CONDORS OPEN AIR TONIGHT!

khaira capture

Is it just me, or does Todd McLellan get good performances out of AHL
prospects? Brandon Davidson looks like an actual NHL player this season,
part of that probably has to do with the coach and his handling of the
player. Jujhar Khaira, who had 10 points in 51 AHL games last season,
has two points in eight NHL games. As we get ready for tonight’s outdoor Battle of Alberta, it is worth looking at one area of minor league performance: shooting. 

Jujhar Khaira
is exactly the kind of player (Davidson too) we should expect from the
minors. Scorers don’t spend much time down there unless they have foot
speed issues or are 5.09. Here is what I wrote in Farm Workers, my
annual post about what kind of players the NHL procures from the AHL:

  • Daniel Cleary, Fernando Pisani and Jason Chimera became productive players in the toughest league on the planet. THEY are the stars in this study. Source

That
is really it, right there. Some skill players need some AHL time (Teddy
Purcell and Benoit Pouliot spent over 100 games there) but for the most
part you are looking at Pisani or Chimera as the outer marker. No sin
at all, valuable players who serve a purpose. Khaira’s rookie AHL season
was so poor, I don’t think it reasonable to suggest we could have
projected him to his current status. Lets compare him to Pisani and
Chimera as AHL rookies:

  • Fernando Pisani (Age 23) 52, 12-13-25 .481
  • Jason Chimera (Age 20) 78, 15-13-28 .359
  • Jujhar Khaira (Age 20) 51, 3-6-10 .196

We
don’t have time-on-ice for any of these chaps, but I think we can agree
Khaira very likely received far less playing time than the others. Now,
rookie NHL season:

  • Fernando Pisani (Age 25) 35, 8-5-13 .371
  • Jason Chimera (Age 23) 66, 14-9-23 .348
  • Jujhar Khaira (Age 21) 8, 0-2-2 .250

    One
    thing these kids need to do? Shoot the blasted puck! Shots on goal is a
    good indicator for forwards in terms of who is involved in the good
    stuff. Over the three seasons previous to this one, the leading OKC
    shooter was a good player:

    • 2012-13: Toni Rajala 3.24 shots-per-game
    • 2013-14: Mark Arcobello 3.73
    • 2014-15: Anton Lander 3.31

    Compare those totals to the current group in Bakersfield (prospects only):

    1. Jujhar Khaira 2.38
    2. Andrew Miler 2.24
    3. Anton Slepyshev 2.20
    4. Bogdan Yajkimov 2.00
    5. Joey Laleggia 1.83
    6. Kyle Platzer 1.74
    7. Martin Gernat 1.50
    8. Jordan Oesterle 1.40
    9. Josh Currie 1.36
    10. Marco Roy 1.33
    11. Josh Winquist 1.13
    12. Braden Christoffer 1.10
    13. Greg Chase 1.00
    14. Dillon Simpson 1.08
    15. Kale Kessy 0.91
    16. David Musil 0.91
    17. Mitch Moroz 0.47

    It is difficult to follow these young players, we don’t see them often and things like time on ice are not available. Still, the shot column is an important one in sussing out productive forwards. One hopes Anton Slepyshev gets five or more shots on goal tonight.

      • CDNinATL

        The Heat have COLTON ORR and HUNTER SMITH. They also have about 6 JR GOONS as well- we have Kessy and Moroz. Stockton and San Diego -McGrattan, Jackman et al run us out of the rink every time. Let’s get some SUPER HEAVYWEGHTS in the AHL Mr. Chiarelli – PLEASE!!!!

      • CDNinATL

        For anyone that cares… Todd Nelson’s Griffins now have a 13 game winning streak after starting the season 2-9. I like Mclellan ok but I have a sneaking suspicion that Nelson will be the next great coach

        • CDNinATL

          Judas.lol

          Nelson will be competing in the NHL Playoffs within 2 years of being hired IMHO….he took with him the most current impactfull tactical data available in todays NHL.

          What date did Nelsons streak begin on?

          • CDNinATL

            make it 14… and it started nov 18th, so his team has gone over a month without losing. cant believe great hockey minds continue to overlook this guy… like look at his track record. he always gets his guys to over achieve

      • CDNinATL

        Either you are a shooter or you are not. I assumed ( how silly?) that Justin Schultz was a shooter simply because he played defence. There are a lot of players who are good shooters but not great shooters and in today’s NHL you have to be a great shooter to be successful long term.

        Gone are the days when you could “tee it up”……..now you have to release the puck instantly and if you don’t there are five guys trying to block your shot. Add in oversized goalie equipment, bigger players, and faster play and this usually results in very poor quality shots directed at the nets.

        I wonder if players today practice the one-timer anymore……..I can’t remember the last time someone from the Oilers scored on a one-timer??