Are the Edmonton Oilers actually this bad?

The article Mike Brophy wrote for the Hockey News recently got me thinking about the Oilers and whether they’re actually as bad as their record suggests. He essentially said that it’s absurd how bad the Oilers are after drafting first overall four times in the past six years, and that the league should do something to ensure that teams aren’t constantly rewarded for their ineptitude. He also talked about a coach named Scott McLellan and the Columbus Blue Jackets selecting Erik Johnson first overall in 2006, but that’s beside the point. 

When I watch the Oilers, I don’t see a basement team. I certainly don’t see a playoff team, but I have a hard time believing that this team is as bad as it was last year, and frankly, I’m confused as to why their record is so poor. In total, the Oilers have lost 17 games this season. Of those 17 losses, eight of them have been by one goal, and only four have been by more than two goals. And when you take away empty net insurance goals, the Oilers have lost 11 games by one goal. Let’s break down each of those losses further to see who this team actually is.

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(I’m going to look at each of the Oilers’ 17 losses and try to determine whether they deserved to lose or win, or if it was too close and easily could have gone either way. Feel free to disagree with my analysis of how each game should have gone. I link to the statistical breakdown to each individual game so everyone can come up with their own way to categorize each of these 17 losses.)

Oct. 8, 2015: 3-1 loss in St. Louis. The Oilers took the lead late in the first period, then the Blues tied the game in the second, took the lead in the third, and added an empty net insurance goal with 18 seconds to go in the game. The Blues had 43 even strength shot attempts while the Oilers had 39, and the Blues outshot the Oilers 31 to 25 in all situations. This game was pretty tight, but the Oilers were outplayed slightly. I’ll put it in the “could go either way category.”

Oct. 10, 2015: 2-0 loss in Nashville. The Predators scored one goal late in the second period and one more in the third on their way to a 2-0 shutout win. The Oilers had 42 even strength shot attempts while the Predators had 38, and the Oilers outshot the Predators 31 to 26 in all situations. In the third period of this game, the Oilers had an all situations Corsi For percentage of 78.6 per cent. Much like the first game, this one was pretty tight. Outside of a pretty horrible first period, the Oilers outplayed Nashville, so this could have gone either way. 

Oct. 13, 2015: 4-2 loss in Dallas. The Stars took a 2-0 lead, but the Oilers tied it up before the end of the second period. Dallas took the lead again with under five minutes to go in the game, then added an empty net insurance goal with under one minute left. Dallas outshot the Oilers heavily in this game, 52 to 28 in situations and 40 to 21 at even strength. The score makes this game seem closer than it really was, so I would say the Oilers deserved to lose this game. 

Oct. 15, 2015: 4-2 loss to St. Louis. The Oilers took a 1-0 load in the first period, then St. Louis scored goals in the first, second, and third period to take a 3-1 lead. Edmonton added one more goal in the third, but St. Louis countered with another goal of their own and won the game 4-2. The Blues outshot the Oilers 29 to 26 in all situations and 25 to 19 at even strength. The Blues also posted a 57.6 Corsi For percentage at even strength. I think this game also wasn’t quite as tight as the score suggested. Despite the total shot counter being close, St. Louis was dominant at even strength and in possession. I’ll give the Oilers a loss on this one. 

Oct. 23, 2015: 7-4 loss to Washington. The Oilers and Capitals went back and forth with goals in the first period, but in the second period, Washington scored three in a row to take a 6-3 lead. Each team added one more goal and the final score ended up being 7-4. This game was marked by some pretty horrible goaltending, as Anders Nilsson allowed six goals on 17 shots and Philipp Grubauer allowed four goals on 19 shots. Shots and possession were pretty equal throughout the game, as Washington slightly edged Edmonton 19 to 18 in even strength shots, while both teams posted a 50.0 Corsi For percentage. The Oilers weren’t outplayed, and this game easily could have gone either way had it not been for terrible goaltending from Nilsson.  

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Oct. 25, 2015: 3-2 loss to Los Angeles. The Oilers took the lead in the first period before L.A. added a couple of goals to take a lead of their own. In the third, Edmonton tied the game, but L.A. quickly answered and won 3-2. The Oilers were outshot 34 to 28 in all situations and 25-21 at even strength. The second period was dominated by the Kings, as they boasted an 81.2 even strength Corsi For percentage in the period. L.A. outplayed Edmonton, but it can go under the either way category. 

Oct. 27, 2015: 4-3 loss in Minnesota. The Wild took a 2-0 lead in the first period, but the Oilers answered back with a goal in the first, second, and third period to take a 3-2 lead. Minnesota eventually scored a couple in the third period to win the game 4-3. Minnesota outshot Edmonton 28 to 25 in all situations and 23 to 18 at even strength, while also posting a 55.3 even strength Corsi For percentage. Just like the game above, this one was tight, and could have gone either way. 

Oct. 31, 2015: 5-4 loss to Calgary. The Oilers battled back from a 4-2 deficit in the third period and looked to have forced overtime, but Michael Frolik scored a hideous goal from behind the net with nine seconds to go in the game, giving the Flames the 5-4 win. While the Oilers and Flames posted similar possession numbers in all situations, Calgary outshot Edmonton 24 to 16 at even strength and 32 to 23 overall. This was a terrible situation. The Oilers were outplayed throughout the game by the Flames, but despite that, they appeared to be on their way to overtime before allowing a last second soft goal. While they did deserve the loss for the way they played, they should have at least received a loser point. 

Nov. 6, 2015: 2-1 loss to Pittsburgh. The Oilers scored the first goal of the game in the second period, but Pittsburgh answered with two more and eventually won 2-1. The Penguins outshot the Oilers 27 to 20 at even strength, and 33 to 28 overall, and also dominated the possession game, posting an even strength Corsi For percentage of 57.0 per cent. The Oilers were dominated in the first period, but played better in the second and third. That said, I don’t think the Oilers played well enough to say this could have gone either way, so I’ll give them a loss. 

Nov. 8, 2015: 4-2 loss in Chicago. The Hawks jumped out to a 2-0 lead in the first period, then the teams exchanged goals in the third before Chicago eventually won 4-2. The Oilers outshot Chicago 31-24 at even strength and 36-28 overall, and also posted an even strength Corsi For percentage of 52.6 per cent. The Oilers dominated the second period, outshooting Chicago 22 to six, all at even strength. This one was tight and could have gone either way. 

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Nov. 12, 2015: 4-1 loss in Arizona. After taking a 1-0 lead in the first period, Edmonton allowed four unanswered goals and Arizona took the game with a 4-1 win. Edmonton outshot Arizona 23-14 at even strength and 28-21 overall, and they also dominated the possession game, putting up a 61.1 even strength Corsi For percentage. Mike Smith was the difference in this game, as he saved 27 of 28 shots, while Anders Nilsson allowed four goals on 21 shots. The Oilers were the better team in this game, but unfortunately, their goalie was poor and Arizona’s was good. I’ll put this in the deserved to win category. 

Nov. 14, 2015: 4-3 loss in Los Angeles. The Kings took a had a 3-1 lead in the second period before the Oilers battled back to tie the game 3-3 with under five minutes to go in the game. With just under two minutes to go, L.A. took a 4-3 lead and won the game. The overall shots were close, but L.A. was pretty dominant at even strength, outshooting Edmonton 24-17. The Oilers were terrible in the first period, dominant in the second, and the two teams were evenly matched in the third. Cam Talbot wasn’t very good, allowing four goals on 28 shots. This is a tough one, so I’ll put it in the either way category. 

Nov. 18, 2015: 4-3 OT loss to Chicago. The Hawks grabbed a 2-0 lead, the Oilers battled back to tie it at 2-2 in the second, then the two teams exchanged goals in the third before Chicago won in overtime. Edmonton outshot Chicago 29 to 23 at even strength and 37 to 27 overall, and also posted a 56.2 even strength Corsi For percentage. The Oilers led in all situations shot attempts in each of the three regulation periods, and dominated the third. I think Marian Hossa should have been called offside, but regardless, Edmonton was the better team in this game and deserved the win. 

Nov. 23, 2015: 1-0 loss in Washington. The only goal in this game came from Washington with under 10 minutes to go in the third period. Braden Holtby was fantastic, saving all 33 shots he faced. The total shots were close at 33-30, but Edmonton dominated the first and second periods in terms of possession, ultimately finishing the game with a 55.7 even strength Corsi For percentage. This was a pretty close game, so I’ll put it in the either way category even though Edmonton was the better team. 

Nov. 25, 2015: 4-1 loss in Carolina. This game was a carbon copy of the Arizona game in terms of scoring, as the Oilers scored the first goal of the game in the first period and allowed four unanswered goals, including an empty netter, eventually losing 4-1. Edmonton’s best period was the third in which they had 26 shot attempts in comparison to Carolina’s 16, but the Hurricanes outshot them in both the first and second period. Edmonton outshot Carolina in all situations 31 to 27, but the Hurricanes had more shots and better possession numbers at even strength. So I’ll put this in the deserved to lose category. 

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Nov. 27, 2015: 4-3 OT loss in Detroit. The Wings scored the first two goals of the game, the Oilers answered back soon after with two of their own, then each team scored another before Detroit eventually won the game 4-2 in overtime. Detroit controlled the game in a very lopsided first period, posting a 76.2 even strength Corsi For percentage, and Edmonton was dominant in the third, posting a 60.6 even strength Corsi For percentage. Detroit ended up leading in total shots 32 to 24, but the possession numbers suggest a much closer game, as the Wings just edged the Oilers 47 to 45 in even strength shot attempts. The shot counter suggests that Detroit dominated, but the possession numbers say otherwise. I’ll put this in the either way category. 

Nov. 30, 2015: 3-0 loss in Toronto. The Leafs scored a goal in the first and third period, then capped it off with an empty netter with just over a minute to go to earn a 3-0 win. Toronto outshot Edmonton 26 to 24 in total, but Edmonton outshot them 22 to 18 at even strength, and also posted an even strength Corsi For percentage of 53.1. Just like the game above, the possession numbers suggest a better fate for Edmonton, but it could have gone either way. 


All in all, of the 17 games the Oilers have lost, I think they certainly deserved to lose five of them, they deserved to win two of them, and the other 10 were too close to call and could have gone either way. When you break down their wins, you’ll also find a few games that could have gone in the other team’s favour that the Oilers didn’t necessarily deserve to win. That said, 10 close games tipping in the favour of the opposing team suggests that the Oilers have been getting terrible luck. 

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This is a team that’s 20th in the league in even strength Corsi For percentage, right around San Jose, Minnesota, and Pittsburgh. They also boast the fourth worst even strength PDO in the league thanks to a pretty terrible team save percentage of 91.18 and a mediocre team shooting percentage of 6.90. Obviously this is a somewhat subjective analysis as to how the outcome of games should shake out, but with all of it considered, you have a team that doesn’t deserve to have a record as bad as 10-15-2. If I had to venture a guess, I would say they should end up around 20th overall, right where their possession numbers have them ranked in the league. Certainly not a playoff team, but also not the surefire first overall picking lottery team that Mike Brophy is suggesting. 

  • 24% body fat

    anyone have the inside scoop on tyson baillie.

    all he does is score goals. A little undersized but is apparently gritty. Flames invited him to camp last year.

    He is from Edmonton, and a right handed rw and center which we need in the system. cant let free matured assets get away from us.

    Stop with the Kesseys, sign and draft skill, trade for size when you have an abundance of skill.

    All the US and college players we have are crap with the exception of Laggeson, Vessel was at least a good bet.

  • 24% body fat

    No one can deny the Oilers have sucked but they were the worst team twice and got lucky to get the first picks. All these changes to the draft lottery have helped the Oilers to pick first 4 times. I’m not sure why people are so bent out of shape about the picks the Oilers got. Since it hasn’t helped I don’t think we will see teams try to copy the Tambelowe recipe to success.

  • Gerald R. Ford

    Last year after 27 games:

    7-20, 60 GF, 91(!) GA -31

    This year after 27 games:

    10-17, 67 GF, 80 GA -13

    Good? No. Better? Yes. I don’t know how anyone can NOT see the difference between this year and what we went through in 14-15. Last year was toxic and soul-crushing. They were getting killed more often than Tom Cruise in Edge of Tomorrow. This season, while admittedly having that familiar Groundhog Day stench, has merely been frustrating and disappointing, a series of tough breaks, but with a few precious moments of hope and joy interspersed throughout.

    Brophy doesn’t know what he’s talking about, because he’s too busy watching 10 hours of Leafs coverage every day to actually offer a valid opinion on any other team. He clearly had no idea how truly terrible they were under Eakins, and has even less of an idea how they’ve improved since then.

  • 24% body fat

    I like how much work you have committed to fleshing out some dynamic aspects of the games,seeking some diagnostic perspective trying to sniff out weak links.

    What is required is a process which ensures that more is less,in terms of data integration.

    The extra 1-2 goals needed must be divined out of what we HAVE not what we do not have…..we must find the offense we need from WITHIN the existing volume of process.Within EVERY game you listed there are FIVE more goals available at a minimum.Only a blind man sees nothing in a mirror,its time to stop looking outside of our own reflection for answers.

    Over to our favorite teacher,Lord Bacon…..everybody loves Bacon!!

    ” Science is much injured by the over early and peremptory reduction of knowledge into arts and method; from which time commonly sciences receive small or no augmentation. But as young men, when they knit and shape perfectly, do seldom grow to a further stature; so knowledge, while it is in aphorisms and observations, it is in growth; but when it once is comprehended in exact methods, it may perchance be further polished and illustrated, and accomodated for use and practice, but it increaseth no more in bulk and substance.”

    I know,I know , its not the kind of Bacon you are used to but,just give it a try,there is no such thing as bad Bacon….lol.

    We have a nice beginning here….now show me in every single game,how where and why the 5 missing goals managed to elude us.We KNOW THEY ARE IN EACH GAME.We arent “missing” anything…we have an “overabundance” of something possibly huh that is keeping those 5 goals just out of sight and mind?

    Ya simply have to much data,to many miles of conduit,not enough line pressure to maintain an even flow and positive pressure.

    To many cooks in the Kitchen?

    To many fingers in the Pie?

    I Say…I Say..I Say…I see a whole lotta feather but not much Chicken…yup!

    The Oilers have more option and opportunity than they know what to do with…..they do not have a competative System Management Program…they are trying to compete in an evolving NHL where NewAge Philosophies and concepts have been manifesting within the Winningest Teams which have severely reduced their data volume and structures, but the Oilers are keeping things traditional and olde fashioned and they have grown in areas others have lost mass in, big thick wires are running all over the place floor to ceiling,conduits criss-crossing every single inch of structure,like a massive suffocating spider-web.

    This is why Mac-L has for 3 games in a row simplified things as much as he could…..and he is slowly seeing things level out now….KISS….he REDUCED HIS VOLUME OF INCOMING DATA…and the Boat trimmed out for him.He stopped ADDING MORE CEREBRAL WEIGHT TO HIS PROCESS.

    Excellent article…wonderfull to see you digging down below the statistical surface of the game…..I puked a little when I read the word Corgi though….because that BS ruins all your good work,it taints everything a darker shade than it needs to be,adds nothing but bulk .Try Bacon instead of Corgi…you might like it more.

  • 24% body fat

    To NewAgeSys:

    You must be fairly intelligent to take the time and do the research for that blog… now please take another grammar course that covers the difference between to and too.

    • Lofty

      Lol…all that good stuff but there had to be a wee litle snag in your pantyhose huh?… get your TuTu all tied up in a knot…lol.

      You are most correct.

      I apologise for the glitches in the matirx…I am just afraid that if I take the time and effort edit my posts…well hell I might start taking them seriously when its all just great entertainment value.

  • Jaxon

    The Oilers are one of the most injured teams in the NHL this year with high impact players being out for extended periods: McDavid (45 games?), Eberle (13), Schultz (14), Hendricks (10), Yakupov (12?), Pouliot (5?).

    Also, the Oilers have really been rocked by injuries this season. And if you count not figuring out who should be in the lineup for the first 10 games or so, it’s even more drastic.

    Top 13 Forwards:

    McDavid – 14 games and counting,
    Eberle – 13 games,
    Draisaitl – 10 games,
    Yakupov – 5 games and counting,
    Pouliot – 3 games and counting.
    Hendricks – 10 games,
    Korpikoski – 8 games,
    Pakarinen – 8 games,
    Nugent-Hopkins – 1 game.
    That’s 72 man-games with 3 regulars out still.

    Top 7 D:
    Schultz – 14 games,
    Nurse – 9 games,
    Sekera – 1 game,
    Fayne – 3 games,
    Davidson – 11 games,
    Gryba 4 games.
    That’s 42 man-games.

  • Jaxon

    Don’t look now but Todd Nelson’s Griffins have won 8 in a row. Shudder the thought of one day losing a playoff series to a Nelson coached team. Just a matter of time in my opinion

    • S cottV

      IF…IF…the Oilers can make the Post Season they will win the Stanley Cup IMHO.Nelson does know his stuff though…lol.

      The Oilers have if anything remained a team BUILT FOR THE PLAYOFFS for several decades…this is the “message” everyone talks about being projected down through the entire organisation.This “message” is why Mac-T walked on water during his run to the Finals.

      This “message” pre-dates even olde Six-Rings managerial tenure.Katz is a pucking genius for keeping the Dynasty Candle Burning in the window because now that Mac-L has reined himself and his Crew in a bit and simplified things the last 3 games his boys might just grind their way into a Playoff spot this year….lol…and if they do all hades will break loose.

      Pc and Mac-L were NOT brought in to explode and purge the Roster…they were brought in to make the Oilers a Playoff Team….the “message” Mac-L is being paid to project is the EXACT SAME ONE the 6 Coaches before him were required to illuminate and project.Mac-L didnt leave San Jose to come to Edmonton to build another Sharks clone Team….he is building something else all his own with the assets he has because he now has to project Katzes “message” just like he was projecting Sharks Ownership message with their assets …lol.

      #..3’s…6’s…9’s…those are the winning streaks the Oiler must learn to build and achieve consistantly.

      Time to level out and KISS and begin taking chewable bites of the big picture.

      Is a 3 step process….EVERYTHING boils down to a 3 step process….3’s…6’s…9’s,ok?

      A TANGIBLE AND HONEST CEREBRAL REWARD Process must by actioned ASAP to halt the atrophy within the Esprit de Corps.

      No more “moral victories” or “positive optics” BS…the men do NOT BELIEVE this stuff in their guts….so we SIMPLIFY the dynamic process using HONESTY AND SELF-INFLECTION to help them…we BUILD the dynamic cerebral nerve endings and sympathetic reactions we wish to have by aiming for HONEST TANGIBLE MICRO-REWARDS but always keeping a carrot dangeling if front of ourselves…3-6-9.

      3’s…6’s…9’s…win 3 Games in a row and you KNOW YOU ARE MOVING FORWARD…no one can tell you different….you know in your GUT you are moving forward….win 6 in a row and you can feel the weight leaving your shoulders and step and your endurance doubles….win 9 nd you are dialing in your optimal game and you KNOW IN YOUR GUT you can win the Sanley Cup.

      These are tangible realistic and attainable “curatively catalysed” goals which have been tailormade specificlly for the Oilers Roster immediate mentality and their current Personell using IDA and IDM… the Oilers need to re-wire their cerebral mainframes….and this is a delicate task which obviously Mac-L needs help doing.

      I listened to my battered Warrior Hallsy being gut-check honest evaluating himself and his linemates peripheral tendancies and illuminating how much JJ adds with his drive the net physicality…this H-O-N-E-S-T-Y is the beginning of the Winning Formula.Me be Proud.

      I wish to see the Roster kept intact by DECREE with only sensible additions like Hamonic on a FAIR TRADE to upgrade…nothing involving the Core because Hamonic is not worth any of the Oiler core Players at this point in time.

      You have to work harder to produce a 2-1 NHL Hockey game than you do to produce a 6-5 NHL Hockey game?Where is the tipping point when opponents MUST OPEN IT UP and go against their own conservative grains,down 1 goal… 2 goals?…. does the Oilers offensive make-up jack up the urgency?


      Its about STARTING A FIGHT with the intention to COMPLETE IT….not waiting for someone to bring the fight to you so you may “compete” nd be beat….lol.

      Taylor Hall gave a PERFECT EXAMPLE OF THE PLAYER HE NEEDS TO BE FOR HIS TEAM by feeling comfortable taking some risk and coming out driving it to the hoop and jamming it down the opponents gullet immediatly by using his elite skillset in a Superman effort.If Taylor Hall gives up TEN PUCKS A GAME by taking them to the Honey-Barrel NO ONE WILL EVER BIATCH about him giving up to many pucks,and he will evolve into power forward,he is big enough and aware enough now to pick spots on anyone in the NHL.

      The 2-Minute Drill combined with a TSP and the H&A SHOULD have given Mac-L the tools to come out looking to end fights early by establishing a lead then focusing on the proper interpretation of “possesion” and RUNNING THE HOUNDS HARD grinding the opponent down .

  • Jaxon

    Oilers 99 man-games lost to injury. Add Nurse and Draisaitl not with team for 19 man-games.

    Compare that to 2 of the top teams in the NHL this year where the Rangers have only 12 man-games lost to injury and the Capitals only 13 man-games and it gives you an idea of how rough this first stretch has been.

    Not only are they having bad puck luck with their goalies but also bad injury luck. It looks like both will turn around in the not-too-distant future. Yakupov an Pouliot should be back soon with McDavid following in Mid to late January. If Eberle and Nuge can snap out of their funks, and if Nilsson can keep up his steady play and Talbot can bounce back (history suggests he should return to mean), then things will change quickly for the Oilers. Fingers crossed.

  • a lg dubl dubl

    Interesting little diddy. The top dman in this years draft Jakob Chychrun’s dad played 2 games for the Oilers, and 41 for their farm team in Cape Breton before retiring. I just came across that as I was reading McKenzies draft rankings.

  • S cottV

    Good structured teams win a lot of games by one goal.

    They have confidence they can win a one goal game and don’t over reach on offense, managing risk vs reward. This limits high grade scoring chances against.

    On the losing side – it seems like you were close, but really there wasn’t much chance it was gonna happen any other way.

    Losing one goal games is a step up for the Oilers, but two or three more steps are required before they are clearly on the other side of the equation.

  • a lg dubl dubl

    last year the oil lost somewhere around 36 – one goal games and this year in 27 games there is 10 one goal loses. I was hoping after the draft and connor coming to town that those stats would change and until the take down the team was looking not great BUT not too bad as well, learning the todd mclellan system. 27 games later some nights they look like heros and other night they look like ekins and the swarm system losers. On the bright side connor is coming back and all pc needs to do is land that stud D man and the picture will look very different.

  • 6zeppelin6

    This article makes no sense. They are as bad as there record because it’s there record. And they deserve every loss they have because they lost.

    I’m tired of excuses and garbage like ‘I feel they are better’

    Not good enough.

    Results are the only thing that matters in professional sports. Period

    • hagar

      Participation ribbons suck.

      Tonight is a big night for the oilers!! It is another game they should have a great chance at winning.

      It will either give hope that they are figuring things out after a solid win or loss, or crush dreams if they stink it up as usual against a crappy team.

      The day they can beat a crappy team while playing the entire game with full intensity, is the day I allow myself to feel excited about the team again.

      • hagar

        All the Dallas Stars do is lose to crappy teams and there doing fine, also Montreal lost to Carolina last night so not losing to crappy teams happen, i think what you mean to say is i want my team to beat all the teams.

    • bradleypi

      Thank god someone finally said it. I also am tired of the ” but they are playing better” crowd. If Chiarelli would get these forwards some better dmen and bottom six players they would be winning those one goal games. Right now this roster isn’t good enough and I’m still waiting for Chiarelli to do ANYTHING to change this teams look. Doesn’t have to be a blockbuster, but getting some actual nhl defencemen would help!

  • 6zeppelin6

    The premise of this article, though well intended, is kind of pointless. When you just look at losses they should have won, you’re not accounting for wins they should have lost (ie. Dallas Friday).

  • Soiled Trousers

    I agree, the Oilers are better than last year but this idea of being better than your record is foolish. The Oilers played the games and earned the record they have. Sure, if they had only scored more goals or let in less they would have won more games but that’s kind of an obvious statement. That’s like a fat person saying “Well ya I’m fat but if I had exercised and eaten better over the last year I would be skinny, so realistically, I’m thinner that my current weight.” The Oilers will be better than the bottom of the league when they win enough games to move up in the standings.

  • KiLLKiND

    this is like writing an article about how an ostrich can almost fly. They’re birds and they have wings. But it still doesn’t change the fact they can’t fly

    • Zarny

      Big Birds are not to be taken lightly….I was chased by an Emu at work once…scariest thing ever seriously…they come at you hell bent for leather with their long necks extended like something out of Jurrasic freaking Park…and they are FAST AS QUICKSILVER…then at the last second they pull up and stick out their chests and try to get you with their feet.

      Worse than being chased by an Alpaca but not as scary as being near an upset

  • Zarny

    Mike Brophy didn’t critically analyze the Oilers’ performance this year. His critique starts and ends with “30th place” and that goes for most media. Click bait to drive views.

    If you parse the numbers the Oilers’ performance this year is better than previous years; but that’s really just an indictment of how bad they’ve been.

    Being a fan doesn’t mean ignoring reality. The Oilers should be better than they are. And I can’t really blame anyone for being turned off by the thought of Edmonton having a shot to draft 1st overall again.

  • Zarny

    Mike Brophy, has, & will always be, nothing but a douchebag, let alone a terrible journalist…
    This is nothing more than a petty, bitter, & unprofessional scribe at its best.
    I actually pity the man… 🙁

  • S cottV

    While the Oilers have certainly experienced their share of bad “luck” this year, I don’t agree with the conclusion of the article, for two reasons.

    First, there is an intangible factor that comes with winning close games. Good teams are better able to step up their intensity level near the end of close games and squeak out those extra points. The Oilers haven’t been able to do this over the past couple of seasons and a good share of this year’s 17 losses reflect a continuation of this problem.

    Second, if you claim that the team with the 20th best Corsi should be 20th in the standings, then you are implicitly assuming that the goaltending across all teams is equal (such that every team experiences the same save percentage) and that the quality of shooters across all teams is equal (such that the every team experiences the same shooting percentage), or at least that some composite mix of the two is the same across all teams. The Oilers have suffered below average goaltending for several years now and a good share of the this year’s 17 losses reflect a continuation of this problem.

  • hagar

    we are 11-15-2

    Vs top 5: Dal 1W 1L; MTL 1W; NYR 0gm; WSH 2L; LAK 2L. We played 7 of possible 14 games and were 2W-5L

    teams 6-10: NYI 0gm; DET 1W 1OTL; STL 2L; ott 0Ggm; MIN 1L. We played 5 of possible 12 games and were 1W – 3L – 1OTL

    teams 11-16: CHI 1L 1OTL; BOS 1W; NSH 1L; NJD 1W; PIT 2L; FLD 0gm played 7 of 14games and were 2W – 4L – 1OTL

    Bottom 14 teams we played 9 of 40gm and were 6-3.

    With games yet to play before The return of Pouliot-Mcdavid-Yakupov in January. A line that produced 10 goals in 9 games together.

    top 5 NYR 2 LAk 1; 6-10 none; 11-16 Bos 1 CHI 1; BOT 14 JS 1 COL 1 WPG 1 VCR 1 CGY 1 ANA 1 5 of 11 against top 16.

    When they return we will have played 10/16 62.5% of top 5 games; 41.7% of 6-10 games; 64.3% 11-16 games.

    we played a top heavy schedule 19 of 28gm against top 16 teams. The next 8 of 11 games are against bottom 20 teams. Lets look at start of Jan. when 58% of are games are against bottom 14 teams the rest of the season.

    We will be rolling:

    Hall(24)- Draisatl(20)- Purcell(30)

    Khaira(21) – RNH(22) – Eberle(25)

    Pouliot(29) – Mcdavid(18) – Yakupov(22)

    Hendricks(34) – Lander(24) – Letestu(30)