DO YOU SEE WHAT I SEE: EDITION XVIII

sexy eyes

Are the Edmonton Oilers improving? For months people have said the Oilers have regressed. I don’t think they have improved or regressed when you look at their overall play. After a pathetic first quarter of the season the Oilers’ record is now eerily similar to last season.

The Oilers were 4-15-2 in their first 21 games. On November 15th they were unofficially eliminated from the playoffs. It was brutal.

Here are their stats in the first 21 games.

Goals For: 48 (2.28/game)

Goals Against: 80 (3.80/game)

PP: 12 for 68 (17.6%)

PK: 15 of 79 (81.0%)

Shots for: 586 (27.9/game)

Shots against: 642 (30.6/game)

Goalies SV%: .883 (Dubnyk .884, Lababera 0.858 and Bachman 0.915)

In their last 49 games the Oilers are 21-21-7, and you will notice some significant differences.

Goals For: 125 (2.55/game)

Goals Against: 142 (2.89/game)

PP: 27 for 170 (15.9%)

PK: 26 of 158 (83.5%)

Shots for: 1,305 (26.6/game)

Shots against: 1626 (33.2/game)

Goalies SV%: .913 (Dubnyk .898, Bryzgalov 0.908, Scrivens 0.932 and Fasth 0.940)

The team’s Sv% has improved significantly over the past 49 games. The PK and GF is slightly better, and not surprisingly the GAA has dropped by almost 1 goal per game. It is amazing what competent goaltending will do for a team. The Oilers still have many areas to improve, but solid goaltending has them on an 82-point pace over a full season.

COMPARISONS…

So how does the Oilers’ previous 49 games compare to last season?

Goals For: 123 (2.56/game)

Goals Against: 131 (2.73/game)

PP: 34 for 69 (20.1%)

PK: 29 of 175 (83.4%)

Shots for: 1,285 (26.7/game)

Shots against: 1572 (32.8/game)

Goalies SV%: .919 (Dubnyk .920, Khabibulin 0.923, and Denis 0.881)

The Oilers were 19-22-7 last year and in their previous 48 games went are 20-21-7. Now that the goaltending Sv% has improved this team’s results are very similar to last season.

They have scored the same amount of goals, the goals against are close and so are the SF and SA per game.

The PP is not as good, seven fewer goals, but they even that out by scoring more 4-on-4. The PK is virtually identical.

I don’t see many differences from this year to last, other than the coach and that is what I expected would happen. Until the organization makes changes to key positions, switching coaches won’t matter much. Their goaltending has been very good since November 15th, but last year Dubnyk and Khabibulin’s Sv% gave them a chance most nights, even when Dubnyk allowed a softie.

The issue is they haven’t improved much, and that is a fair complaint. I’d share that responsibility equally amongst the coach and players. I never expected this team to be a contender this year, so I’m not surprised they aren’t.

NOW WHAT?

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They need to change their top-six and top-four defence. It won’t be easy. Craig MacTavish has done a stellar job fixing his goaltending position. In the span of two months, he acquired Fasth, Scrivens, Hendricks and a 4th round pick for Dubnyk, Bryzgalov, two 3rds, and a 5th.

Those two moves look great, but he’ll be faced with harder decisions and more difficult moves this offseason. How can he inject some size in his top-six, and acquire some experience and skill amongst his top-four defenders?

Steve Tambellini was unable to make any significant moves while he was GM, but MacTavish has shown a willingness to make trades. He won’t win them all — Smid and Hemsky — but he has made some very good moves thus far.

MacTavish can’t rush into these moves, and I’m sure there will be a temptation to do so, but he’ll need to be shrewd and a bit lucky to re-configure his lineup without moving out the wrong piece.

It will be interesting to see how it unfolds.

POSITIVE HITS…

  • This is absolutely awesome. What a great move by the San Jose Sharks. Watch young Sam’s reaction at the end of the video. It will make you smile. It reminds us that just going out of our way to do nice things for others can really make a difference. You might need a tissue. 

  • I’ve noticed many suggesting that in previous years the Oilers have won too much down the stretch and ruined their draft positioning. I’m not sure why people think that, because only once in the last seven years have they played great in the final quarter of the season.

    Last year, on April 3rd and were tied for 8th. They won 3 of their final 12 (quarter of the season) and dropped out of a tie for 8th place.

    In 2012, they went 7-9-4 in final 20 games.
    In 2011, they went 5-11-4.
    In 2010, they went 8-10-2.
    In 2009, they went 7-9-4.
    2008 was the only year they ended on a high, going 14-5-1 down the stretch.
    In 2007, they limped down the stretch going 2-17-1. They won the last game of the season in Calgary, but that DID NOT cost them Patrick Kane. Had the Oilers lost the game, they would have had the 4th worst record in the NHL. When Chicago won the lottery the Oilers would have drafted 5th instead of 6th.

    Let’s stop with the suggestions this team wins too much down the stretch. It isn’t the case. This team needs to learn how to win, and if that means they draft 3rd, 4th or 5th then so what? Expecting another draft pick to magically solve the Oilers woes makes no sense. This group of players must learn what it takes to win, not lose more games just so they can pick 2nd at the draft. Even with their 10-4-3 hot streak the Oilers are still in 29th place.

    You also can’t ask players to lose. Is Eakins supposed to tell his goalies to allow an easy goal if the game is close? Are you supposed to tell Hall not to try and score?

ADDING A SECOND DAY…

 

Day one of our tourney sold out in 27 hours, so we have added a 2nd day.

Here
is your chance to helps end MS and win your entry, $10,000, to the WSOP
main event in July in Las Vegas. (Due to exchange rate it is actually
$11,200 prize). The Winner also receives some extra spending money as
well as flights and hotel accommodations.

The 3nd annual Gregor MS BIKE TOUR Classic goes Sunday, April 27th.

Century Casino, Uniglobe One Travel and The Jason Gregor

Show have teamed up for a fun day of chirping, card playing and

fundraising.

WHEN: Sunday April 27th. Registration at 11:30, tourney at 1 p.m.
WHERE: Century Casino, 13103 Fort Road
WHO: 100 Texas Hold Em Players
WHY: To Help End MS and win a seat at the WSOP main event

COST: $220 per person (15% goes to MS Society)

Please be advised of the following stipulations for the tournament:

 

· All participants must be 21 years of age.

· The grand prize is based on a minimum occupancy of 80 participants, with only

100 spots

available.

If all spots are not filled, the grand prize will be adjusted to the pre-determined cash prizing.

· The grand prize awarded is a seat in
the World Series of Poker Tournament Main Event, valued at $10,000 USD,
in Las Vegas July 5th – 14th,

2014. The last 9 players of the tournament will return to Las Vegas
in

November 2013 for the final table. All events will be held at the Rio

Hotel. The winner also receives airfare and accommodations from Uniglobe One Travel for one.

· The grand prize is non-transferable. The 1st

place grand prize winner of the tournament  will accept the prize as

awarded and be expected to participate and represent Century Casino

and The Jason Gregor Show in the World Series of Poker Tournament.

· The remainder of the cash prizing for the tournament will be broken down as follows, based on full occupancy:

 

1st place- $10,000 (USA funds) entry fee into WSOP main event.

2nd place – $2,000.00 cash  and $500 donation in name to MS Society.

3rd place – $880.00 cash and $220 donation in name to MS Society

4th place – $680.00 cash and $170 donation in name to MS Society.

5th place – $600.00 cash and $150 donation in name to MS Society.

6th place – $520.00 cash and $130 donation in name to MS Society.

7th place – $440.00 cash and $110 donation in name to MS Society

8th place – $360.00 cash and $90 donation in name to MS Society

9th place – $280.00 cash and $70 donation in name to MS Society.

10th place – $240.00 cash and $60 donation in name to MS Society.
 

** 1st place prize is not redeemable for

cash. If you can’t go then the 2nd place winner can go in your place

and you receive their prize.**

Call 780.643.4060 now to secure a seat call Good luck. We won’t allow people who are in day one to register until Saturday. We’d like to make it open to as many people as possible. 

PARTING SHOT…

How many of you gentlemen have a few suits in your closet that you are
still holding on to the dream that one day you will fit in them again?
Don’t worry we are all in the same boat. If you are ready to make that
tough decision of parting with one of those suits, The Gregor Foundation
would gladly take them and give them to a high school student who can’t
afford one. Read here for more info. Thanks in advance to those who donate.

RECENTLY BY JASON GREGOR:

  • Chainsawz

    I can agree that this years draft pick is not going to make the Oilers instantly better next year. But that pick could make the team a lot better three years down the road. I do not buy into the idea that the Oilers have to win a lot of games from now to the end of the season in order to be better next year. It doesn’t really matter as after the game on Saturday against the Flames, then it is going to be very hard for them to win more than two games the rest of the season. Last year Tampa Bay and Colorado did not have to win a lot in their in final fifteen games order to win the next year. So I am going to say that it is more important that the Oilers win a lot in the first fifteen next year, rather than the last fifteen this year.

  • Bicepus Maximus - Huge fan boy!

    The Gregor foundation is outstanding, i love grass roots domestic charities, i’m checking my closet as we speak.

    Also thank you for saying “on pace for an 82 point season” and not a 500 season. it’s a little point but for us numeric anals, it means a lot.

  • Bicepus Maximus - Huge fan boy!

    Amazing reaction by the Sharks kid.

    Someone walked into my office right after I watched the video. Pretty awkward conversation when you’re talking to a grown @$$, teary-eyed dude.

  • Bicepus Maximus - Huge fan boy!

    I’m not sure if it’s the improved goaltending, slightly better defense (addition of Marincin) or a better understanding of what Eakins system is but they are playing better in the last 17 games anyway.

    At the very least they seem to have found some confidence in themselves which was sorely missing in the first half of the season.

    Having confidence and being able to play at a high level go hand in hand.

  • Bicepus Maximus - Huge fan boy!

    Really interesting analysis. It really does show you how bad they were in the first quarter of this year. Nonetheless, even if you take away the first 20 games of the year, you’d think these guys would be improving compared to last year. I think that’s what is driving the fanbase irate. For me, personally, the thing that still stands out to me is they are completely outmatched against the stronger teams in the league. If I’m remembering right, they put in a much better effort last year against the better teams. It’s be interesting to see a comparative in that area.

    • Jason Gregor

      Last year in 15 games the Oilers were 3-9-3 vs. Ana, Chic, LA, SJ and ST.L.

      So far this year in 14 games the Oiler are 1-12-1 vs. the same five teams.

      A bit better last year, but both years they aren’t close to the top teams…because they are still too small up front and on the backend. I think it just shows that until they change the make up of their key positions they won’t improve. At least that is what I see.

    • Bicepus Maximus - Huge fan boy!

      That’s one reason this final stretch will be interesting. San Jose, the Ducks a couple times, Kings, Colorado, Phoenix, Vancouver. These are either for sure playoff teams, or those on the bubble. Either way they’ll be playing for the best position possible. It’s nice to see the Oil finally racking up some wins but if we fall flat against all these teams that won’t mean too much.