David Perron a Scoring Chance Machine vs. Boston

Jonathan Willis
December 12 2013 10:51PM

 

Despite the 4-2 loss, the Edmonton Oilers had an okay game against Boston, with "okay" here meaning a combination of dreadful for one period and excellent for two. David Perron, who scored both of Edmonton's goals, was a little north of that mark.

Team Scoring Chances

Edmonton Oilers SC+ SC- SC%
Even Strength 15 12 55.6%
Power Play 2 1 66.7%
Short Handed 0 2 0.0%
Total 17 15 53.1%

The Oilers won the scoring chances battle by a narrow amount overall after losing it in the first period. Some of that is score effects - teams with leads get conservative, as the Bruins did, and that helps the team trailing to take an edge.

The Forwards

Player SC+ SC- SC%
Mark Arcobello 1 0 100.0%
Jordan Eberle 9 3 75.0%
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 12 5 70.6%
David Perron 11 5 68.8%
Ales Hemsky 2 2 50.0%
Nail Yakupov 3 4 42.9%
Taylor Hall 2 3 40.0%
Sam Gagner 3 5 37.5%
Jesse Joensuu 1 2 33.3%
Ryan Jones 1 2 33.3%
Luke Gazdic 0 2 0.0%
Anton Lander 0 3 0.0%

There is an interesting range of performance here.

Obviously, Perron's line was the engine that drove the Oilers tonight; Edmonton only managed 15 even-strength chances and more than two-thirds of those came with Perron and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins on the ice. 

The third and fourth lines weren't able to contribute much to the chances battle, but the alarm here is Taylor Hall. He's capable of being the best player on the team and the Oilers aren't going to win many games where he's an indifferent presence. 

The Defence

Player SC+ SC- SC%
Anton Belov 6 2 75.0%
Jeff Petry 6 4 60.0%
Philip Larsen 6 5 54.5%
Andrew Ference 6 6 50.0%
Justin Schultz 3 3 50.0%
Nick Schultz 3 4 42.9%

There's not much to see here.

Jeff Petry and Anton Belov, as the third pair, had the lightest match-ups on the night and did pretty well with them. The top-four more or less broke even, with the Schultz's having the most trouble by eye during five-on-five play.

No real surprises anywhere on this list, given how the lines played by eye; I wouldn't have guessed that Joensuu was on the ice for so few dangerous shots (the only one five-on-five would have been that Gagner rebound he put just wide) because he looked pretty good but sometimes strong play doesn't lead to chances in a period as short as a single hockey game. 

That Nugent-Hopkins, Eberle and Perron line has looked pretty good for a while now but the Oilers need to figure out a way to get everyone else going. 

Recently by Jonathan Willis

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Jonathan Willis is a freelance writer. He currently works for Oilers Nation, the Edmonton Journal and Bleacher Report. He's co-written three books and worked for myriad websites, including Grantland, ESPN, The Score, and Hockey Prospectus. He was previously the founder and managing editor of Copper & Blue.
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#51 Zamboni Driver
December 13 2013, 08:45AM
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Fascinating....on Rishaug's hit on TSN1260 this morning, two players called out by name.

Hemsky by Fraser - 'Perron's excellent play has made even more clear how little Hemsky has done in the last three years'. [I'd say eight years, but clearly the Tinman is who we thought he is. and is going to bring absolutely nothing in a trade.]

Gagner by Rishaug - 'Perron was a leader trying get teammates to follow. Gagner did not follow.'

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#52 Oil Is My Blood
December 13 2013, 08:47AM
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I am totally amazed that we have Kelly Buchberger and Steve Smith, who were probably two of the ten toughest Oilers ever, standing and watching their team, game after game, NOT hit anyone!!

MacT, put the organization above Katz, and get rid of those two ASSistants!

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#53 Bruce McCurdy
December 13 2013, 08:50AM
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One last try. It seems like the "less than" symbol obliterates the entire rest of a comment due to the highly advanced comments editor in use here. I will avoid that character completely in my third attempt to make a simple comment. Please feel free to delete the prior two. ---

Perron-RNH-Eberle were the focus of Claude Julien's preferred match-up, as Chara played over 11 minutes against each, compared to LESS THAN 7 vs. Hall and LESS THAN 5 vs. every other Oilers forward. They also saw about 8 minutes of Bergeron, who played around 6 minutes vs. Hall and LESS THAN 5 minutes vs. every other Oilers forward.

Despite matching up against Boston's top defenceman and top defensive forwards -- each among the NHL's elite at their function -- 57-93-14 generated three-quarters of Oilers scoring chances? Good for them! But where were their teammates?

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#54 Serious Gord
December 13 2013, 09:03AM
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Bruce McCurdy wrote:

One last try. It seems like the "less than" symbol obliterates the entire rest of a comment due to the highly advanced comments editor in use here. I will avoid that character completely in my third attempt to make a simple comment. Please feel free to delete the prior two. ---

Perron-RNH-Eberle were the focus of Claude Julien's preferred match-up, as Chara played over 11 minutes against each, compared to LESS THAN 7 vs. Hall and LESS THAN 5 vs. every other Oilers forward. They also saw about 8 minutes of Bergeron, who played around 6 minutes vs. Hall and LESS THAN 5 minutes vs. every other Oilers forward.

Despite matching up against Boston's top defenceman and top defensive forwards -- each among the NHL's elite at their function -- 57-93-14 generated three-quarters of Oilers scoring chances? Good for them! But where were their teammates?

Interesting post - worth the effort.

My question is: did chara get put up against that line from the outset or did the coach switch his focus once he saw that hall wasn't going last night?

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#55 YAKCITY64
December 13 2013, 09:14AM
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Perron is a stud and we need to give Mac T huge props for pulling off that deal and also acquiring boyd gordon. But the essence of the problems with this organization are actually seen when we bring guys like perron and gordon in. Both of them are easily in our top 5 fwds and both of them have been taught and developed by superior coaches and superior organizations and these two players show how terrible the oilers have been in drafting, acquiring and developing similar players. This evidence alone should cost Kblowe his job

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#56 camdog
December 13 2013, 09:16AM
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Eulers wrote:

Have a good look at the short handed goal where Eberle lets up on his man and misses the pass when he should have taken the body. I will certainly concede that his point production has turned around though.

All he had to do is put his stick on is man and that goal doesn't go in. Shultz does this a lot as well. I don't understand playing cute in the d- zone. I also don't understand why they keep getting away with this.

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#57 vetinari
December 13 2013, 09:28AM
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Wohin gehst du? wrote:

Does anyone think Dubnyk would clear waivers?

Don't know, but it's tempting some days to try. There has got to be a team willing to flip a pick for him at the deadline, right?

I do suggest a new nickname for him:

Devin "Digger" Dubnyk

Digger as in, "digs pucks out of his own net"

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#58 steveb12344
December 13 2013, 10:21AM
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Danger Pay wrote:

Anyone else kinda think the game was over after the 1st goal?

1st goal = http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AM-7Ts-3wmY

Yes, definitely.

But what should we really expect from a guy named Doobie?

Obviously everyone is going to want to light him up...

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#59 TDSM31
December 13 2013, 10:53AM
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Note to Oilers Stores at Rexall...stock more Perron jerseys.

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#60 risto siltanen's slapshot
December 13 2013, 11:45AM
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how good is st. Louis if they can almost give away someone with that much heart and passion? go mac t and find another team's character player and let him teach our superstars how to play cuz ou veterans don't know how to win let alone battle.hemsky,gagner don't have enough between them to justify their role on this team...unless the invisible man is a role they"re trying out for.doug weight learned from guys like Richardson and buchberger on how to compete who"s teaching our kids?

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#61 vetinari
December 13 2013, 11:53AM
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Meanwhile back at the KatzCave...

Since our "Great-And-Mighty-Owner" got his new stadium, he hasn't been around much to comment on the current state of affairs of his wonderfu; team... what's he been up to? I suspect that on Saturday mornings, him and his kid force Oilers alumni to join them on their backyard rink and relive the glory days of '80s with Darryl filing in for Gretz... much like a human chess piece set.

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#62 Rama Lama
December 13 2013, 12:36PM
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S cottV wrote:

Like others, I have posted my disdain for the swarm from the start. Some teams do swarm like things at certain times / in certain isolated situations, but no one employs that stuff as the default way to defend - your 90% way to handle things in your own end. OMG - the NHL is way too fast and way too skilled to throw what is essentially an extra man on the puck carrier, leaving what is normally an opposition point man - wide open.

Eakins having the gall - the nerve - the inflated ego, to come into his first NHL coaching assignment to "impose his will" with the swarm, was a bad rookie coach move. That thing cost the Oilers a lot of points and maybe we could have been at .500 right now.

No question in my mind, that the Asst Coaches would have been rolling their eyes - watching the swarm and other Eakins tactics blow up left and right - throughout this season.

We do not know how much the Asst Coaches challenge the direction of the Head Coach. However - the fact that they have survived for so long, thru all of the recent Head Coach changes - probably tells you that they are diplomats. Some diplomacy can be good but too much can be real bad.

One of the main reasons that a Head Coach generally picks his own Asst's, is that there is greater chance for a united and focused leadership impact on the player group to get the vision executed on the ice. This can be very powerful - "if" the vision is on target - the right things to do with the player group on hand.

I would suspect that Buchberger and Smith have not been fully on side with Eakins direction - how could they be? So - there has been a disconnect and if so, it is impossible to keep this from the player group, even if the leadership group tries to hide it. Fragmented leadership makes a tough situaton - tougher and shows on the ice, in the form of more losses than would otherwise be the case.

If Eakins revised "vision" is now on point, and is something that Buchberger and Smith can really embrace with a united passion - then maybe there is a chance they stay together.

My guess however, is that passionate synergy isnt really there and is something that will have to change in one way or another.

I agree with all your points. The most frustrating thing is we are fatigued by the notion of hiring yet another coach.

There is much to like about how Eakins presents himself to the media in a straightforward fashion, but this is not going to win us games. He has admitted that he was stupid for asserting his retarded system of play.......kudos for that.

If he has admitted this he basically told the hockey world, I'm learning on the job......well this learning has cost us games.

Now if he fired the assistant coaches, ( Lowe's friends) and hired a PP specialist and a defensive coach, not named Steve Smith, I would cut him some slack.

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#63 Danger Pay
December 13 2013, 12:48PM
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Dave wrote:

Slightly off topic. No televised hockey where I am so I listened to the game on 630. I thought that Bob Stauffer had a very good play by play filling in and I liked Brown as his colour guy. In fact I liked the broadcast better !

Agreed, Mr. Quinn better watch his back!

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#64 Rob...
December 13 2013, 12:56PM
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How is the hell is this guy not working his way into Olympic team consideration? At the very least he should be on their 'must watch closely' list.

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#65 Oiler Al
December 13 2013, 01:32PM
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Bruce McCurdy wrote:

Interesting to compare these results to match-ups. Perron-RNH-Eberle were the focus of Claude Julien's preferred match-up, as Chara played over 11 minutes against each, compared to

Smart coach that Claude, why waste good players covering Hall's line, when they didn't even show up for the game, why bother, play your resources where they count.

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#66 Ed in PV
December 13 2013, 01:48PM
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Rob... wrote:

How is the hell is this guy not working his way into Olympic team consideration? At the very least he should be on their 'must watch closely' list.

I'm not sure if Perron has done enough to make the Olympics, but he certainly has done enough to get in the conversation. And perhaps he is being seriously considered, we may never know.

Although Hall's top end game can be better the Perron, Perron brings a more consistent game that you can count on most nights. Over the 1st third of the season Perron has been better than Hall.

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#67 RexHolez
December 12 2013, 11:24PM
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@Rinkrat Brown

Once the forwards have the puck they can play with anyone. The problem is we can't get them the puck! And terrible goaltending is always the nail in the coffin

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#68 Old Retired Guy (A.K.A. Die-Nasty)
December 12 2013, 11:36PM
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Next up, is Connor McJesus. wrote:

A third of the way through the season and the Oilers player of the year is in the bag already.

Oilers should try his pi$$ n vinegar style of play down the middle.

Bonus is....Perron serves as the poster boy for what aggressiveness, compete and edge looks like. All the kids now get viewed by way of comparison...and the soft play becomes less acceptable.

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#69 Old Retired Guy (A.K.A. Die-Nasty)
December 12 2013, 11:40PM
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Old Retired Guy (A.K.A. Die-Nasty) wrote:

Bonus is....Perron serves as the poster boy for what aggressiveness, compete and edge looks like. All the kids now get viewed by way of comparison...and the soft play becomes less acceptable.

Same could be said for Arco and Boyd Gordon....although to a lesser degree.

Edit: God bless MacT

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#70 RexHoles
December 12 2013, 11:52PM
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Johnnydapunk wrote:

I wouldn't be disappointed with even a Bryz/ Bachman combo if we are looking at Dubnyk free options.

Who was that college goalie that got to practice with the bruins and got a Lucic stick?? Is he available??

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#71 Zamboni Driver
December 13 2013, 09:08AM
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Zamboni Driver wrote:

You know it's gone from bad to worse when two goals qualifies one as a 'scoring machine'.

My bad for poor reading skills.

Missed the 'Scoring Chance' part.

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#72 Dman
December 13 2013, 09:21AM
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Serious Gord wrote:

Baloney.

Eakins can definitely have an impact on how the individual players play.

You talk about lack of account ability? That's Eakins role and it's his fault they haven't been held to account.

You talk about not knowing how to defend? Eakins and company should be able to teach it and make sure it happens.

Just contrast how the plow mules to the city south if EDM are playing compared to the oil and you will see how awful a coaching group the oil has.

So we should fire our 5th coach after 32 games and hire our 6th? Yeah that will obviously fix the probelem.

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#73 S cottV
December 13 2013, 09:42AM
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Nice to see a game with a Stanley Cup contender involved, in the "big team" profile. While probably not the only way to approach the building to contender status, it is easy to see - why its effective. It's not only big and tough - its reach, commanding space, strong sticks, protecting puck possession, dirty ice entry etc etc..

If you reinstate the 6 guys out of the Bruins line up, go with Rask in net, set up a playoff series between the two teams - with playoff style refereeing and the Oilers would obviously not stand a chance. No big surprise in that, but probably sheds some light on where MacT has to put some focus, if we are ever to see a playoff game, in the not too distant future. I dont think you have to be particularly big to compete, but big enough is a minimum and the Oilers are not there.

There were several Oilers last night that were not comfortable playing "big boy" hockey. Some can adjust and others are just are not suited for it. The stats probably tell some of that story. Not sure because I had company while watching the game and didnt pay particular attention - but - looks like Hall's line, saw the most of Chara from the numbers. If so - another indicator that size matters.

Not to pick on Gagner - but with RNH not being the biggest kind of guy and not going anywhere - it magnifies the need for a larger and talented 2C, to play with the big boys in the league. So - size really does matter in 2C. It also matters in 1 or 2D and 3 or 4D.

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#74 Danger Pay
December 13 2013, 10:06AM
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Anyone else kinda think the game was over after the 1st goal?

1st goal = http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AM-7Ts-3wmY

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#75 Danger Pay
December 13 2013, 10:31AM
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steveb12344 wrote:

Yes, definitely.

But what should we really expect from a guy named Doobie?

Obviously everyone is going to want to light him up...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AM-7Ts-3wmY

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#76 Jean Jouneau
December 13 2013, 10:42AM
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This game brought up bad memories of the old Oilers/Stars matchup. The Stars would get into the lead and take the foot off the pedal. The Oilers would get the next XX amount of shots but could never tie or get in the lead.

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#77 blue31
December 13 2013, 10:44AM
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-30- wrote:

JW, we need a few more categories for the advanced stats ppl

How about:

"Dubnyk" = soft goal

"Gagner" = blind pass to opposition that leads to goal

"Petry" = pass to opposition in front of defenders goal

"Hallsy" = lightspeed rush into opposition zone only to turn over puck to defenders

There are probably many, many more.

-30-

"Toe drags attempted, toe drags completed."

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#78 Spydyr
December 13 2013, 10:44AM
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outdoorzguy wrote:

Kevin Lowe, as President of Hockey Operations has been very quiet since alienating fans. Has he been muzzled? Does he still work for the Oilers? Does he get paid? Does he live in Vancouver laying at the feet of Katz? Does he do anything for this team?

I heard he is in training for a Barn fight in Red Deer this spring.Winner gets the other teams first pick.

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#79 tileguy55
December 13 2013, 11:01AM
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vetinari wrote:

Don't know, but it's tempting some days to try. There has got to be a team willing to flip a pick for him at the deadline, right?

I do suggest a new nickname for him:

Devin "Digger" Dubnyk

Digger as in, "digs pucks out of his own net"

Awh, sorta like "Red Light Racicot"

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#80 Tazman
December 13 2013, 11:07AM
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I'm no expert, but I would love to see Arcobello centre Hall and Yak, even for one game. I suspect they might surprise us.

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#81 Tikkanese
December 13 2013, 11:18AM
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tileguy55 wrote:

Awh, sorta like "Red Light Racicot"

Fun(?) Fact, Red Light Racicot obtained a Shutout in his NHL debut against the Edmonton Oilers.

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#82 Calgary Oilers
December 13 2013, 11:27AM
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MVP! (of this sad sack group they call a team).

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#83 rindog
December 13 2013, 11:30AM
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Walter Sobchak wrote:

-Perron is the light in an otherwise bleak year.

- I'm starting to actually feel sorry for Gagner, boy has his game gone south.

-Dubnyk is bad.....real bad.

-Eakins having Larsen out there in the end was almost criminal.

-Why is Yakupov standing in the high slot on the PP completely covered? The coaching staff has video no? Here kid, you need to stand here?

-Good for Gazdic, a beautiful tilt and took off Lucic for an extended period of time, job well done!

What about feeling sorry for Gagner's linemates instead?

I like Gagner, but it is bordering on insanity having him in the top 6 at this point.

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#84 rindog
December 13 2013, 11:32AM
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27Ginge wrote:

Hall's poor performance shouldn't be alarming. He got saddled with Hemsky. Toughest guy to play with on team by a mile.

His minuses and scoring chances against came when he was with Yakupov and Gagner. His game got better in the 2nd and 3rd period.

Nice try though...

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#85 Virtual_Xi
December 13 2013, 11:53AM
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for a team that is so sensitive to having the first goal scored on them, Dubnyk is a real cancer in the dressing room. I know guys like to stick behind the goaltender, but how many times have they cut to a player after dubnyk lets in one of those goals, and see the body language of the players (i.e., hall). It doesn't matter how many awesome saves he makes, when players see those knucklers go in, it deadens them. Nothing will change while he's the goalie because the players don't believe in him anymore.

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#86 Danger Pay
December 13 2013, 12:03PM
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Man the TSN blog sucks, The moderators wont let any Oiler comments on todays game story, so weak. Thank Goodness for Oilers Nation!!!!!!

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#87 He Who Knows
December 13 2013, 12:15PM
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David Perron please rub off on the so called stars on this team. Eberle grow a damn pair buddy!

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#88 common sense
December 13 2013, 12:15PM
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rindog wrote:

What about feeling sorry for Gagner's linemates instead?

I like Gagner, but it is bordering on insanity having him in the top 6 at this point.

Gags is playing conspicuously terrible. He needs to spend some time in the pressbox and let his jaw and his psyche heal. Maybe his dad can give him some professional and emotional support. Probably rushed back from injury but his play hasn't even been up to AHL level.

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#89 YakZ
December 13 2013, 12:31PM
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Can we pleeeeeease sign Perron for 7 years?

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#90 Jordan Nugent-Hallkins
December 13 2013, 01:03PM
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@Dave

Completely agree, I don't mind Jack Michaels' play by play but Bob called it with some real emotion.

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#91 Tikkanese
December 13 2013, 01:08PM
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Johnnydapunk wrote:

I wouldn't be disappointed with even a Bryz/ Bachman combo if we are looking at Dubnyk free options.

In reality, based on all the goalies play thus far, Bryz/Bachman should be the tandem. Contracts and politics won't let that happen though.

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#92 Rob F
December 13 2013, 02:14PM
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risto siltanen's slapshot wrote:

as a cubs fan I believe in curses...that being said I hope the oilers make the playoffs before the cubs win a world series. the burke curse is alive and well since lowe gave all the picks for penner.now that we have all of our high picked talent maybe we can trde them for a playoff berth .if not we'll keep floundering and we can watch a real hockey man lead those awful flames to the playoffs or at least more victories than the oil.peca, brodziak,marchant,grier, moreau, pisani,stortini....all would sound good right now over 3 or 4 of our floaters. just hit somebody please cuz our powerplay is putting me to sleep.can anyone break a tissue paper shooter tutor from the point?

you have to die before you curse someone...or you have to own a goat......its in all the curse books.........although Burke looked like he was wearing goat hair at the presser yesterday

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#93 Old Retired Guy (A.K.A. Die-Nasty)
December 13 2013, 03:50PM
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YakZ wrote:

Can we pleeeeeease sign Perron for 7 years?

Problem brewing.......if your paying Gags 4.8 and Ebbs 6 million.......what are you now going to have to pay Perron. $6 million?

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