June 22 2012 05:41AM
The Edmonton Oilers cash their third #1 overall pick today, adding the final name to the fab four. In a very real way, it's the biggest test for the scouting group in Oilers history.
Nail is going to be a famous hockey player and an extremely good one. You can't find a mock draft or a top 30 on the internet without Nail's name at the top (actually you can, but this has happened only recently). The "gap" between Nail and the rest is sliding, but he's still #1 as draft day arrives and will be known far and wide for doing the hardest thing in hockey: scoring goals.
I enjoyed Robin Brownlee's series with Stu MacGregor and the item on Ryan Murray was very informative. MacGregor told Robin that Murray's weakness was "he's only six feet and a bit. What will be the determining factor is if he can be that shutdown-type D-man you require in that sort of position."
Murray has been described as being a "safe" pick, and I think most of us think he'll be the pick should Edmonton decide not to draft the gifted Russian.
Griffin Reinhart arrives courtesy a strong regular season and a deep run into spring in which he showcased his talents. A team looking for a combination of size, skill and truculence would have to take a long look at the Oil King defender. In Jason Gregor's article yesterday he got a wonderful quote from MacGregor:
Macgregor: "It's almost like he got a bit more determined and decided he was going to show people he is a high-end prospect. Not to say that he wasn't, but he's growing into his body and now he's getting that physical strength that young kids with his size don't always have right away because they are tall and lanky."
WHAT DOES IT ALL MEAN?
Stu MacGregor and his scouts have reached a conclusion. There has been speculation, guesstimation, hunches, sneaking suspicions, trick knees, deduction, theory, supposition.This is the final member of the fab four, these men must choose well. Why is this the most important draft decision in Oiler history? They are selecting number one overall with a gigantic "team need" glaring them in the face. BPA may take a holiday.
Is it Nail? We wait.
June 21 2012 06:45PM
If the Edmonton Oilers take the player deemed the best available by every recognized scouting outfit on the planet with the first pick at the NHL Entry Draft in Pittsburgh, they'll be walking to the podium with Nail Yakupov's name on a jersey, as they should. I know, this just in . . .
While there might be handful of dissenters among the people who actually assess talent for a living or a genius packing numbers that show the Oilers should pass on Yakupov because he scored an alarming number of his points in games where a suspiciously high percentage of the crowd was wearing long-sleeved shirts, that's the overwhelming consensus.
And it's a selection, not knowing or having seen the top-ranked prospects at the head of the 2012 draft class like Stu MacGregor and the Oilers scouting staff has, I can't take issue with. I might have more difficulty if the Oilers opt for Everett defenseman Ryan Murray, as rumblings out of Pittsburgh lead us to believe they might, but, again, MacGregor, Bob Brown, Kent Hawley and Edmonton's staff know Murray far better than I do, as well.
While I'm impressed with Yakupov's Sarnia teammate Alex Galchenyuk and think he better fits the organization's needs in terms of position, nothing trumps the need for a team that's missed the playoffs six straight years than taking the BPA. Here and now, Yakupov is that player. It doesn't hurt, in my estimation, he also has a swagger to him. This team could use some of that.
MacGregor didn't go out of his way to sing the praises of Yakupov in the discussions we’ve had, but I believe he sees the dynamic winger as the BPA as well, regardless of all the talk about this selection being a far closer call than it was with Taylor Hall in 2010 or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in 2011.
Blowing smoke, I say. All hail Nail.
HOW HE RATES
NHL Central Scouting: No. 1 among North American skaters
The Hockey News: No. 1
McKeen's Hockey: No. 1
Red Line Report: No. 1
TSN: No. 1
THE SKINNY FROM CSS
In 2011-12, he recorded 69 points (31-38-69) in 42 games for Sarnia, leading the team with 12 power-play goals and a plus-15 rating in an injury-shortened season.
In 2010-11, he led his team and Ontario Hockey League rookies in scoring with 101 points (49-52-101) in 65 games. It was the most points by a first-year player since Patrick Kane had 145 points in 2006-07. His scoring also surpassed Steven Stamkos' team records for goals (42) and points (92) by a Sarnia rookie. He was named the OHL Rookie of the Year and the Canadian Hockey League Rookie of the Year last season.
Yakupov represented Russia at the 2012 World Junior Championships. He tied for the tournament lead in assists with nine (0-9--9) helping Russia win silver -- he recorded four assists in the semifinal against Canada.
WHAT THEY SAY
NHL Central Scouting's Chris Edwards
"His first step and ability to control bouncing pucks, knock them down and make a play are the best of any of the guys in the draft, in my opinion.
"He really gets up to top speed very quickly and his hands are outstanding. Like Pavel Bure, Yakupov is dangerous every shift. He may not have been dominant on every shift like Bure was, but he created something every shift … you have to be aware where he is on the ice all the time."
Scouting Report: "He's a skilled and dynamic offensive talent. He's got over-the-top confidence, there's no doubt. As long as you can back it up."
Projection: "It's pretty safe to say he's going to be a player who plays on your top two lines."
Weaknesses: "He needs to learn the defensive side of the game and, like a lot of these young players, he needs to find consistency."
NHL Comparable: "He's probably a little bit like Valeri Kharlamov, for those who go back that far. As far as NHL players, people have said they see some Pavel Bure there."
Listen to Robin Brownlee Wednesdays and Thursdays from 3 p.m. to 5 p.m. on the Jason Gregor Show on TEAM 1260.
June 21 2012 01:21PM
Thirteen of the top prospects in this year's draft and a host of media had lunch and then did interviews on the roof top of the Empress boat of the Gateway Clipper fleet. It's a beautiful afternoon in Pittsburgh, but it was incredibly hot and muggy on the roof top.
Most of the media members must have thought the cups of water had vodka in them, because they were chugging them left and right. The 13 young men: Nail Yakupov, Ryan Murray, Mikhail Grigorenko, Alex Galchenyuk, Morgan Reilly, Cody Ceci, Radek Faksa, Olli Maatta, Jacob Trouba, Griffin Reinhart, Matt Dumba (ranked 1st to 11th by central scouting) and the top ranked European, Filip Forsberg and the #1 ranked North American goalie, Malcolm Subban went through a few bottles of water while answering numerous questions.
June 21 2012 09:30AM
Last year in Minnesota Stu MacGregor said the decision to take Ryan Nugent-Hopkins was an easy one. In 2010, when he chose Taylor Hall over Tyler Seguin, he said the same thing, but this year has been much different. I chatted with the Oilers head scout about how different this year's first overall selection has been compared to the previous two, and got his thoughts on drafting by position, and projecting a player's future.
June 21 2012 08:07AM
Do the Edmonton Oilers need a mobile, puck-moving defenseman who can log big minutes and be a fixture in their top four for the next decade? Sure they do. Do they need to use the first overall pick in the 2012 NHL Entry Draft to acquire that player? No they don't.