NHL EQUIVALENCIES FOR TRAINING CAMP HOPEFULS (F)

Lowetide
July 08 2014 06:23PM

khaira ferguson2

The Edmonton Oilers will have a job opening or two this fall, and it could go to one of their young players. A chance at center, or on the wing, might be filled by an unexpected source. One of the first things we should look at is offense—can these kids score enough to hang around? NHL Equivalencies can help us suss out the quality offensive prospects.

NHL Equivalencies

I normally use two sources, Gabriel Desjardins and Rob Vollman. Desjardins' version of equivalencies have been around for over a decade and are the standard. Rob Vollman's came to the forefront after his Hockey Abstract book was released last summer. For our purposes, I'll use .3 for the CHL, and Vollman's guide for college, AHL and Europe.

NHLE'S FORWARDS (per 82gp)

  1. Leon Draisaitl 15-25-40 (jr)
  2. Greg Chase 12-18-30 (jr)
  3. Tyler Pitlick 9-16-25
  4. Bogdan Yakimov 14-9-23  (khl)
  5. Iiro Pakarinen 15-7-22 (sml)
  6. Mitch Moroz 12-10-22 (jr)
  7. Marco Roy 9-13-22 (jr)
  8. Steve Pinizzotto 9-9-18
  9. Jujhar Khaira 7-11-18 (jr)
  10. Curtis Hamilton 8-8-16
  11. Andrew Miller 4-12-16

(AHL players in bold)

    The best players by this metric are two teenagers (Draisaitl and Chase) but Tyler Pitlick was healthy and effective enough to show up in a good spot this season (Vollman suggests that 19-22 year olds in the AHL should have an increased equivalency based on prospect history).

    Bogdan Yakimov's NHLE is skewed, he played only 9.5 minutes a game in the KHL while still compiling the numbers above. If we added 5 minutes, he'd be a little behind Draisaitl on this list.

    I expect Draisaitl, Pitlick and Pinizzotto are the most likely players on this list to play in the NHL next season, but the real fun is going to be in the AHL. There's a fascinating group of young men turning pro this fall (Yakimov, Moroz, Khaira, possibly Draisaitl) and tracking their progress in Oklahoma City is going to be a blast.

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    Lowetide has been one of the Oilogosphere's shining lights for over a century. You can check him out here at OilersNation and at lowetide.ca. He is also the host of Lowdown with Lowetide weekday mornings 10-noon on Team 1260.
    Avatar
    #51 Casey
    July 09 2014, 10:42AM
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    best case scenario for this team. Pouliot lives up to expectations.Fayne and Nikitin improve the blueline, Scrivens and Fasth both show they can be starters, Nugent-Hopkins dosen't get injured, Special teams improve,Marincin builds off a successful rookie season,and Petry has a bounce back year.

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    #52 Spydyr
    July 09 2014, 10:47AM
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    Spoils wrote:

    OMG Lowe just stepped down!

    welllll kidding, but pretty much that is the only news we are missing at this point.

    really really psyched reading about the size coming up the ranks.

    Draisaitl 6'2 204 Khaira 6'3 208 Yakimov 6'5 202 Chase 6'0 200

    that said - this article makes me feel even more strongly that we need to deal for a #2C for this season.

    Gordon is 30 and will be a step slower as our team truly hits its stride. depth at C is just worth getting, NOW.

    Yeah, it is great "the braintrust" finally figured out the size thing.To bad it was so late in the game.

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    #53 Dale
    July 09 2014, 11:06AM
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    just a fan wrote:

    Khaira....this guy is a stud...big and tough...needs a little work...but not much....a little more controlled cockiness [ this could be the hard part as it's not his nature ] & we are going to love this kid. I can hardly wait ....

    Amen! Jujhar is my favorite prospect.

    He has great desire to be an excellent pro. With his size, his work ethic, he has a good chance to have a long career with the Oilers.

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    #54 pkam
    July 09 2014, 12:08PM
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    Dale wrote:

    Amen! Jujhar is my favorite prospect.

    He has great desire to be an excellent pro. With his size, his work ethic, he has a good chance to have a long career with the Oilers.

    My favorite prospect among this group has to be Chase.

    Not only his stats is the best among them except 1st rounder, his stats is almost as good as an OilKings Curtis Lazar who is drafted 17th overall the same year, and is better than another OilKings Henrik Samuelsson at the same age and Henrik Samuelsson is drafted 27th overall. Using their stats, we can argue Chase is as good as a later 1st rounder.

    The best is Chase is a Calgary Hitmen and Calgary let us draft him 7th round, right after their 7th round pick. It is a big slam to their face and let us laugh back at Flames fans when they trash our scouts.

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