is something that will have to change in one way or another.

I agree with all your points. The most frustrating thing is we are fatigued by the notion of hiring yet another coach.

There is much to like about how Eakins presents himself to the media in a straightforward fashion, but this is not going to win us games. He has admitted that he was stupid for asserting his retarded system of play.......kudos for that.

If he has admitted this he basically told the hockey world, I'm learning on the job......well this learning has cost us games.

Now if he fired the assistant coaches, ( Lowe's friends) and hired a PP specialist and a defensive coach, not named Steve Smith, I would cut him some slack.

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#79 Oiler Al
December 13 2013, 01:32PM
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Bruce McCurdy wrote:

Interesting to compare these results to match-ups. Perron-RNH-Eberle were the focus of Claude Julien's preferred match-up, as Chara played over 11 minutes against each, compared to

Smart coach that Claude, why waste good players covering Hall's line, when they didn't even show up for the game, why bother, play your resources where they count.

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#80 Clarko
December 13 2013, 08:44AM
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RexHolez wrote:

Yet another game of the forwards playing good enough to win while the D and goaltending lets us down.

Switch goalies with every team we play and the Oilers make the playoffs

They may have played well last night, but two goals isn't enough to win you many games...

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#81 Bruce McCurdy
December 13 2013, 08:45AM
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Huh, comments editor doesn't like "

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#82 Smokey
December 13 2013, 09:04AM
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I'd do Gagner / Yakupov for Reinhardt / Okposo. Let the trashes begin...A hopeful top 2 defender and power forward. Would be the shake up both teams could use. Gives NY a to 6 player and another sniper for Tavaras.

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#83 Danger Pay
December 13 2013, 10:31AM
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steveb12344 wrote:

Yes, definitely.

But what should we really expect from a guy named Doobie?

Obviously everyone is going to want to light him up...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AM-7Ts-3wmY

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#84 Calgary Oilers
December 13 2013, 11:27AM
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MVP! (of this sad sack group they call a team).

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#85 Rob...
December 13 2013, 12:56PM
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How is the hell is this guy not working his way into Olympic team consideration? At the very least he should be on their 'must watch closely' list.

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#86 Jordan Nugent-Hallkins
December 13 2013, 01:03PM
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@Dave

Completely agree, I don't mind Jack Michaels' play by play but Bob called it with some real emotion.

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#87 Tikkanese
December 13 2013, 01:08PM
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Johnnydapunk wrote:

I wouldn't be disappointed with even a Bryz/ Bachman combo if we are looking at Dubnyk free options.

In reality, based on all the goalies play thus far, Bryz/Bachman should be the tandem. Contracts and politics won't let that happen though.

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#88 S cottV
December 13 2013, 01:28PM
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@Rama Lama

I dont see MacT changing any of the Coach staff in the short term.

If MacT increasingly believes that Eakins is now on point and is his guy, he will allow Eakins to make an AC change or two at the end of the season.

With that mandate, I would not be surprised to see him cut one or both of Buchberger and Smith. They are probably good AC's in their respective own rights, but unlikely to be ideal compliments to Eakins - unless by some fluke of compatibility nature.

My guess is one of Buchberger or Smith is least on side or compatible with Eakins and he will sense or know it outright. So - whoever that is - will go first.

I would not entirely rule out the possibility of a Head Coach change at the end of the season. Will depend on how things go and will not be easy holding things togther, being out of playoff contention since mid Nov.

That all being said - I respect his acknowledgement to the hockey world, I feel his pain, hope he is now on point, the Coach staff is united and that things all work out.

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#89 Ed in PV
December 13 2013, 01:48PM
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Rob... wrote:

How is the hell is this guy not working his way into Olympic team consideration? At the very least he should be on their 'must watch closely' list.

I'm not sure if Perron has done enough to make the Olympics, but he certainly has done enough to get in the conversation. And perhaps he is being seriously considered, we may never know.

Although Hall's top end game can be better the Perron, Perron brings a more consistent game that you can count on most nights. Over the 1st third of the season Perron has been better than Hall.

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#90 Rob F
December 13 2013, 02:14PM
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risto siltanen's slapshot wrote:

as a cubs fan I believe in curses...that being said I hope the oilers make the playoffs before the cubs win a world series. the burke curse is alive and well since lowe gave all the picks for penner.now that we have all of our high picked talent maybe we can trde them for a playoff berth .if not we'll keep floundering and we can watch a real hockey man lead those awful flames to the playoffs or at least more victories than the oil.peca, brodziak,marchant,grier, moreau, pisani,stortini....all would sound good right now over 3 or 4 of our floaters. just hit somebody please cuz our powerplay is putting me to sleep.can anyone break a tissue paper shooter tutor from the point?

you have to die before you curse someone...or you have to own a goat......its in all the curse books.........although Burke looked like he was wearing goat hair at the presser yesterday

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#91 Serious Gord
December 13 2013, 09:32AM
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Dman wrote:

So we should fire our 5th coach after 32 games and hire our 6th? Yeah that will obviously fix the probelem.

I'm not saying it is an optimal situation, but a failing/incompetent coach is better off replaced than retained.

Let's understand why there is so much resistance to the idea - it not continuity that is the issue - it loss of face on the part of MacT as Eakins was his out of the blue pick (approved by Lowe).

So the real solution is not to fire Eakins but to do whAt the flames did: bring in a new POHO and let him replace ALL of the management bits that Lowe has hired.

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#92 Danger Pay
December 13 2013, 12:48PM
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Dave wrote:

Slightly off topic. No televised hockey where I am so I listened to the game on 630. I thought that Bob Stauffer had a very good play by play filling in and I liked Brown as his colour guy. In fact I liked the broadcast better !

Agreed, Mr. Quinn better watch his back!

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#93 Old Retired Guy (A.K.A. Die-Nasty)
December 13 2013, 03:50PM
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YakZ wrote:

Can we pleeeeeease sign Perron for 7 years?

Problem brewing.......if your paying Gags 4.8 and Ebbs 6 million.......what are you now going to have to pay Perron. $6 million?

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