GDB 66: Contre les Habitants. Also: QTNA

gdb66

A game-day thread and QTNA all in one. Bless you, Nationeers. If you have Questions that Need Answers, email Jason Gregor and ask him!

Zach Kassian does look like a solid pick considering we’ll be drafting around the 18-20 spot. He could be a Milan Lucic type guy. I haven’t seen him play, what is his speed like? Could he make the Oilers in the next two seasons?
— Luke in Edmonton

I have been pumping his tires for the past few months as a guy the Oilers need to look at when the draft rolls around. He is everything they don’t have in the system; big, physical and has decent hands. I’ve seen him ranked as high as 13, but he falls normally around 14-20. But then again some people have the Oilers taking Ryan Ellis in the 1st round. If the Oilers do that, then they should fire the scouting staff. The Oilers don’t need a puck moving D-man right now.

Kassian is the biggest forward ranked in the 1st round, and combined with his scoring he is EXACTLY what the Oilers need. Considering they have no one in the farm system close to filling out that role, I would bet if they got him that he would get a look within a year or two. In 2010/11 the Oilers will need some cheaper forwards who can produce, considering the cap will go down. If Kassian is in their system he will get a long look.

John Buccigross says we have a lot of questionable contracts. But in all the lists of bad contracts like this one, I never seen an Oiler deal listed. I would agree Penner’s contract is questionable and perhaps even Horcoff after this year, but “a lot of questionable contracts”? What do you think?
— Shayne

Bucci had to be referring to Horcoff and Penner’s contract. After that it is hard to find a real questionable one. Gilbert will score 45 points this year, so his $4 million doesn’t seem out of whack. The final year of Staios’ $2.7 million in 2010/11 could hurt because of how many minutes he will be playing. Outside of that I don’t see any horrible contracts on the Oilers.

I think the Province was sleeping at the wheel when they didn’t include Horcoff and Penner with the likes of Fisher, Hamrlik et al. There is no way that Horcoff can live up offensively to his $7 million dollar deal next year, ($5.5 million cap hit). It shows that there are other horrible contracts out there, but with the cap sure to go down in the 2010/11 season, either Horcoff and Penner produce or the Oilers will be hard pressed to score.

If Penner finds a way to score 25 goals then his contract won’t look as bad. Horcoff needs to be an 80-point guy and win 56% of his face-offs to even be considered equal to his contract.

What are the chances that the Oilers buy out Penner’s contract either this summer or next summer?
— Daniel

This summer seems unlikely. They would have to pay him $8.5 million of his remaining $12.75 million, although they could spread it out over six years at a $1.42 million cap hit each year. While Penner is frustrating to most fans, it is too early to just give up on him. Some players take five or six years to “get it”, and if Penner does find some consistency in his game, he could be very effective. Remember, it took Bertuzzi seven years until he scored 36 goals. He scored 25 in seasons five and six. Granted Bertuzzi plays a more aggressive game, but if you are looking at production it is to early to just give up on Penner.

If he has another underachieving, uninspired season next year, then maybe they consider it next summer, but only after exhausting every possible trade avenue.

Does the Guy who does the SHAW phone commercial (the ones where he is playing tag and other things wit the phone) look a lot like Scott Howson?
— Andrew

I’m not well-versed in look-a-likes, although I have a friend who resembles Elisha Cuthbert (click on Friday picture at www.justagame.ca). Yes she is single, and as long as you are better looking that Phaneuf you might get a date with her.

I’ve seen the spot since you asked, and yes there is a small resemblance. But then this guy thinks he looks like David Hasselhoff.

Tonight: Les Canadiens

The lines for tonight will start like this:

21 – 10 – 83
12 – 89 – 78
19 – 13 – 34
85 – 51 – 46

So O’Sullivan and Cogliano, the two fastest forwards will play together, while Nilsson will get another shot with Gagner. Gagner scores five points in three games without Nilsson, so why not try Nilsson with Cogliano?

Nilsson and Gagner haven’t produced all season, so why keep going back to it? If MacTavish is looking for production why not try a duo that had some chemistry last year, in Cogliano and Nilsson?

After tonight, nine of the Oilers next eleven games are against teams below them in the standings. Based on how they played v. OTT and TOR there is no guarantee they will take advantage of the schedule, but the Oilers have a pretty favourable one the rest of March.

Ladislav Smid will play tonight, albeit with his faced still pretty messed up. And Roloson starts his 22nd straight.

  • Reggie

    topshelf wrote:

    @ Jonathan Willis:
    Oh and please don’t throw a bunch of stats at me about this. It’s just my opinion.

    Topshelf, but then I would rather see Penner (with all his warts) playing than sitting in the pressbox.

  • speeds

    topshelf wrote:

    @ Jonathan Willis:
    Oh and please don’t throw a bunch of stats at me about this. It’s just my opinion.

    If I say "The earth is flat. Oh and please don’t throw a bunch of stats at me about this. It’s just my opinion." how can someone else have a discussion with me on the topic?

  • Jonathan Willis wrote:

    I just don’t get what people expect of Pouliot. He’s been a fourth line forward almost all season, and has 18 points. It’s not his fault that his name isn’t Parise.

    He is a first round pick, I think they would expect more than 14 career goals five years after being drafted.

  • speeds wrote:

    They more recently drafted for need in 2004, when they selected a goalie (Dubnyk) 14th overall. I suppose it is possible they picked him as the BPA, but I remember reading/hearing some comments from Prendergast that suggested they felt they needed a goalie that year, so they selected Dubnyk in the 1st round.

    This isn't just a need. The kid can play, and I'm saying if he is available they should take him. He plays tough, something they don't have. He competes hard, something they don't have. This isn't just about filling a need, it is about drafting a player is good and at the same time adds many elements that this team lacks.

    Comparing him to Dubnyk or Pouliot is pointless.

  • Ender the Dragon

    @ speeds:
    @ smytty777:

    The questin becomes, then, who is truly the BPA of the two: Kassian or Ellis? If it's pretty much a saw-off, then you draft for need. Otherwise, you're totally right to draft BPA, and Kevin Lowe has preached that mantra at drafts before.

  • speeds wrote:

    Gregor:
    You advocate drafting for need? Why draft for need instead of BPA (best player available)?

    Considering he would probably be on the short list of best player available as well, why not fill a GLARING hole. I'm not suggesting they go off the board with this kid. Kassian might not even be available when the Oilers draft, but if he is he would be considered one of the best available.

    smytty777 wrote:

    Agreed, last time the Oilers drafted on need they passed on Parise because they already had two small centers. That’s working out pretty well for them.

    Pouliot isn't that much bigger than Parise anyways. I don't buy that garbage excuse. They screwed up on Parise, but it wasn't because Pouliot was such a better fit for the team. I don't think Pouliot was filling a need on this team at the time. Do you?

  • topshelf

    @ Jonathan Willis:
    I'd rather have Brule up here. His potential for success is higher than Pouliots I think and I don't think you give up anything defensively between the two of them. Pouliot has done nothing, absolutely nothing all year.

  • speeds

    smytty777 wrote:

    speeds wrote:

    Gregor:
    You advocate drafting for need? Why draft for need instead of BPA (best player available)?
    Agreed, last time the Oilers drafted on need they passed on Parise because they already had two small centers. That’s working out pretty well for them.

    They more recently drafted for need in 2004, when they selected a goalie (Dubnyk) 14th overall. I suppose it is possible they picked him as the BPA, but I remember reading/hearing some comments from Prendergast that suggested they felt they needed a goalie that year, so they selected Dubnyk in the 1st round.

  • smytty777

    speeds wrote:

    Gregor:
    You advocate drafting for need? Why draft for need instead of BPA (best player available)?

    Agreed, last time the Oilers drafted on need they passed on Parise because they already had two small centers. That's working out pretty well for them.

  • CurtisS

    A lose tonight will be extremly dissapointing.
    3 wins out of last 10 games………

    Even a win puts us at 4 wins in last 10. Not good enough in the stretch drive.

  • Colin

    Will the oilers reach .500? Find out tonight only on ON(and several other places).

    I guarantee an Oilers win tonight (Not a guarantee, offer not valid in Alberta, Quebec or any other jurisdiction where hockey is played).