October 31 2012 11:25AM
It's time for our third and final piece of looking at different statistical ways to project how many points each of the Oilers will score.
If you're just tuning in, we explained our methodology in more detail in our first piece, which covered the top-six forwards. We followed that up with a look at the defensemen and finally we'll take a look at the remaining, secondary forwards.
October 26 2012 08:55AM
Every year we project how many points each of the players will score using a couple of different statistical methods, and why should a potential lockout season be any different?
If you're just tuning in, we explained our methodology in more detail in our first piece, which covered the top-six forwards. This time we'll cover the defensemen and then close up in a third and final piece that features the remaining, secondary forwards.
October 22 2012 07:14AM
Point projections you find in hockey magazines are based on the intuitive guesses of analysts who follow the teams closely, and can therefore occasionally be skewed by personal biases or wishful thinking. That's why it's best to supplement (not replace) them with purely statistically-based projections.
For the third season in a row over at the Flamesnation sister site we're using the two most popular statistical projection systems, Tom Awad's VUKOTA and my own Snepsts67, to anchor our expectations. The former is more established, regularly winning David Staples' comparative analysis, and has the advantage of also estimating games played while the latter defines lower and upper ranges, and finds good historical examples within.
Given Edmonton's well-established reputation as being among the most stats-savvy fans in the NHL, it makes sense to start covering this here as well – and give Staples another system to throw into the mix.