JORDAN EBERLE: 14 AT 24

Robin Brownlee
May 15 2014 12:31PM

JordanEberle

I'll leave the squealing and tossing of panties to Wanye, but on the occasion of Jordan Eberle's 24 birthday today, it's worth noting what a terrific hockey player he's been for the Edmonton Oilers during four mostly miserable seasons with this floundering franchise.

Playing on a rebuilding team that's done almost nothing but lose since he first pulled on the Oil Drop in 2010-11 – finishing 30th, 29th, 24th, and 28th - Eberle has risen above the futility to produce 221 points in the 275 regular season games he's played since being drafted 22nd from the Pats in 2008.

Despite toiling with a bottom-feeder, Eberle's made a pretty good case for being the steal of his draft class. Only Steven Stamkos, taken first overall, and Erik Karlsson, taken 15th, have outscored him.  Stamkos is the stud of the vintage with 426 points in 410 games. Karlsson, a Norris Trophy winner, has 237 points in 315 games.  

The 2008 class also includes Drew Doughty, taken second overall by Los Angeles, and Alex Pietrangelo, taken fourth by St. Louis. Outside of those four players, all taken higher, I can't think of anybody who has accomplished more or been better than Eberle as he blows out 24 candles on the cake.

TIME FLIES

Eberle

Eberle, coming off a season in which he scored 65 points in 80 games and was paid $6 million in the first year of a six-year contract worth $36 million, is just now entering his prime years. He's not a kid any more. What you see now is close to what you're going to get, although we could see a slight rise in Eberle's point totals -- if the Oilers actually manage to improve as a team.

While I'm not trying to put Eberle on the shuffleboard court in the old folk's home at the ripe, old age of 24, time ticks on. It's not a stretch to suggest that we'll have seen the majority of Eberle' prime years by the end of his current contract in 2019, when he'll turn 29.

How many playoff berths might we see from Eberle, Taylor Hall, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and the Oilers over these next five years after eight straight seasons out of the post-season mix? One? Two? Three? None? What are the odds of all three of them being here in our shiny, new rink then?

This rebuild fans have endured, after all, has been sold pitching Eberle, Hall and Nugent-Hopkins as the foundation. What remains is for general manager Craig MacTavish to find the many missing parts to get the job finished before too much more time zips by.

Godspeed, MacT. Happy birthday, Ebs.

Listen to Robin Brownlee Wednesdays and Thursdays from 3 p.m. to 5 p.m. on the Jason Gregor Show on TEAM 1260.

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A sports writer since 1983, including stints at The Edmonton Journal and The Sun 1989-2007, I happily co-host the Jason Gregor Show on TSN 1260 twice a week and write when so inclined. Have the best damn lawn on the internet. Most important, I am Sam's dad. Follow me on Twitter at Robin_Brownlee. Or don't.
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#51 borisnikov
May 15 2014, 02:09PM
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Spiel wrote:

"Outside of those four players, all taken higher, I can't think of anybody who has accomplished more or been better than Eberle as he blows out 24 candles on the cake."

What about Derek Stepan taken 29 picks after Eberle? Stepan's the number one center on a team that is in the conference finals. His numbers are comparable, and he is a center. I think it would take more than Eberle to get Stepan out of New York.

Gustav Nyquist in the 4th round is another steal. Doesn't have Eberle's track record but played in an organization where he was not thrust into a prominent NHL role early on. Scored the same amount of goals (28) as Eberle this year in 23 fewer games.

Nyquist also scored those goals shooting over 18%. Remember when Eberle did that and his % came back to earth the next year? Bank on the same thing happening to Nyquist.

The only way he scores 30 consistently (and this goes for Eberle too) is if he shoots the puck more. They both are at about 2.7 shots per game which is off what the 30+ guys do every year.

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#52 MattL
May 15 2014, 02:18PM
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ubermiguel wrote:

Eberle is a great pick based on the fact that there isn't another player taken later that I'd rather have at this point. The scouting staff needs to dissect that decision to understand how they got there and what they can do to replicate decisions like that in the future.

You mean draft small, skilled wingers? I think they're waaaaayyy ahead of you.

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#53 sintaxi
May 15 2014, 02:47PM
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borisnikov wrote:

I completely agree with RB on this one. Eberle has established himself as a baseline 25/35/60 guy. We may see some years with more, but not likely less.

The following has been fairly well read over the last few days but if anyone hasn't read it yet here are my Eberle comparisons.

If the powers that be don't like me posting my links with my comments just let me know:)

I'm not a "power" that you speak of but FWIW I appreciate the links, especially since the article you linked to is relevant to the thread.

Thats what makes the web the wonder place that it is :)

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#54 borisnikov
May 15 2014, 02:50PM
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@sintaxi

Thanks for the feedback:)

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#55 seanjohn667
May 15 2014, 06:51PM
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How many playoff appearances before the end of their contracts? Well, if their plan is to wait for Yak, Nurse, Klefbom, Bennet/Draisaitl, Moroz to become good players, because they are all untouchable, then the answer is 0, 1 or 2.

the organization is too patient. they will waste Eberle and Hall's contracts.

Oilkings > Oilers

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#56 Sorensenator
May 15 2014, 07:09PM
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Robin Brownlee wrote:

Please see comment #10.

Scrawling out lines based on trades and signings that see six or seven new players in Edmonton's line-up is childish, pure fantasy and does nothing to add to the conversation. Sign so-and-so. Trade for so-and-so. Non-starter, even with the self-prop when you post. Pure HF.

Agreed, 1,2 or even 3 players is realistic, with the focus on a bigger player who can play in the top six and 1 or 2 quality defensive defensemen that can protect the puck in front of the net; none of these "Tom Gilbert" type puck movers, we have already seen enough.

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#57 Sorensenator
May 15 2014, 08:17PM
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Fresh Mess wrote:

Clearly you are a hockey genius. I'd love to get your take on my trade idea:

EDM trades Anton Lander,Gagner, The rights to Horak, the negotiation rights to Ryan Jones, and the negotiation rights to Mark Fraser to Nashville for Shea Webber.

then...

EDM trades Yakupov along with their 4th, 5th, and 6th round picks in 2015, 2016, and 2017 to Pittsburgh for Sydney Crosby.

MacT can throw in the exclusive negotiation rights to Grebeshkov and Ben Eager to sweeten the deal if need be....

I would like to list my revised line combos but your brain may explode.

GET IT DONE MAC T !!!!

thoughts?

You're talking about be a GM mode in NHL 14 right?

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#58 Harry2
May 15 2014, 09:24PM
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FuManShu wrote:

Eberle holds the most value - trade him if we can plug some holes

Eberle + Klefbom + 2015 2nd - becomes a 1st if Stewart resigns for Erhoff + Ristolainen (need a right shot) + Stewart + Foligno

Move Gagner + Ference for Phaneuf + 2014 2nd with 1 to 1.5 mill retained

Hall Nuge Stewart Kulemin Grabo Yakupov Foligno Arco Perron Lander Gordon Hendricks

Erhoff Petry Phaneuf Gilbert Marincin Schultz

have Draisaitl/Bennet, Nurse, and Risto developing

K. Discuss.

Im going to skip the obviois assinine trades you have proposed and ask a different question.

How are both Kulemin and Yakupov ahead of Perron on your depth chart?

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#59 Walter Sobchak
May 16 2014, 07:41AM
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Robin Brownlee wrote:

Discuss an EDM line-up with, what, seven new players in it? OK.

Nuts. Won't happen.

Nice read Browlee.

I seldom disagree with logical post's, but we are talking about the Oilers and how the do business.

7 players huh.

1- replacement for Jones

2- replacement for Smyth

3-replacement for Klefbom??(more development needed)

4-replacement for Fraser

5-replacement for 4th line center...(not sure Lander's the man)

6-possible addition through the draft.

7--replacement for Belov.

Your dead meat and washout might be different then mine, I never even mentioned Gazdic or Joensuu.

I think you might be looking at least 4 or 5 turn overs in one summer, maybe not 7........but RB, I'll be the one who mentions in a subtle way that roster looks ok for being overhauled....again.

Just saying.

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#60 Sorensenator
May 16 2014, 02:38PM
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nuge2nail wrote:

Oiler Domination To Follow

Are you proposing Six new players are not added to this years lineup?

Your math skills are weak my friend.

No, there will not be six new players signed or traded for from outside the organization.

Half the players on your list are interchangeable fourth liners that are filled by guys that were healthy scratches or players in the AHL.

There is no guarantee Gagner will be replaced as much as everyone would like him to be

Yes there will be new players however they will not be inserted with the touch of a magic button like you propose.

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