DON’T MOCK ME: MY 2011 MOCK DRAFT

ST. PAUL, Minnesota — Here, based on the order of selection at the time of writing today — an order that’s guaranteed to change by Friday morning when all the wheeling and dealing is done — is how I see the first round of the NHL Entry Draft unfolding at the Xcel Energy Center.

THE TOP 10

1.Edmonton Oilers — Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, C, Red Deer (WHL)

2.Colorado Avalanche — Gabriel Landeskog, LW, Kitchener (OHL)

3.Florida Panthers — Jonathan Huberdeau, C, Saint John (QMJHL)

4.New Jersey Devils — Adam Larsson, D, Skelleftea (SWE)

5.New York Islanders — Doug Hamilton, D, Niagara (OHL)

6.Ottawa Senators — Ryan Strome, C, Niagara (OHL)

7. Winnipeg — Sean Couturier, C, Drummondville (QMJHL)

8.Columbus Blue Jackets — Ryan Murphy, D, Kitchener (OHL)

9.Boston Bruins (from Toronto) — Duncan Siemens, D, Saskatoon (WHL)

10.Minnesota Wild — Mika Zibanejad, C, Djurgarden (SWE)

THE SECOND TIER

11.Colorado (from St. Louis) — Jonas Brodin, D, Farjestad, SEL

12.Carolina Hurricanes — Joel Armia, RW, (Fin E)

13.Calgary Flames — Sven Bartschi, LW, Portland (WHL)

14.Dallas Stars — Tyler Biggs, RW, USA-Under-18 (USHL)

15.New York Rangers — J.T. Miller, C, USA-Under-18 (USHL)

16.Buffalo Sabres — Jamie Oleksiak, D, Northeastern, (Hockey East)

17.Montreal Canadiens — Mark McNeill, C, Prince Albert (WHL)

18.Chicago Blackhawks — Mark Scheifele, C, Barrie (OHL)

19.Edmonton Oilers (from Los Angeles) — Oscar Klefbom, D, Farjestad (SEL)

20.Phoenix Coyotes — Joe Morrow, D, Portland (WHL)

NEXT IN LINE

21.Ottawa Senators (from Nashville) — Nathan Beaulieu, D, Saint John (QMJHL)

22.Anaheim Ducks — Ty Rattie, RW, Portland (WHL)

23.Pittsburgh Penguins — Brandon Saad, LW, Saginaw (OHL)

24.Detroit Red Wings — Nicklas Jensen, LW/RW, Oshawa (OHL)

25.Toronto Maple Leafs (from Philadelphia) — Boone Jenner, C, Oshawa (OHL)

26.Washington Capitals — Matthew Puempel, LW, Peterborough (OHL)

27.Tampa Bay Lightning — Zack Phillips, C, Saint John (QMJHL)

28.San Jose Sharks — Tomas Jurco, RW, Saint John (QMJHL

29.Vancouver Canucks — David Musil, D, Vancouver (WHL)

30.Toronto Maple Leafs (from Boston) — Stuart Percy, D, Mississauga, OHL

Listen to Robin Brownlee Wednesdays and Thursdays from 3 p.m. to 5 p.m. on the Jason Gregor Show on TEAM 1260.

  • Clyde Frog

    Hey robin, do you know if the oilers are big on
    Duncan siemens and how likely is it the oil will
    Move up to get him??
    I think this guy is the stud d- man of this draft year.

  • John Chambers

    I hope nobody is actually going to spend Friday night watching anything more than the first 5 picks. If you find yourself texting your buddy or high-fiving your wife saying, “We got Klefbom!”, then you should get a hobby fixing cars, join a soccer team, or develop a drug habit, or for god’s sake something.

    • O.C.

      Sadly, I’m watching the whole thing, while Skyping a friend of mine in Edmonton.

      Also, I passed up going to a concert put on by a buddy of mine who lives in Vancouver who I haven’t seen in 3 years.

      Yeah….

      The draft is my playoffs, OK?

  • Don’t mock me eather but I did a Mock Top 12 (wtih insight into 13-19) yesterday at http://puckpassionate.blogspot.com/ .

    I also have a Skeleton Mock 30 from a week ago with more insight into later picks (like Toronto’s), linked at the top of the Mock Top 12 post as well as my Top 65 Ranked.

    I really like my 12 but I’m having difficulty getting past Calgary!!! Anyone from Cow Town have insight into what they might value most? Post here or at my site, I would love you to choose from my list I have there for them or tell me if I’m missing someone!

    • VMR

      Probably not but there’s usually at least one guy who drops a fair bit. May as well be Beaulieu this year.

      I’d say Brownlee did a pretty good job, but like he said once people start trading picks everything is likely to change.

  • Quicksilver ballet

    If this is how the draft goes down i’ll definately be mildly disappointed.

    Where the frigg is our General Manager, the guy who’s supposed to be able to do what needs to be done? If we’re going to tuck tail, squat in the corner and take the only rations we’re due, why do we even need Steve Tambellini? This guy is doing far more harm than good.

      • Quicksilver ballet

        Maybe i’m missing something here, again.

        Isn’t Robins mock draft his opinion on how he thinks things will unfold tommorow? Was hoping Steve would be successful at getting the Edmonton Oilers inside that top 8 again, or atleast moving up on that 19th.

        If trades are so difficult to maneuver in this cap era, isn’t the role of a GM greatly deminished?

    • French Toast Mafia

      Do you really expect the oilers or any other team to move up from a place like 19th overall to get into the mix anywhere from 2-10? As brillant as you are it’s probably not as easy as you think to convince an nhl GM to move from a spot in the top 10 down to 19. It would have to take a lot to sweeten the pot. It may happen and I would be really happy if it does, but you need to stop talking about it like its something thats easy to do. If you were GM I doubt you could make a quick call and it would be a done deal. The top tier of players that Robin listed are on almost every single mock draft just with their draft position within the top 10 varying. After these guys who knows where certain players are gunna start going so why would a GM give up picks that easily.

      • Quicksilver ballet

        Yes i do French Toast.

        To sit idly by after back to back deadlast place finishes is unacceptable as far as i’m concerned. The Oilers throw a certain slogan around when it conveniences them. To me, with this management group in place, we’re getting much closer to that…. What did you expect slogan rather than Expect the unexpected one.

        These guys couldn’t roast a bag of Jiffy marshmallows if you gave them a box of matches.

        • Oilers4ever

          I think I agree with QuickSilver on this one (and that don’t happen much)…

          GM’s are paid the big bucks to make their team better… not sit on their fat arses and do nothing…Seriously. If the GM can’t see after two failed seasons that this team needs some serious help with some good skating bangers, a legit sniper, a top two dman, and potentially a better goalie when all the rest of us can see that, then he seriously needs to get his head out of his arse and start doing something. Say all you want about the fans selling out to come watch the games. That will stop after this season if this team finishes last again because a dead beat GM can’t be bothered to get his arse in gear and do what needs to be done. Frick, if you are going to sit on your picks and that’s it I could be the GM and call the picks in from home over Skype on the big screen at the ole Xcel Energy center while smoking a cigar and drinking some brandy….

          No one said it’s easy, but you have to take some chances sometimes.. if it was me… I’m packaging Hemsky, Gilbert, the #19 pick and the first pick next year to Florida for the #3 and Gudbranson. If you need to add Gagner to make it go do it.. and maybe ask for a 2nd or 3rd rounder back for next year’s draft to compensate that… Gudbranson and Larsson give you the top dmen you need, RNH replaces Gagner, Omark replaces Hemsky and yer good to go. You can’t tell me Florida wouldn’t make that trade, especially when they need to get to the cap floor and they have three legit starters instantly added to their lineup. Florida becomes a much deeper team with experience in Hemmer and Gilbert.. Gagner has potential still, we get our number one center and the dmen we need. Sign Fasth or however you spell his name and you have a goalie.

          It’s not rock science… just roll the bleeping dice and take some chances.. because seriously otherwise, after the Oil make their number one pick, I could give a rat’s ass less how the rest of things play out tomorrow… thank god for the Esks/Stamps game on TSN2… it’s going to kick the snot out of the draft.

    • Your mock draft is good. I think Kelfbom is a bit of stretch with Beaulieu still on the board – he’s just a more refined prospect at this point – but you never know.

      That said with Edmonton’s pick I would think we take whoever is left of Kelfbom/Brodin/Morrow/Mayfield in that order. I also wouldnt be surprised that if Siemans isn’t available they wont try to trade to 14 to take him or possibly Klefbom, if MBS is passionate about him.

  • VMR

    @ Alone:

    I agree with the order of your D-men and think likewise but would you take any/all of them over a Mark Scheifele or Joel Armia if they fall to here over Morrow or Mayfield, for instance? I have real trouble passing on some of the forwards that might drop if some higher end D-men go early.

    • Mantastic

      I have Kelfbom and Brodin ranked pretty highly and I wouldnt be surprised if Armia fell – I’ve heard some rumours about problems with work ethic, nothing super credible but it’s still a mark of death for prospects. I think Scheifele might go before 14, I think he could go anywhere between 10-15, just depends on who likes him and where they are in the draft.

      That said I’d take Scheifele over Morrow and Mayfield and Armia over Mayfield. But Brodin/Klefbom before all of them.

      • Mantastic

        I’m starting to think Scheifele goes to Calgary at 13. I would be in a pickle if I had to choose between Brodin and Scheifele. Klefbom ahead of all. Armia vs. Mayfield goes slightly towards Armia.

        Would you have Nicklas Jensen ahead of Mayfield or is the need for defense just too great at that point?

        • Quicksilver ballet

          I tend to believe in drafting the BPA. For Klefbom and Brodin, I have them better than the other guys you mentioned.

          Mayfield is really raw, but he has the tools, and he’s headed to a good program so he has that going for him. Jensen is the better player today. I take Jensen over Mayfield, but at 31 if I liked Mayfield enough and both were on the board, the risk to pass on Jensen might be worth it.

  • Rob...

    Do you think that the Oilers and other teams followed by a city full of zealots, and the associated media types paid to dig for scoops, are at a disadvantage at the draft and leading up to the trade deadline? Are other teams more able to keep their cards tight to their chest and use people like Robin, Lowetide and others to get glimpses into the other guys hand?

    Not that I want the tidbits on ‘gut feelings’ or insiders tipping their hats to stop, but it’d be nice to know that no or little harm is coming from it.

  • Old Soldier

    I agree overall with one exception, I think Florida takes Larsson. I think they see an opportunity to build a tandem of Gudbrunson and Larsson…

    Just a side note, is there anyone out there like me who has this tiny tiny little voice in their head when they think about RNH that screams “Angelo Esposito”

    I know that Esposito’s stock plummeted at the 07 draft but at mid-term he was number 1, and the comparison at that time seems eerily similar. Granted RNH has actually improved solidified his status through the year to hs current position of #1.

    From Central Scouting in 07 Angelo Esposito

    “Central Scouting Report: A skilled forward
    with excellent skating ability… his top-end
    speed and mobility backs off defenders…
    sees the ice well and has the ability to make pin-point passes…”

  • O.C.

    Florida REALLY likes RNH and is having trouble signing Gudbranson. Possibly Gudbranson and the #3 for Cogs and #1. I am generally against trading the #1 but to only fall to #3 and still get a good C at that point as well as a SOLID dman in Gudbranson would be too much to pass up.

  • Little Buttcheeks

    If we don’t package our 31st pick to move up, then I really hope that Stuart Percy is available. I’ve only seen a bit of him but he plays a very intelligent game and doesn’t panic out there. I think that he has the makings of a good player.

  • @ Old Soldier:

    There have been reports in the Florida papers that the Panthers want one of two players – either Nugent-Hopkins or Huberdeau at third overall.

    Doesn’t make it true, of course, but it seems the most likely outcome.