OFFER SHEET FOR DOUGHTY?

Some fans are asking if it would make sense for the Edmonton Oilers to put forward an offer sheet on Drew Doughty, who is locked in a contract dispute with the Los Angeles Kings. Uh, no. No it doesn’t.

My best guess is that it isn’t going to happen — unless GM Steve Tambellini has fallen down the stairs and hit his head in recent days — and it shouldn’t, for a handful of reasons I can come up with off the top of my head, even if the reaction from Dean Lombardi would be priceless.

RISKY BUSINESS

— If Doughty isn’t willing to sign with the Kings or the $6.8 million annual salary Los Angeles is offering, my best guess is an offer sheet will have to come in at least $1 million more per year for Doughty to consider it.

I think what the Kings are said to be offering Doughty is handsome in the extreme, given what he’s shown in three NHL seasons. Nice rookie season in 2008-09 with 27 points. Big jump up in 2009-10 with 59 points. A step back in 2010-11 with 40 points.

The Oilers would be paying Doughty, who is still only 21, like a franchise cornerstone. Is he? Talented? Absolutely. A franchise guy? Maybe. Is he destined to be a 55-point guy or something closer to 45?

— If a sheet comes in at an average salary of $7.835 million or above and Doughty accepts it, the Oilers will have to send Los Angeles four first-round picks. If the sheet comes in just under that, it’s two first-rounders, a second-rounder and a third-rounder.

If it’s the former, might that mean lottery picks in each of the next two years? Maybe. Might it mean top-10 picks in all four years? Pretty good chance of that.

— Doughty, as Ryan Rishaug pointed out on the Jason Gregor Show today, has a history of getting "comfortable" when it comes to his commitment to fitness. Might Doughty get comfortable if he gets a sheet worth $55 million for seven seasons?

 What could possibly go wrong?

Listen to Robin Brownlee Wednesdays and Thursdays from 3 p.m. to 5 p.m. on the Jason Gregor Show on TEAM 1260.

  • D-Man

    The other side of the elite coin is depth. If you have a good team, depth is the most important thing in the playoffs. Ask Vancouver, who were supposed to be deeper than anyone, and self destructed essentially because Malhotra and Hamhuis got hurt.

    D get hurt a lot. If you sign a guy like Doughty, you have to give up something on your next two pairings because of the cap. If he gets hurt (like Pronger and likely Webber last year) you’re hooped.

    How about 6 full game, good passing and skating, second tier D? If you have good forwards, as long as they get the puck to them, you can live with less offense from the back, and get overall more defensive stability, and more resistance to injuries, especially in the playoffs.

      • OB1 Team Yakopov - F.S.T.N.F

        Was Vancouver deep or was Boston?

        Boston’s D completely outplayed and outscored the Canucks D overall. The Canucks only got 4 shots off from prime scoring position in game 7 until half way into the third when they were pushing – a little too late. They outshot Boston 37-21 (Gamecentre). After game 2, only Errorhoff and Bieksa got any points, one each.

        Boston got production throughout the final from every D but McQuaid.

        Some of the Canuck’s D played well, but too many lost the battle, and Boston was without their top line C and RW. Vancouver had injuries, but they had their forwards, and by that point everyone is banged up. Bergeron came back early from a concussion.

        I think the Canucks have Bieksa and Hamhuis, but after that nothing special. Well, Salo is good, but when is he healthy? I think it was apparent in the final. Don’t forget every player looks better and has better stats on the Pres Trophy team.

        Chara wasn’t the difference in that series. What is interesting is that Boston had a more veteran defense, and the only one who didn’t produce and IIRC struggled the most was the young guy, McQuaid, 24 years old.

        Oiler fans take note. Given the age of our upcoming D, trading a bunch off for quality older defense to maximize the prime years of the forward core might be a good idea soon. Of Marincin, Klefbom, Musil, Teubert, Blain, Davidson, we’d be lucky if one was really at a top calibre level in the next 5 years. We need a few more guys are 23-25 right now.

  • OB1 Team Yakopov - F.S.T.N.F

    I absolutely love the thought of Drew Doughty as an oiler. In theory, though. What I don’t like is what would have to be the cap hit and how long it would be for. As far as I’m concerned, the d-men for the oil are much like the forwards: they are still learning. Who knows how good Barker or Whitney could be? As much as Doughty would help, I don’t mind taking a chance on a guy that was drafted after Ovie and Malkin (Barker).

    Thanks for reading!
    for more oilers analysis: Oilers Depth Analysis Blog

  • OB1 Team Yakopov - F.S.T.N.F

    7.8/year would be 2 first rounders?, 1 second, 1 third? your saying that wouldn’t be worth it? What do the Oilers need desperately and will need for years to come? Everything Doughty brings to the table. 21 years old. I would bet a lot of money those 2 first round picks will not be in the top 7. Oilers have nothing other than whitney for offensive defencemen. Nothing even close. Ryan Smyth can shoot the puck harder than almost everyone of them, its embarassing watching them try to get a shot on net from the point on the pp. Can you honestly say you think your going to be better off with 2 first round picks (probably not in the top 5) than with Doughty for years?