Nate Silver, elections and SPORTS

Cam Charron
November 07 2012 02:55AM

Math kicked ass.

Not to say that Nate Silver's models are completely infallible, of course, the guy got lucky. Every single state of the union voted as Silver forecasted it to vote, within a slim margin of error he gave simply by aggregating polls over the last year or so.

I don't want to write an election-themed post, but I do think it's worth it for me to note Silver in writing somewhere. Silver, once fed up with mainstream electoral coverage during the 2008 election and began writing a blog. He correctly forecasted the winners of 49 of 50 states. That's not a huge achievement on its own, but Silver had gained notoriety in the political world for the statistical approach on his blog fivethirtyeight and his work with Baseball Prospectus in developing PECOTA, a system used to find historical matches of baseball players, and use those matches to forecast a range of outcomes for a player later in his career.

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The NHL Could Learn Something From The U.S. Elections

Graphic Comments
November 06 2012 05:16PM

Chances of seeing the Stanley Cup

Today marks the end of the gruelling campaign for the presidency of the United States. However, unlike an NHL season (remember those?), the winner of this campaign will actually have a very good chance of seeing the Stanley Cup. Multiple times, even.

If only it was that easy for the Presidents' Trophy winner. Sigh.

But I guess winning the Presidents' Trophy is very prestigious just in and of itself. I mean, you not only get the Trophy and a guarantee of two, maybe three home games in the playoffs, but the NHL even has a separate web page to recognize the winners...oh for God's sake.

Anyway, sharing a name for the ultimate prize (oh shut up and just go with it) is not the only thing in common between the NHL and the U.S. political system...

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November 06 2012 12:27PM

Russian Daniil Zharkov made an impression on Oiler fans shortly after Stu MacGregor's scouting staff gave him the seal of approval. "It's my goal to be better than Yak" he said on draft day. Zharkov was taken 90 spots behind Yakupov and started this season slowly; howver things are looking up.

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Jason Gregor
November 06 2012 09:50AM

Theo Peckham needs to play, and yesterday he made the decision to suit up for the San Francisco Bulls of the ECHL. With the NHL and NHLPA finally meeting again there is a glimmer of hope that the NHL might be playing by December 1st, and if that's the case, Peckham needed to play some games.

With Andy Sutton out another two months with an injury, Peckham will battle Corey Potter for the #6 spot on the Oilers blueline, when/if the season resumes. Potter has been playing in Vienna for over a month already and I think Peckham realized he needs to get playing so when camp starts he's in game shape.

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It’s a good time to be Teemu Hartikainen

Jonathan Willis
November 06 2012 05:50AM

In yesterday’s AHL grades piece, I wasn’t overly enthusiastic about Teemu Hartikainen. That doesn’t mean I wasn’t optimistic about his NHL future – far from it. In fact, he’s done as much to cement a shot at an NHL job when this lockout ends as anyone on the team not named Justin Schultz.

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