GDB 50.0: Crushing the Dreams of the Calgary Flames

Todd Nelson6

Todd Nelson is, as everyone knows, coaching for his life in the NHL; opportunities to run an NHL bench don’t come along very often and if he can get the Oilers pointed in the right direction he has a very good chance of finding himself at the helm of the team for Game 1 of next season.

Beating the Calgary Flames would be a big help in his quest for continued employment, and just for good measure would really, really hurt Alberta’s other team in the process.

Advertisement - Continue Reading Below

The Western Conference Playoff Race

1.31.15 WC Standings

Oilers fans could be forgiven if they haven’t been paying rapt attention to the playoff bubble out West, but Calgary is very much hanging on for dear life to the final playoff spot. With Winnipeg all but assured of one of the two wild card slots, the last one probably comes down to Calgary vs. the field (Vancouver has games in hand and a two point lead, though either it or San Jose could fall into the mix too with a poor finish).

The Kings, Stars and Wild all have a game in hand on Calgary and are, respectively, one, four and five points back. Colorado is only two points back but has played one extra game. Any of those teams could pass the Flames over the final 30-odd games of the season. Minnesota did itself a big favour with a regulation win over the Flames on Thursday (Devan Dubnyk had a shutout and is now 4-1-0 with a 0.931 save percentage since coming over from Arizona) and after tonight Calgary will play 10 straight games against teams in the thick of the playoff race.

This contest is the exception, their great chance to put points in the bank against an NHL bottom-feeder. A loss to Edmonton won’t be a crippling blow to the Flames (it’s an 82-game season, after all) but it could well put them behind the Kings (who play tonight) and will make things much more miserable than they would have been otherwise.

Advertisement - Continue Reading Below

Tonight’s game is a rarity in recent years: A Battle of Alberta that really matters.

The Lottery Standings and Rewarding Losing

1.31.15 Lottery Standings

The Sabres only have a four point lead on Edmonton for 30th, but it seems awfully safe. An incredible 14 consecutive losses have sent Buffalo to the basement and they aren’t likely to get any better as they ship off a laundry list of unrestricted free agents. Carolina has finally started playing well and with their goaltending finally recovering from a brutal start I don’t really see that stopping.

The big question is Arizona. Mike Smith has been spectacularly bad and they do have a long list of free agents to move at the deadline. A five point lead is pretty significant, but they could well pass Edmonton in the race to the bottom before all is said and done.

While we’re on the topic, I wanted to touch on Robin Brownlee’s column from yesterday. I actually agree with a lot that Brownlee writes, and I understand the case he’s making, but I can’t agree with him on the idea that bad teams should have no edge in the draft lottery. Is tanking odious? Sure. But how many NHL teams would die if without the opportunity to improve themselves via top picks? Would, for example, Pittsburgh still have a team?

The fact is that franchise stability should and does trump the ickiness of tanking. Without young stars to sell, a lot of losing teams would have tremendous difficulty attracting customers; further, without those young stars a lot of losing teams would lose for a very, very long time.

Advertisement - Continue Reading Below

If we’re looking for a way to eliminate cheering for losses, the Gold Rule is the way to go. In all likelihood that costs the NHL much of the excitement of the trade deadline, as teams will now be under great pressure not to unload quality talent, but that strikes me as a reasonable sacrifice if it keeps the games of all 30 teams interesting.

Lineups

1.31.15 Oil DF Lines

No big surprises in terms of the lineups; Keith Aulie will replace the injured Nikita Nikitin and with no spares at either position Luke Gazdic will stay in after a really strong game on Thursday. Ben Scrivens is expected to start, which is a bit of a surprise but also gives him a chance to make up for an ugly outing on opening night against the Flames.

The size/pugnacity dimension isn’t a bad thing to have against the Flames, but it’s far less important than actually winning the hockey game. This one really matters for Calgary and so it really should matter for Edmonton, too.

WHAT THEY’RE SAYING…

Advertisement - Continue Reading Below

From Ryan Pike at FlamesNation

After a pair of good third period efforts paired with shoddy starts resulted in a win and a loss since the All-Star Break, the Calgary Flames will be hoping to get back to consistent 60-minute efforts tonight. Why?

It’s the 219th edition of the Battle of Alberta!

In addition to bragging rights – the Flames captured their 110th win all-time over Edmonton on New Year’s Eve via Josh Jooris’ overtime heroics (and hold an overall 110-87-21 record) – the Flames are now in the midst of a playoff battle. With 33 games remaining on the docket, the Flames (26-20-3) have 55 points and enter the evening’s festivities a point up on the Kings for the final wild-card spot, but also spitting distance away from Winnipeg (in the first wild-card spot) and both San Jose and Vancouver in divisional spots.

A win would do a great deal of good for Calgary’s playoff chances, particularly heading into a week where they host Winnipeg, San Jose and the Pittsburgh Penguins. While there are no easy games in the National Hockey League, Edmonton (13-27-9) is the most favourable match-up they’ll get for awhile. They’d be smart to use this game to get themselves into fighting shape, because this coming week will feature some absolute battles for playoff position.

Predictions

TopDog

Game day prediction: The Flames have won all three games against Edmonton this year, and they’ve lit up Ben Scrivens in both of his starts. Call it 4-2 Calgary.

Obvious game day prediction: Keith Aulie will fight. He’s been stuck in the pressbox for all but four minutes of Todd Nelson’s coaching tenure, and he’ll really want to show something tonight. Brandon Bollig seems a likely sparring partner.

Advertisement - Continue Reading Below

Not-so-obvious game day prediction: Nail Yakupov will score for the first time in seven games.

RECENTLY BY JONATHAN WILLIS

SmallBanner2

  • YFC Prez

    Once the Flames realized they were playing the OILERS they realized they didn’t even need Hudler or Glencross to win this.

    They’re running this b!tch now

  • Burnward

    THIRTY-FIVE GAME SUCKFEST CONTINUES!

    Sabres: Fourteen straight losses, threatening the NHL record of seventeen straight.

    Coyotes: Lost 8 out of 9.

    Oilers: Didn’t get the memo.

    Hurricane: Didn’t get the memo.

    PS: Tanking is for losers.

    GO OILERS!

  • YFC Prez

    Every now and again Schultz does something that completely catches me off guard. That had eye coordination to knock that puck out of the air from behind the net….. Pretty cool.

  • Burnward

    Hey calgary, when you play in the playoffs(whatever that is) make sure you change your scoreboard to read 3rd period all game. You might just go on a good run!

  • Burnward

    I was at the game sitting next to Raymond’s brother ( from Everybody loves Raymond) ………the dude is very large…….I say we should draft him!

    On the gamd itself, the guys that most stood out for me was Klefblom and Petry! Both of these players were constantly breaking up plays and moving the puck smartly. On the offensive side of the game Nuge is so sublimely talented and needs a pure shooter to really let his talent shine.

    In my mind if Eberle wants to be a complete player, he really needs to learn how to one-time a puck. So many times he has lane to shoot and for some reason always has to stop the puck before he takes his wrist shot! By that time the play has simply vanished.

    Ditto for JS……..he looks good but every player in league knows he will NOT shoot the puck……….he has become so predictiable……..IMHO that’s why his numbers are falling!

  • YFC Prez

    Oiler fans are a joke. The management is the problem here and it’s a shame they are bringing down these young players with them. Every team knows that you dot bring young guys in unless you have veteran’s playing the same positions to help and coach these kids.

    Oilers bring every young emerging star in right off the hop and they get thrown into the wolfs.

    Fans keep sucking up everything the management says and this management does nothing tone prove itself. Most teams would have fired these guys or at least the management would have stepped down.

    It’s a shame to watch someone like Hall who has spent his life winning come to a team that was never good and try and turn it around. Now he realizes it’s not what he thought it would be and he is dying off..

    Yakky is the same story. He came to a team that had other fellow youngsters playing and seeing them struggle has really had an affect on him.

    Truly feel sorry for these kids. Instead of going to the games, how about fans staying outside and protesting the firing of this management.. These losing days would disappear quick. These kids would look at this as an actual new beginning..

  • Rod the Viking

    Glad to see you giving credit where it was due with your Luke Gadzic comments, he has been a lot more effective with two good shoulders this year.
    I hope his game keeps evolving so he can stick with this team for at least 2/3 of the games, even this dinosaur has to admit there is no place for an enforcer that can’t skate and make plays anymore.

  • sportsjunkie007

    I think I’ll mix up Jonathan’s obvious/not so obvious predictions just to be a rebel.

    Yakupov will fight, likely against a defenseman after Yak does something to make Calgary’s goaltender irate.

    Aulie will score. Against which team? Who knows. It just feels like it could be a weird night.

  • YFC Prez

    AMAZING COMMENTS BY DALLAS EAKINS

    A couple of previous posters have mentioned this interview. It is about twenty minutes long, available at the “TSN Hockey Analytics” website.

    Here are some of the zingers unleashed by old shoe polish head. He says he was “sold a bill of goods” by the Oilers organization. He says the Oilers sought HIM out, “unexpectedly”, to be the head coach. He seems very proud of the fact that team CORSI improved from 44 last season to 51 this season (kind of missing the point that it was EAKINS who coached the team to the 44 CORSI last year). Later in the interview he says that he does not want to talk about how they improved the CORSI this year because he has a sort of a secret “formula” which he will use in his next coaching job. Speaking of which, he says he will not settle for less than NHL Head Coach or maybe Associate HC.

    Anyone who thought Eakins was taking the “high road” when he left Edmonton should give this a listen.

  • mr_nihilism

    WTF has happened since the 1st period? The flames turn up the heat and the Oil decide it’s the right time to play lazy, sloppy suck the hind banana hockey. What a joke.

    • YFC Prez

      Oilers are a fragile team they break easily. Flames have been great in 3 rd all year.

      I just want to see the oilers not lay down and die here. Come on Nelson get them going.