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Breaking down the bait

As Peter Chiarelli and his staff continue their full-court press I’ve decided to take a look at the top 20 pieces in play and if they would be a fit in Edmonton.

I’m going to whip through the most recent edition of the TSN Trade Bait Board. There are three Oilers assets on the board. The 1st round pick is listed at #5, Puljujarvi is 14th and Talbot is 15th. I’d be hesitant to move the pick or Puljujarvi at all but if either of those pieces is moved for a RENTAL everyone should be fired immediately.

The Oilers have already acquired three players who were previously listed on the Trade Bait Board. Wideman, Petrovic and Manning were all on the list when the Oilers brought them to town.

THE BAIT

Matt Duchene, Ottawa:

Oilers Odds: 0/10

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He’s a rental, the price would be too high and the Oilers couldn’t sign him to a long-term deal.

Wayne Simmonds, Philadelphia:

Oilers Odds: 1/10

Once again the price for Simmonds will be too high for the Oilers. I’ve seen some people suggest Talbot for Simmonds, wishful thinking. I give it a 1 out 10 because Chiarelli just might be crazy enough.

Michael Ferland, Carolina:

Oilers Odds: 6/10

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Can you get Ferland for a 2nd and a prospect? Probably. His 1.75 million dollar price tag would make him even more attractive to the Oilers. I wonder if his asking price in the off-season would be something the Oilers could make-work. I don’t love the player but he may be someone Chiarelli can fit in.

Mats Zuccarello, Rangers:

Oilers Odds: 5/10

Zuccarello is apparently on the Oilers radar. A high pick and a prospect is the asking price and in a perfect situation the Oilers wouldn’t pay it, but this isn’t a perfect situation. Ferland or Zuccarello, who would you have higher on the want list?

Sergei Bobrovsky, Columbus:

Oilers Odds: 0/10

There’s a better chance I do a push-up tomorrow morning than the Oilers trade for Bobrovsky. The Blue Jackets are fighting for top spot in their division; they need to get things sorted out with the former Vezina winner.

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Dougie Hamilton, Carolina:

Oilers Odds: 3/10

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I’ll say there is an outside shot Hamilton could become an Oiler in some sort of bigger deal that would most certainly piss most of you off. Ferland and Hamilton for ______________. Fill it in down in the comments section.

Gustav Nyquist, Detroit:

Oilers Odds: 4/10

Nyquist has 11 goals so far this season and would be a lock for top six minutes in Edmonton. The Wings would have to take some salary back to make any sort of deal work.

Jimmy Howard, Detroit:

Oilers Odds: 0/10

Nothing to see here; move on.

Brayden Schenn, St. Louis:

Oilers Odds: 3/10

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I’ll say there is a 30% chance this could happen simply because the Blues did have some interest in Puljujarvi at the draft this past summer. I’d be careful paying a hefty price for Schenn as he is a UFA at the end of next season and will likely price himself out of Edmonton’s cap structure.

Jakub Silfverberg, Anaheim:

Oilers Odds: 3/10

I’ve always liked this player and he’d be a perfect fit on Nugent-Hopkins wing. He’s a UFA making 3.75 million right now; with a little work in the off-season he may be a guy they could resign.

Charlie Coyle, Minnesota:

Oilers Odds: 1/10

I don’t see it being a fit.

Kevin Hayes, Rangers:

Oilers Odds: 2/10

He’s having a nice season with the Rangers and if they do plan on moving him I think the price ends up being too costly for the Oilers.

Jake Muzzin, Los Angeles:

Oilers Odds: 1/10

Muzzin would be a nice upgrade on the blue line but this team is looking for help up front right now.

Colton Parayko, St. Louis:

Oilers Odds: 3/10

I have the odds a little higher than Muzzin simply because the Oilers have had Parayko talks with the Blues in the past. Any Parayko acquisition would likely be an off-season deal.

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Nick Bjugstad, Florida:

Oilers Odds: 4/10

If the Oilers are only willing to move their 1st or Puljujarvi for a player with term Bjugstad may fit the bill. He has two more years left on his deal after this season. He scored 19 goals and 49 points last season, plus the Panthers are in need of a shakeup.

Alex Edler, Vancouver:

Oilers Odds: 0/10

If I woke up tomorrow with my head sewn to the carpet I wouldn’t be more surprised than I’d be if the Oilers traded for Edler.

Brett Pesce, Carolina:

Oilers Odds: 0/10

I’m going to say there is zero chance he becomes an Oiler because I still see him being part of a Nylander deal in the off-season.

Ryan Dzingel, Ottawa:

Oilers Odds: 7/10

The Sens are worried about signing Stone and Duchene, not Dzingel. I’d be shocked if he’s not moved somewhere prior to the deadline. He’s on pace for at least 30 goals this season and comes with a cap hit of just 1.8 million. Chiarelli is all over this.

Kasperi Kapanen, Toronto:

Oilers Odds: 1/10

I like this player, a lot. I just don’t see how the Oilers and Leafs come to terms on a deal.

Andreas Johnsson, Los Angeles:

Oilers Odds: 1/10

I’m not sure why the Leafs would move him. He can contribute to their line up right now and shouldn’t cost them too much on his second deal.

SOOOOOOOO

If the Oilers are in the market for a rental it’s likely Ferland or Dzingel. Chiarelli may end up having to pay a higher price for either of those two guys simply because they are the only guys who realistically fit into the cap without having to make another move. I wouldn’t move the 1st round pick or Puljujarvi for either of those two guys, even if they come with a contract extension. What Say You?

Previously by Dustin Nielson:


  • Ty Guy

    I am an Oiler Fan in Calgary….they pick up Flames Garbage from Carolina and i will never hear the end of it… I am finally at the point where my flamer friends stopped ribbing me so hard and started to feel sad for me….its too easy, not even fun to grill me anymore.

    this team can’t mortgage the future for bottom 6 guys and 7-8 pair d-men…winning a trade has become too big a priority

    • QuitForRealThisTime

      Revenge will come when the 1st place pacific team Calgary Flames lose to the 4th place pacific team Edmonton Oilers in the playoffs….(a fella can dream can’t he?)

    • Oil9744

      The Flames garbage from Carolina?? Dougie Hamilton is a better defencmen then ANY defencemen on the Oilers. 6’6”, right shot, on a good contract, only 25 years old, and he just had 17 goals and 44 points last season alone, show me any Oilers dman who did that. You would “hear the end of it” when Hamilton goes back to Calgary and lights them man up in an Oilers jersey cause they won’t have much to say then.

      • Ty Guy

        Calgary Folk could not stand Hamilton…at least the flamer d-bags i hang with couldn’t. They tagged him as a defensive liability who was prone to bad mistakes…not checking any boxes for me to add to the roster…especially for what the ask would be.

        • Oil9744

          Edmonton has an a lot of depth at Left Defence with Klefbomb, Nurse, Russel, Sekera, never mind Jones who’s already looking like he will stick around and Manning, whatever he’s doing here who knows, that is a cluster [email protected]@k of D on the left side to say the least! Who do we have on the right side?? Larsson, then it falls off a cliff all the way to Petrovic and he’s a bottom pairing at best right now, Carolina is the opposite and has a lot of depth on the right side Defence with Pesce, Hamilton, Faulk, so I bet they would be willing to trade Hamilton for a top 4 Left D from Edmonton and I would trade any of them for him. Hamilton and Nurse would be a solid line. The deal would make sense for both teams.

  • camdog

    Dougie Hamilton is in the process of being traded for the third time in 5 years. I don’t know the reasons and I’d prefer not to figure it out the hard way.

  • Oilerup!

    I say…No Trades at all with Pete in the chair!
    Reason: “the best prediction for future behaviour, is the obvious to see in past behaviour” …. I truly believe that Pete has lost the team on all levels and is desperately trying any and all moves with the mindset of a man who knows he’s done and is tryin anything to alter his imminent demise.
    No more trashed, if we are in, great, then they can reset for post season and judge him (or his position) accordingly!

    • Guy5354

      He’s still the GM. If it takes a couple of trades to make the playoffs then he should do it. The games are so much more exciting to watch when they mean something. If he can improve the team right now and make the playoffs then without a doubt do it.

  • TKB2677

    On one hand, I totally understand the notion of not mortgaging the future by trading picks and prospects but at the same time, don’t you as a team need to improve the NHL team too? The Oilers aren’t a cup contender this year so I am not really onboard with getting a straight up rental. But if you can go and get a player who you can resign like maybe a Dzingel, I don’t see why you wouldn’t. I wouldn’t give up a first but after that I’d considerate depending on the player and if you can resign him. Like giving up a second is a lot but if you can get say a Dzingel signed and you have a guy who for the next 3 or 4 years at least is a 20 goal score and a good player on your team, I think it’s worth it. Taken Benson as an example. He was a high 2nd round pick in 2016. In his first year in Bakersfield, sounds like he is doing well. So he might have a shot to make the Oilers next year. Where he slots in, who knows but I doubt it’s higher than the 3rd line. But from the time he was drafted to him maybe making the Oilers next year, that’s 4 years. If he does make the NHL next year, chances are he’s not much of an impact player his first NHL season and it might take him another season or 2 in the NHL to be an impact guy where as a Dzingel probably steps right in and helps you out immediately and for seasons to come.

    • jesse says yep

      Great comment. There are holes in the lineup and it is not likely that they can all be filled in one summer. Make the deals when they are available as they may not come around for awhile. At least this is what experienced GMs have said

      • TKB2677

        Even a guy like Puljujarvi. I was pumped they drafted him. Physically, he has everything you want in a hockey player. He’s right handed and has tons of potential. I do not like the idea of trading him at all because of what he might be. But at the same time, I am hearing guys like even Stauffer who’s an Oilers mouth piece saying it might take until he’s 22 or 23 before he establishes himself if at all. 22!!!! So we are talking like 5 or 6 years from his draft year before this guy MIGHT be a decent player? I understand that some players take longer than others to develop and the Oilers probably should have had him in the minors for way longer. But he was taken 4th overall, there was a time when he was being considered over Laine. When you are drafted that high, shouldn’t you be able to at least be an NHL 3rd liner? The guy has 4 freaking goals this year. That’s not even mediocre 4th liner numbers. My fear is what if he is another Yakupov who the Oilers put 4 full years into before they finally gave up on him, traded him for nothing and 2 years later is out of the NHL?

          • TKB2677

            You are correct. Maybe he was in over his head a bit and hasn’t reached his peak until this season but he could at least PLAY from year one. Even though he was their #1 center and not ready to be that for years, he was no worse than a OK second line center or an extremely good 3rd line center. It’s year 3 and Puljujarvi isn’t even a full time NHLer. Big freaking difference.

        • jesse says yep

          I wouldnt give up on JP just yet. Ive noticed how is learning to use his body to shield the puck and seems to be getting more chances of late. I thought he would have broken out by now but really no point in moving him seeing that a)value is low b) still under control c) hasn’t warranted much a raise when his contract is up.