A CHANGE IS GONNA DO YOU GOOD

Lowetide
August 19 2013 12:00PM

 

There are plenty of current Oilers on the 50-man list who are going to be set free next spring and summer--maybe a few before then. It's time to put up or shut up for several prospects and NHL players, here's a look at the group and what they'll have to accomplish this coming season.  

GONE BABY GONE

  1. Ales Hemsky: Even a strong season wouldn't be enough in my opinion, he's well outside the cluster in terms of age, and the club has RW's of the future everywhere. 
  2. Nick Schultz: His ticket out of town was punched the moment Andrew Ference signed in Edmonton. 
  3. Ryan Smyth: I'm not certain he'll make it through the season, but believe he has enough to make this final year in Edmonton something to admire. The ideal way to exit is helping the Oilers make the playoffs, here's hoping. 
  4. Cameron Abney: Extremely doubtful he remains on the 50 man list beyond the expiration of his entry deal. 

SHOW ME STATE

  1. Anton Belov: An unknown at this point beyond reputation, I think he has a very good chance to make the team and earn a second contract. 
  2. Denis Grebeshkov: This is a more delicate item, Grebeshkov is coming off an uneven KHL season. He'll have to show well in training camp in order to earn the season. 
  3. Ryan Jones: This is a story to follow during the winter. Here's a guy who had a dreadful fright last winter and was looking at professional extinction. New GM comes in, Jones waited much of the summer for the contract and it finally falls into place. Motivated? Hell yes. And I'm reminded of Marty Reasoner, who emerged from a similar hockey situation (he passed through the waiver wire) and became a quality 2-way player. He's still going! 
  4. Jason LaBarbera: Lots of potential here, LaBarbera has been kicking around for a long while but has found concistency in the desert. Can he parlay that into regular employment?
  5. Philip Larsen: Like Grebeshkov, Larsen seems to have taken a backward step last season (this is from a distance). I think he'll have to impress early in order to stay off the waiver wire. 
  6. Anton Lander: His career in North America hasn't been ideal, but I'm not certain anyone can point the finger at him. Showed very well in OKC during the final stretch and then playoff, if he can add some offense and effective play at 5x5 to his growing reputation as a useful penalty killer, the Oilers may have something here. 
  7. Corey Potter: Man, what a tough summer, and he didn't do a thing wrong. Jason Strudwick told me the other day the only thing Potter can do is work hard, come to camp prepared and work for a job. It may not be in Edmonton, but he's build a pretty nice resume. 
  8. Mike Brown: I think he's stepped in and done well with the Oilers, but a new GM and Coach may feel a need for a different player type in this role. 
  9. Ben Eager: His hard work and good attitude when sent down last year impressed MacTavish, and he's going to get a good chance to show something at training camp. Health is the issue, concussions the worry.
  10. Andrew Miller: A giant opportunity for him, as the new GM brought him in and will be part of the decision making process for the final roster. If he has an ounce of 2-way skill, then he should at least spend some time in the NHL this coming season. 
  11. Tyler Pitlick: He's had all kinds of issues, but everyone I've talked to says Pitlick looks like a player. The offense is an issue, but I think he'll get an extended opportunity this year. 
  12. Curtis Hamilton: I love his skill set--2way player with enough offense to pop double digit GF--but he hasn't been able to settle in and spend a healthy season on a consistent line. 
  13. Ryan Martindale: He's shown signs but not enough of them, and at this point there's likely to be an early push for minutes but that could be it. Huge season for the big C. 
  14. Olivier Roy: Showed reasonably well this past season, but you get the feeling new management is going to take a huge machete (Edmonton style) to the position and there could be some exits to match the entries. Roy has earned a chance based on his work in pro hockey. 
  15. Taylor Fedun: The minor league version of Potter, with a twist. Like Potter, he's been buried under an avalanche of procurement and development by prospects. Unlike Potter, Fedun's time was two training camps ago, but Eric Nystrom robbed him of an NHL opportunity.
  16. Richard Bachman: A solid 3rd G for the NHL team and starter for the Barons. Bachman might get an NHL chance, but probably  waits for an injury. 
  17. Mark Arcobello: A great chance to make the big club this fall, Arcobello offers some offense and has been around pro hockey long enough to know what to do without the puck. 

KEEP DOING WHAT YOU'RE DOING

  1. Devan Dubnyk: He'll need another contract after this season, at this point I believe they'd sign him to a similar number and term. However, there's no doubt the organization is looking for more at the positon, so this is a pivotal season for the big man.
  2. Toni Rajala: He's going to need to wait his turn, but if he keeps posted those exceptional AHL numbers in OKC, there will be no way for the Oilers to ignore him. 

CERTAIN SIGNING, $'S ONLY QUESTION

  1. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: We could hear something about a contract any time, although the Oilers don't appear to be in a hurry. A big piece of the future, kind of a tricky signing due to injury this past season (what's he worth?) but remains a key part of the young cluster.
  2. Justin Schultz: Oilers will have to pay for the free agent seasons and it's going to be dear. One of the reasons I think Edmonton is unlikely to get involved in Grabbo talks is that they will be long term and the club hasn't signed their young impact keepers long term yet.
  3. Jeff Petry: Is going to get a sweet raise should he continue on this way. Crazy good for the seasons he's been in the NHL, he backed off a little but remains the Oilers best option available. 

WHAT DOES IT ALL MEAN?

It's kind of shocking, but more than half of the Oilers roster is up for renewal (RFA or UFA) next summer. The UFA's are Hemsky, Smyth, Jones, Brown, N Schultz, Belov, Grebeshkov, Potter, Dubnyk, LaBarbera. That's a lot of guys playing for their next contract--or their hockey careers. 

The rfa's are mostly in the minors (there are 10 OKC RFA"s, potentially) and history tells us much of the turnover will come from this area of the 50-man list. Names include Anton Lander, Tyler  Pitlick, Curtis Hamilton, Ryan Martindale, Andrew Miller, Toni Rajala, Olivier Roy, Taylor Fedun, Richard Bachman, Mark Arcobello and Cameron Abney. 

I expect the 50-man list won't resemble the current look 12 months from now. 

(Curtis Hamilton photo by Rob Ferguson, all rights reserved). 

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Lowetide has been one of the Oilogosphere's shining lights for over a century. You can check him out here at OilersNation and at lowetide.ca. He is also the host of Lowdown with Lowetide weekday mornings 10-noon on Team 1260.
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#1 OilClog
August 19 2013, 01:42PM
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Smokey wrote:

I thought MM was pretty much finished, no longer could play. If the Oilers wanted a one definitional center who could win draws, sign Wellwood.

Manny would eat Wellwood's DSF prepared lunch as a 4th line center.. All day, every day. What Gillis has done to Malholtra is a joke, only Gillis says Manny is finished..

A Gordon/Malholtra 3/4 would be very nice.

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#2 Smokey
August 19 2013, 01:07PM
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I know Hemsky will be gone next year, but your comment that Hemsky is outside the age cluster is a strange to me. What is the top range of this age paradigm? How does Ference, Gordon, Jones fit in this either. as the are in the same age range or older.

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#3 OilClog
August 19 2013, 12:56PM
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Pretty sure from the signs out here on the west coast.. Malholtra is hoping for a TC invite from the Oil. He's big on what they're doing in Oilerville.

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#4 Rama Lama
August 19 2013, 12:16PM
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Why is Linus a minus?

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#6 Westcoastoil
August 19 2013, 01:09PM
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OilClog wrote:

Pretty sure from the signs out here on the west coast.. Malholtra is hoping for a TC invite from the Oil. He's big on what they're doing in Oilerville.

Please do this. Gillis saving Malhotra from himself last year had cap move written all over it. Manny swallowed hard, cashed his cheques and was a 100% stand up guy.

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#7 TeeVee
August 19 2013, 02:04PM
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Reg Dunlop wrote:

If the oil sign a washed up, one definitional(dimensional?) Manny... he plays 4c role ahead of the AHL guys. Guaranteed one of the best moves this offseason.

Next offseason is going to see a cull of historic proportions unless they make the playoffs. Look for 25% of this years starting line-up to be replaced.

I'll take Malhotra's size, strength and tenacity over Chubby Wellwood a million times over.

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#8 Numenius
August 19 2013, 03:41PM
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Lochenzo wrote:

I'd welcome a healthy Malholtra onto this roster. But what's Malholtra's health like? I believe the damage is to his right eye. He's a left shot, so his blind spot is naturally bigger on the righthand side. If he has poor peripheral vision with that right eye, it makes for a huge blind spot. I really like Manny, and I don't want to see him get massacred by a big hit from the right side. The training staff and doctors really need to do their homework on this and factor in Manny's overwhelming desire to play.

It was his left eye, not the right one.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9l-sWqtiM9Y

If he's as healthy as the video suggests, it would be great to have him.

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#9 Lochenzo
August 19 2013, 03:13PM
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I'd welcome a healthy Malholtra onto this roster. But what's Malholtra's health like? I believe the damage is to his right eye. He's a left shot, so his blind spot is naturally bigger on the righthand side. If he has poor peripheral vision with that right eye, it makes for a huge blind spot. I really like Manny, and I don't want to see him get massacred by a big hit from the right side. The training staff and doctors really need to do their homework on this and factor in Manny's overwhelming desire to play.

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#10 Ever the Optimist
August 19 2013, 03:03PM
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OilClog wrote:

Pretty sure from the signs out here on the west coast.. Malholtra is hoping for a TC invite from the Oil. He's big on what they're doing in Oilerville.

If he can still be safe on the ice and play close to his previous levels in Vancouver, it would be a huge win for the oil.

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#11 David S
August 19 2013, 02:59PM
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NO WDIAM GIRL????????

http://youtu.be/84zY33QZO5o

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#12 Oilers42
August 19 2013, 01:14PM
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LT do you think we can bring slepyshev over for 2014-2015

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#13 godot10
August 19 2013, 05:17PM
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Hemsky's problem isn't age. It is role and salary. The two RW's who are going to be paid are Eberle and Yakupov.

Somebody will be willing to pay more and in the role he is more accustomed to next summer.

I don't think Ales is ready to metamorph himself into Radek Dvorak yet.

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#14 Reg Dunlop
August 19 2013, 01:22PM
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Smokey wrote:

I thought MM was pretty much finished, no longer could play. If the Oilers wanted a one definitional center who could win draws, sign Wellwood.

If the oil sign a washed up, one definitional(dimensional?) Manny... he plays 4c role ahead of the AHL guys. Guaranteed one of the best moves this offseason.

Next offseason is going to see a cull of historic proportions unless they make the playoffs. Look for 25% of this years starting line-up to be replaced.

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#15 John Chambers
August 19 2013, 04:29PM
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Lowetide wrote:

Linus is a persona non grata.

Why is that, exactly? Linus got in to some games in 2012 when he came back from injury. Last year he bolted to Switzerland with the lockout looming and the Oilers are pretending like he doesn't even exist.

Has he been pushed out because of the emergence of Yak, or is there a salacious story of insubordination and wrath that us Oiler followers have become all too accustomed to?

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#16 etownman
August 19 2013, 10:26PM
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Grebs & Belov are safe for next year because along with Yak they are the beginnings of the Russkie 5 on the second power play unit! Mark my words, with Yaks lightning one timers & Belov's heavy shot & Grebs doing spinorama's at the blueline (theirs :-)it's a done deal! Slepyshev down low with Zarkov or Yakimov will round out the russkie 5! Be patient, it will come into existence in no less than two seasons!

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#17 Guy Strakur
August 19 2013, 11:35PM
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@OilClog

I've met Manny and his family personally on several occasions (We did some renovations for him) and he is one of the nicest, down to earth guys you'd ever meet. If anything, he would be a great character guy to have in the room. I say give him a chance.

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#18 Smokey
August 19 2013, 01:12PM
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OilClog wrote:

Pretty sure from the signs out here on the west coast.. Malholtra is hoping for a TC invite from the Oil. He's big on what they're doing in Oilerville.

I thought MM was pretty much finished, no longer could play. If the Oilers wanted a one definitional center who could win draws, sign Wellwood.

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#19 speeds
August 19 2013, 01:42PM
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LT: Arcobello is looking like he'll be a group VI UFA next summer unless he plays nearly the whole season.

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#20 nunyour
August 19 2013, 04:36PM
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Where's the grit,did they ban fighting?

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#21 Russ99
August 19 2013, 08:20PM
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I expect Hemsky to have a good season, stay healthy and shuffle around different lines, MacT-style.

Then he'll get dealt at the deadline for a close to value package.

Our or the UFA's next year, I can't see the Oilers keeping any, other than one or two, most obviously: the winner of the keeper goalie battle, and maybe Belov. Most of the RFAs are out too.

Don't forget, we need to pay Yak either this summer or next.

I hope the Oilers are more successful with their bottom-six forward/top pairing defenseman acquisitions next summer.

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#22 Hammers
August 19 2013, 05:05PM
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Never say never with Hemsky . His been gone so many times but still here . The others in that group and I can see about 6 others that will be gone . Probably a 10-12 player turnover next year . What would you think of trying Rajala on the LW spot in camp ?? .Most Euros seem able to play both sides .

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#23 yawto
August 19 2013, 07:36PM
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godot10 wrote:

Hemsky's problem isn't age. It is role and salary. The two RW's who are going to be paid are Eberle and Yakupov.

Somebody will be willing to pay more and in the role he is more accustomed to next summer.

I don't think Ales is ready to metamorph himself into Radek Dvorak yet.

Smokey. What he said.

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#24 Yakman
August 20 2013, 08:55AM
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I don't see any down side to inviting a few centers like Maholtra to training camp. If they win the job sign them. If Miller or Arcobello are better then don't.

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