Monday Musings: Draft pick value

Jason Gregor
February 22 2016 12:00PM


Between now and next Monday's trade deadline numerous draft picks will be traded for soon-to-be unrestricted free agents or players with some term remaining on their contract.

The term "good value" will be tossed around a lot, but I believe too often we overrate the value of a draft pick.

I wrote an article about the value of draft picks a few years ago. I came up with four guidelines for players.

BUST (Fewer than 100 games)
SHORT LIVED (Out of league with less than 300 games played)
DECENT PLAYER (300+ games)
DOMINANT PLAYER (considered an elite player by fans/media outside their city)

Others will have their own guidelines and that could change the value of picks, but researching the article changed my perspective on draft picks.

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GDB 59.0: HOME ICE ADVANTAGE - McLellan fired up

Jason Gregor
February 18 2016 12:29PM

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Despite standing behind the bench and enduring the most regulation losses in the NHL this season, Todd McLellan has been surprisingly patient in his post-game press conferences. Tuesday's loss was one of the rare times McLellan was fired up, and his frustration was split between the referee's decision to allow the Ducks' first goal, Benoit Pouliot taking two undisciplined penalties and players not grasping an opportunity.

The interesting part is he was also happy with how his team played for the majority of the game, which I would agree with, but it was clear his patience had worn thin with witnessing the same bad decisions and mistakes.

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GDB 58.0: HOME ICE ADVANTAGE - Duck Hunting

Jason Gregor
February 16 2016 04:00PM

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The Oilers will need a similar distraction as the Mallard above to defeat the surging Anaheim Ducks tonight. They are 11-2-1 since January 13th, sit second in the Pacific Division are suddenly only five points behind the Los Angeles Kings.

The Ducks have rebounded from an atrocious start, especially offensively, and are playing like the team many expected them to be. Ryan Getzlaf is once again the offensive catalyst with 12 points in his last eight games and 18 points during his team's 14 game hot-streak.

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McDavid and five point nights

Jason Gregor
February 12 2016 07:05PM

Last night Connor McDavid became the third rookie in Oilers history to score five points in a game joining Dave Lumley (February 1st, 1980) and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (November 19th, 2011). RNH and McDavid tallied five points in their 19th NHL game. Lumley did it in his 50th game, and Wayne Gretzky (who wasn't considered a rookie due to playing in WHA) had his first five-point game in his 49th career game on January 30th, 1980, the game before Lumley tallied five.

McDavid and his linemates, Jordan Eberle and Benoit Pouliot, put on quite the show last night, and Oilers fans should get used to watching special performances from McDavid.

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GDB 56.0: HOME ICE ADVANTAGE - Basement Battle

Jason Gregor
February 11 2016 12:52PM

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The Oilers and Leafs are tied with 47 points, the fewest in the NHL, and no organizations have been more inept over the past 11 seasons. Since the Goodenow/Bettman lockout in 2005 both team have made only one playoff appearance. The Oilers went to the Cup Finals in 2006, while the Leafs lost in the first round in 2013. 

This year marks the 10th time in the last 11 seasons they will sit on the sidelines and watch 16 teams battle for the Stanley Cup. The depressing news for both fans bases is that during their previous seven non-playoff seasons they haven't been close to competitive.

The Oilers have finished 28th, 28th, 24th, 29th, 30th, 30th and 21st, while the Leafs finished 27th, 23rd, 26th, 22nd, 29th, 24th and 24th.

The Oilers averaged a 27th place finish while the Leafs were a measly two spots higher at 25. It truly has been a decade of SUCK for both franchises.

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