How has the Edmonton Oilers' roster changed from last year?

Jonathan Willis
July 31 2013 09:18AM

While Craig MacTavish may have failed to make all the bold moves he wanted to get done, he has been very active in his first summer as the Oilers’ general manager. How does the roster he’s assembled compare with the one Steve Tambellini put together for the start of last season?

Forwards

Players in grey represent players in Edmonton to start the 2013 season; rather than going off the opening night lineup I’ve ranked them according to their ice-time over the year. This has resulted in the odd positional liberty – Magnus Paajarvi as the third line right wing stands out – but for the most part these players should be more or less in the role they played on balance over the course of last season.

Players in white are this year’s group. Players in red are ones I perceive as clear upgrades over their equivalent from the year before.

The top line is young, and certainly it would be unsurprising if a 21-year old Taylor Hall found another gear. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, who just turned 20 in April, is so early in his career that he seems likely to be improved, particularly with surgery taking care of the shoulder problems he had last season.

On the second line, an established David Perron seems a clear upgrade over last season’s version of Nail Yakupov. Some might argue that Yakupov in 2013-14 is likely to be better than Hemsky was last year; that’s certainly possible but I don’t think it’s completely certain.

The third line is a different group, but expectations should be similar. The wild card is Hemsky; I expect he’ll offer more than Paajarvi did last year.

Beyond that group, I see Smyth as a better player than Lennart Petrell, who seemed totally lost when not killing penalties; beyond that I don’t see a whole lot to choose between the Tambellini group and the MacTavish group.

Defence & Goal

On defence, three of the presumed top-four are holdovers from those roles last season. Justin Schultz, off a whirlwind rookie campaign, should be better while Andrew Ference is coming off a stint as a top-four defender with one of the best teams in the league and can in my view be reasonably seen as an improvement on Nick Schultz.

The third pairing, likely comprised of Denis Grebeshkov and Nick Schultz, seems obviously better than Ryan Whitney and Corey Potter. Whitney was a disaster for the Oilers last season and if Grebeshkov’s anywhere near the form he left the NHL in he’ll be an upgrade. While I have time for Corey Potter, Nick Schultz is a bona fide NHL defender and Potter’s a ‘tweener.

On the third pair, I prefer Anton Belov and Philip Larsen to Mark Fistric and Theo Peckham overall, but they’re obviously different layer-types. Fistric did solid work in the number seven role and might be better or worse than Belov, a top KHL defenceman who at this point has serious potential but is also a significant question mark. Peckham and Larsen are both flawed in different ways.

In net, Devan Dubnyk returns as starter. I like Jason LaBarbera the player over Nikolai Khabibulin by a significant amount, but Khabibulin’s coming off a superb season as backup so I don’t see this as a big upgrade over what was accomplished last season.

Recently around the Nation Network

At Jets Nation, Kevin McCartney breaks down Zach Bogosian's seven-year, $36 million extension:

Again - Bogosian has all the tools to be a top-pairing defenceman within a few short years. Right now, he helps the Jets win and that can't be denied. Nevertheless, he's being paid to be a Top-4 (though not elite) level defenceman after a very short audition in that role, and without the kind of success to show he can do it for the next 7 years. At best, we can hope that he lives up to his cap hit.

Click the link above to read more. Otherwise, feel free to read some of my recent pieces:

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Jonathan Willis is a freelance writer. He currently works for Oilers Nation, Sportsnet, the Edmonton Journal and Bleacher Report. He's co-written three books and worked for myriad websites, including Grantland, ESPN, The Score, and Hockey Prospectus. He was previously the founder and managing editor of Copper & Blue.
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#51 nuge2nail
July 31 2013, 09:17PM
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Oiler Domination To Follow

JW,

Is Cloutier right, do elc bonuses no longer count on the cap upfront giving the Oilers over 6+ million in cap space?

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#52 GVBlackhawk
July 31 2013, 09:34PM
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nuge2nail wrote:

Oiler Domination To Follow

Richard Cloutier says we would have 14 mil in cap space if we traded Hemsky and N Shultz. His calculation is based on the fact that bonuses do not count against the cap until the following year.

Is this correct?

I've been asking this question for awhile. Would appreciate one of the experts on this site to respond if no one else knows.

From the CBA (a 540 page legal document):

Section 50.9 h) However, while such Player is in the NHL, the Entry Level Signing Bonus, Performance Bonus, Roster Bonus or Reporting Bonus shall count toward the Averaged Club Salary for such Player's NHL Club, calculated daily.

The answer is no. Bonuses count toward the current year. Teams get relief to just less than 50% of entry level contract bonuses.

The Oilers currently have $1.35M in cap space. Trading Hemsky and NSchultz would give them an additional $8.5M in cap space for a total of $9.85M. However, that does not take into consideration the salary of a returning player in said trade.

Don't listen to Richard Cloutier -- he types a lot but is not a fan of doing research or getting his facts straight.

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#53 bulldog12
July 31 2013, 09:53PM
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It all comes down to compete level now. If the team doesn't want to show up for 60 minutes some guys can sit in the press box. Petry Smyth Jones Hemsky Schulz It wouldn't hurt any of them to get a wake up call.

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#54 Citizen David
July 31 2013, 09:54PM
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I don't see what everyone sees in Hemsky. He certainly could rebound, but the past few seasons he's been a dud. Yakupov was our best or second best player down the stretch. He'll be a massive upgrade on Hemsky.

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#55 Devolution
July 31 2013, 10:00PM
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Oilergasm wrote:

I really don't understand how MacT's "monkeyball" tactics are going to improve our team, fighting about how far down the depth chart Grebeshkov and Belov are means the outlook is grim.

Is Perron truly an upgrade over Hemsky on the 2nd line? NO

Is Boyd Gordon a better 3rd line C than Horcoff? NO

Is Ference better than Ryan Whitney? Yes! haha, for 2013 for sure, but when they were 29th and 30th overall? Probably not.

This roster has more gaping holes than a night of surfing porn, I think we're hooped!

Gaping holes. That's pretty funny.

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#56 Citizen David
July 31 2013, 10:00PM
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Add JW to the list of people who are undervaluing Belov. Good to be cautious I guess but I think there's no way he's not on the opening night roster and a mainstay there. Not only was he by several accounts the best defencemen in the KHL but he was also very good for Russia at the World Championships which has mostly NHLers. The interviews paint the picture of a player who is exceptionally motivated.

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#57 Nightman
July 31 2013, 10:04PM
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@Jonathan Willis

So, aside from Hemsky having a rough year, Perron-Hemsky is pretty much a wash.

Thanks

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#58 madjam
August 01 2013, 06:48AM
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WHAT GOES UP , MUST COME DOWN -SPINNING WHEELS GOT TO GO ROUND . Oilers new division has had it's rivalries remain stagnant in comparison to what Oilers have done this off season . Most everything for Oilers looks to be going in an improving way . Others are still clinging to aging and slow diminishing veterans who look to be declining more than improving . L.A. still has best balance , but Oilers rapidly emerging as a group with upside being progressively upwards . Where do we pass them going up , when they will be going down ? This year ?

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#59 Oilcruzer
August 01 2013, 06:54AM
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OilDieHard wrote:

FIST!! i've said it before, i think the Oilers have only made marginal improvements....hopefully the kids will show more development this coming year and help us move up the standings.

So what you're saying is, the Oilers lineup has improved though.

I think most would agree. MacT should get some credit, he's improved the team and the Oil haven't played one game under his watch as GM.

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#60 **
August 01 2013, 12:27PM
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why is the trash it button twice as big as the props button?

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#61 Citizen Alpha
August 01 2013, 04:16PM
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** wrote:

why is the trash it button twice as big as the props button?

So the haters can get on a hatin'

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#62 Paul
August 01 2013, 04:32PM
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Nik Antropov. Big body, shoots, fits Russian movement, Hemsky would play well beside him.

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