by OddsShark (@OddsShark)
Some individual stars have a chance to hit scoring milestones in a Battle of Alberta that will put a wrap on the Edmonton Oilers’ season, and that might be the factor that has the greatest effect on betting outcomes.
The Oilers are the +130 road underdog (bet $100 to win $130) on the NHL betting lines for Saturday at sportsbooks monitored at OddsShark.com, while the Calgary Flames are the -154 home favourite with a 6.5-goal total.
Edmonton, which was eliminated from playoff contention on Monday, is 6-8 in its last 14 away games as a underdog of +120 to +140 on the moneyline, while the playoff-bound Flames are 5-5 in 10 games this season as a home favorite of -150 to -200 on the moneyline.
Edmonton left wing Leon Draisaitl needs one goal to hit the magic 50 and become the first Oiler to do so in 31 years, so he should be a good play in all scoring props, especially since NHL assist leader Connor McDavid will be getting him the puck. The Flames also plan to have their own star left wing, Johnny Gaudreau, suit up in an effort to get the two points he needs for 100 on the season.
Edmonton is 1-2-0 against its provincial archrival this season, according to the OddsShark NHL Database, having lost once in each team’s arena. The clubs’ last meeting was 2½ months ago on January 19, with Calgary winning 5-2 on home ice, overcoming goals by the Oilers’ Milan Lucic and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins.
The Oilers are coming off a 3-2 loss against the San Jose Sharks on Thursday. Draisaitl scored both Edmonton goals.
The last five editions of this matchup have skewed southward, with the Oilers going 1-4. They are also 0-4 in their last four games as an away underdog. But the circumstances probably favour the Oilers, who are getting one last look at their roster before offseason evaluations begin. There is also no guarantee of what lineup Calgary coach Bill Peters will deploy, with left wing Sam Bennett (quad) being the only confirmed absence from the Flames’ forward ranks. If the Flames shuffle out more regulars, that should boost the Oilers’ chances.
The total has gone OVER in six of the Oilers’ last 10 games as a road underdog. With the chance the referees may keep the teams on a short leash to keep emotions in check, there could be a lot of power plays and neither team has what could be called an airtight penalty kill. That could also help the OVER hit.
The Oilers are 20th in the NHL in goal scoring, averaging 2.8 goals per game, while the Flames are second, averaging 3.6. Edmonton has the NHL’s 11th-ranked power play (20.8 percent) and 30th-ranked penalty kill (74.5). Calgary has the 16th-ranked power play (19.5 percent) and 18th-ranked penalty kill (80.0).
The Oilers come into the game 25th overall in the 31-team NHL with 77 points. The Flames, the top overall seed in the Western Conference, will face the lower finisher between the Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars in the first round of the playoffs.