Marc Pouliot Vs. The Average

Last season, Marc Pouliot average 10.24 minutes of five on five ice-time per game. Despite that meager role, many Oilers fans complain that MacTavish overused him and he shouldn’t even have been on the team. I believe that isn’t the case.

With that in mind, I decided to compare Marc Pouliot to other players stuck in a fourth-line role. To make it fair, I only included players who averaged within thirty seconds per game of what Pouliot did. It turns out that there are 55 such players in the NHL, almost two per team (Brodziak is the other one in Edmonton). Since this study uses Pouliot as a midpoint, it’s a little unfair to Brodziak, but I’m going to throw him in to since I imagine there’s some interest in his results.

Vs. The Average

For starters, here they are against the average player in their category:

NAME | GP | 5V5 TOI/G | PTS/60 | GFON/60 | GAON/60 |+/- 60

  • Marc Pouliot | 63 | 10.24 | 1.67 |2.32 | 2.42 | -.010
  • Kyle Brodziak | 79 | 9.82 | 1.62 | 2.48 | 2.48 | +0.00
  • Average | 60 | 10.09 | 1.32 | 1.96 | 2.40 | -0.44

Interesting stuff there. Both Brodziak and Pouliot were significantly better at scoring and saw significantly better on-ice goal totals than the average. Not only that, but they did this without allowing more goals against, finishing right near the average mark. In other words, by the raw numbers, both Brodziak and Pouliot were significantly better than players on other teams in similar roles.

More noteworthy is the fact that they managed this on a below-average team; with team strength taken into account, they likely would have finished higher.

Rankings vs. The Whole

All numbers out of 55.

  • PTS/60: Pouliot – 8th, Brodziak – 11th
  • GFON/60: Brodziak – 7th, Pouliot – 10th
  • GAON/60: Pouliot – 31st, Brodziak – 33rd
  • +/-: Brodziak – 12th, Pouliot – 17th

Fun stuff here. In the plus/minus category, it’s interesting to note that the vast majority of players ahead of Brodziak and Pouliot were from playoff teams, and only three of the players ahead of them (Ben Guite, Evgeni Artyukhin and Jesse Winchester) came from teams below the Oilers in the standings.

What am I getting at here? Simply this: the Oilers had a lot of problems last year, but fourth-liners Kyle Brodziak and Marc Pouliot don’t qualify as such.

  • Hippy

    You guys on Oilersnation post complete garbage too damn often these days. How are you comparing the offensive production of these two deadbeats (MAP and Broadziak) with that of other 4th liners. Thats like comparing the # of fights between our 1st liners with 1st liners from other teams. Its irrelevant. The meager offensive contributions of MAP and co dont matter, what matters is there physical play, ability to shift momentum, ability to intimidate and so forth.

    What a terrible post.

  • Hippy

    That video clip just reminds me of how frigging aware Fernando Pisani is. Nice off the boards pass springs Pouliot. Then he goes to the net.

    Nice dig off the boards by Pouliot, with Reasoner in close support. Then good distribution by Pouliot to create the gap.

  • Hippy

    Jonathan Willis wrote:

    @ Travis Dakin:
    Ogden neglected to include his tildes.

    And I hit the send button too soon as I figured that out too late. ha Either way, many don't know that. Oh well.

    *goes back to just READING all the blogs and lets the big boys do the WRITING*

  • Hippy

    Travis Dakin wrote:

    Ogden Brother wrote:
    But he’s soft, doesn’t have an identity and was only drafted because he played with Sid?
    In fairness again, he was drafted before he played with Crosby and Rimouski was the last place team in the league and Lowe said “He was the only player that didn’t give up”

    😉

  • Hippy

    Ogden Brother wrote:

    But he’s soft, doesn’t have an identity and was only drafted because he played with Sid?

    In fairness again, he was drafted before he played with Crosby and Rimouski was the last place team in the league and Lowe said "He was the only player that didn't give up"

  • Hippy

    "get a third line center that can win faceoffs"

    Shawn Horcoff 53.9
    Kyle Brodziak 51.6
    Marc Pouliot 48.3
    Sam Gagner 42.0
    Patrick O'Sullivan 41.4
    Fernando Pisani 40.6
    Robert Nilsson 40.0
    Andrew Cogliano 37.2

  • Hippy

    Good food for thought JW. Can we package the super star that Pouliot appears to be, with the newly signed Reddox and get a third line center that can win faceoffs?

  • Hippy

    Reddox signed!?! Guess that takes care of LW1. Screw you Danny, we got things covered. Wait, what? MacT is gone, sorry Liam, no LW1 for you. Back to the phones Tambo.

  • Hippy

    WTF!!!

    Didn't Reddox hit the road thinking he would get more money elsewhere? Stuck with him again, hope the grandpas dont decide to play him too much if ever.