STOP REWARDING FAILURE

Failure

Why should the NHL continue to reward the Edmonton Oilers for on-ice failure and organizational ineptitude by giving them a better chance to select the cream of the crop at the Entry Draft while more successful teams line up behind and wait their turn? It shouldn’t.

I was contemplating the whole greasy, distasteful subject of teams tanking to achieve a better selection in the Entry Draft as the Oilers prepared to face the Buffalo Sabres Thursday – Jason Gregor and I were talking about trading away useful players like Matt Hendricks and Jeff Petry to keep the Oilers in contention in the Connor McDavid-Jack Eichel sweepstakes.

Advertisement - Continue Reading Below

I dislike the idea of teams being rewarded for losing by having better odds of picking first overall (no matter how it’s weighted) because the idea of playing games should be to win. The reality under the system employed by the NHL, however, is that if the season is a write-off and playoffs are a pipe dream, it makes sense for teams like the Sabres, Oilers, Carolina Hurricanes and Arizona Coyotes to keep losing.

By edging the Sabres 3-2, the Oilers hurt their chances of getting a crack at McDavid or Eichel in the upside-down standings by improving to 35 points. The outcome leaves Edmonton four points ahead of the 30th-place Sabres. Simply put, as a bottom-feeder, winning is bad. Losing is good. There’s something fundamentally wrong with that.

From where I sit, it’s time to change the system and take away any reward for being awful, as the Oilers have been for years on end, turning lack of results into first overall picks Taylor Hall, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Nail Yakupov. John MacKinnon at the Edmonton Journal wrote about doing exactly that – changing the system — this morning. The story is here. I don’t agree with MacKinnon on much, but I’m with him on this one.

It won’t happen, of course, but it should.

Advertisement - Continue Reading Below

EQUAL OPPORTUNITY

EqualOpportunity

The NHL has already changed how it weights its lottery system for 2015 and will do so again for 2016. It amounts to nothing more than tinkering with a system that rewards failure. What I’d like to see, as MacKinnon suggested, is the elimination of that in the first round by giving all teams the same odds of drafting first overall regardless of whether they finish 30th or first during the regular season. Thirty balls into the machine, 30 balls out. Equal luck of the draw. In remaining rounds, use the reverse order format.

Worst picking first is a hangover from the pre-salary cap era when a handful of wealthy teams could and often would spend two or three times on player salaries than teams without the same resources. In 2002-03, teams like the New York Rangers, Detroit Red Wings, Dallas Stars and St. Louis Blues, to name just four, spent $60-$70 million, or more, on payroll. 

At the same time, have-nots like the Oilers, Minnesota, Nashville, Columbus and Pittsburgh, to name five, hovered a few million dollars on either side of the $30-million mark. While big-spenders had no guarantee of success, teams who had owners with deep pockets could throw money at mistakes and spend without limits trying to get it right. The have-nots could not and lost players to wealthier teams through free agency. The disparity was huge.

That disparity hasn’t been completely eliminated, but it’s been narrowed considerably by the salary cap and floor that’s in place now. The Red Wings or the Rangers can’t throw twice at much money at payroll as the Oilers and Sabres can. There is not the same need to throw the have-nots a bone at the Entry Draft to “even things up.”

Edmonton owner Daryl Katz can spend to the cap if he chooses. POHO Kevin Lowe, general manager Craig MacTavish and the rest Edmonton’s hockey ops management isn’t handcuffed by lack of money as management under the EIG was before a new CBA came along.

Advertisement - Continue Reading Below

All Cal Nichols and the EIG wanted was the chance to compete on an even playing field. That came in 2005-06. Why, with the ability to spend as much as any team, should the Oilers of today (or any team) be rewarded for lack of results, for doing a lousy job, with a better chance at picking first overall? Why should the Oilers or the Sabres have better odds of landing McDavid or Eichel than the Chicago Blackhawks or Boston Bruins?

SELL RESULTS

Results

The Oilers have been selling hope instead of results without delivering on their promises since they drafted Hall in 2010. The NHL, though the system in place, has been the enabler. “We’re lousy, but it’s a process. We’re putting the building blocks in place.” Hall, first overall. RNH, first overall. Yakupov, first overall. “Look at these great kids we’ve got. We’ll build around them. Be patient.” That’s been the pitch here, no?

Dangling the possibility of landing the next Eric Lindros or Sidney Crosby, the next “generational player,” as a consolation prize takes some of the edge off the fan base when a season has been a disaster. The upside-down standings create buzz. In Edmonton, it has bought management more time than it deserves with fans and the guy who signs the cheques. Here we are again, barely into 2015, hoping the Oilers are bad enough to hang on to a shot at McDavid or Eichel. It’s time to kick away that crutch.

It’s time for the NHL to stop rewarding failure. Give every team the same odds of getting the first overall pick. Fans shouldn’t be reduced to cheering for losses, they should be cheering for wins knowing that no matter where their team finishes in the standings, they’ve got the exact same odds as any other team of walking to the podium first.

Advertisement - Continue Reading Below

Management in Edmonton, any city, should stand or fall on its ability to draft well in every round and to develop that talent properly within a farm system. It should stand or fall based on making the right trades and signing the right free agents. It should stand or fall on putting all the pieces together and building a winning team. That means employing the best possible people in hockey ops at all levels – scouts, coaches, support staff, analytics people. Anything less is perverse.

It’s what we have here.

Listen to Robin Brownlee Wednesdays and Thursdays from 3 p.m. to 5 p.m. on the Jason Gregor Show on TSN 1260.


  • Bucknuck

    Yaaaaaaaaaaaay!!! My favorite article since I started coming to this site!!

    In life and in business, you don’t reward losers.. it creates an environment of entitlement, and punishes those that work hard.

  • Athabascajim

    A good way to “reward” non- playoff teams and still keep things on the level would be to reverse the percentages so the team that finishes 17 th has the best chance at # 1 overall and the team that finishes 30th has the worst odds. This would keep everyone competing until the last game. No one is going to tank to finish 17th for the first pick and miss the payoff that play off games provide. Keep this order for all 7 rounds too.

    • yeah, but that doesn’t help the teams that are simply bad, but not deliberately tanking. It doesn’t help the teams that have players quit halfway through the season because their wife is unhappy, or because their parents stole their money. This idea suggests that the worst teams in the league are bad because they deliberately chose to tank.

      • he shoots he scars

        The “idea,” as you put it, does nothing of the sort. Even odds in the first round don’t reward failure, period. Doesn’t matter if it’s deliberate or not.

        • if teams developed their own players from youth hockey, this draft issue is totally irrelevant. The best way to ensure teams are not rewarded for failure is to eliminate the draft altogether, and force teams to implement a youth academy, where they develop their own players from an early age. It certainly works well in european football.

      • Derzie

        In an ideal world only the needy would get the top picks, and then they would become competitive. Unfortunately, the oilers alone ruin the idea that drafting first helps a team.

        • so what? the oilers have been bad…really bad since 2010. Drafting 1st overall hasn’t helped them. There’s no argument to be made here. All that has happened is that the oilers drafted players who are incapable of making the team any better. they didn’t make the Oilers better. they wouldn’t have made anyone else better either. they haven’t been rewarded for being bad. They’re just a bad team that got first dibs on getting players who as it turns out aren’t really all that good.

          • There is no way in hell any other team in the league would be as bad as the oilers with 3 number 1 picks.

            If the oilers can’t figure out how to stop getting worse after even 2 first overalls, then they should not be allowed to screw any other teams out of picking number one.

          • Why wouldn’t any other team be that bad? Atlanta had many high draft picks and were never any good. The islanders….didn’t draft #1 overall very often but they drafted in the top 5 regularly and it took them 15 years to get back to respectability. Maybe it just happens that the 3 years in a row that Edmonton drafted 1st overall, those players weren’t really very good anyway.

    • Zarny

      I doubt any team is actually tanking. Management may make decisions that make the team worse, but to think that there is a concerted effort to loose games is nonsense. Individual players, coaches have too much to loose.

      The frustration from my end and Oiler fans, in general – I think – is the fact we have not chosen the proper players as top picks. Combined with, not surrounding those players with competent role players (vets) has been puzzling. Ideally based on our record over the past 10 years we should be a playoff team. All those top picks have ended up not meeting expectations. Even the beloved RNH has not lived up to the hype, yet he is the best we have…

      Watching the Islanders ORG succeed offers both hope and frustration as to where we should be/are at…

      Anyway things will change for the better.

  • T.J.F.M.

    Unless the Oilers draft first overall they should trade their 2 first round picks for actual NHL players. Give Hall Eberle RNH some support

    I am tired of waiting for the 18 year olds to mature. By the time any of these 2 first round picks become NHL players Hall, Eberle, RNH will be more or less gone

    I will get trashed for this so trash away

    • Burnward

      I’m not so sure why so many people still want to build around this “core” group of players of RNH, Eberle, and Hall. To my eye, Eberle and Hall seem more like the problem on most nights than the solution. If word on the street counts for anything, they are not the poster boys some seem to want to think, and they are not the team solidarians in the locker room. Hearsay??

      • Oil Fan in Ottawa

        This is basically what Hemsky when he left a year ago, the “core” has to start leading the team.

        An old saying in any sport is “your best players have to be you best players”. How many nights does the HNHE line outplay the guys across form them?

  • Athabascajim

    It’d be interesting to see a model of pure free agency. A good team doesn’t necessarily have an advantage because they have less opportunity. Bad teams need to get better to attract talent. Not sure it’s perfect, but would it be any worse?

    The reason the draft came to be was to prevent Montreal and Toronto from getting all the good players from Canada. Now that it’s a global sport, is this an issue?