DRAFT THOUGHTS AT 1AM

draisaitl capture 1

The Edmonton Oilers entered the weekend with one lottery pick and 5 lottery tickets, and that’s exactly what happened.

No. 3 overall Leon Draisaitl is already an Edmonton favorite, the big man said all the right things after being chosen to right the world from the center position.

  • Draisaitl: “I’m going to have to do my job and earn my spot if I want to play in
    that league and on that team,” he said. “I think they’re moving forward
    for sure and they made some good trades, (David) Perron, and the guys
    are getting older and more mature. This is just awesome right now.”

Source: Steven Whyno, Canadian Press

lagesson

William Lagesson was the next pick, he’s a two-way defender with size and the ability to move the puck. Stu MacGregor made a point of mentioning how much he enjoys the battle. It’ll be years before we see him, but I think that’s good value for a 4th round selection.

ZACH NAGELVOORT

zach nagelvoort stats

You have to like that run of save percentages dating back as far as the eye can see. Goalies are tough to figure out, but this guy has a strong resume based purely on boxcars. Keeping in mind he was selected No. 111 overall I’m pleased with the pick.

  • No. 130: Liam Coughlin—I often have Kirk Luedeke from Red Line Report on the Lowdown, and he texted this to me today about Coughlin:Luedeke: “Big kid, can skate. Had him as my
    “super sleeper” a year ago, but didn’t see him at Vernon. Raw as hell
    but passionate, industrious”
  • No. 153: Tyler Vesel—Impressive scoring numbers over several years, most recently in the USHL. Stu MacGregor: “He’s a scorer. He had a tremendous year and he’ll be
    going to Nebraska-Omaha where Dean Blais is a competitive coach who
    develops players.”
  • No. 183: Keven Bouchard—Stu MacGregor: “It’s always difficult with
    goaltenders when they don’t play a lot but we had an eye on him from the
    previous year and I happened to be at a game this season where he did
    play and had a period at the Memorial Cup. He’s a guy with potential.
    He’s very fit and strong and he’s willing to put in the work. Freddie
    Chabot and Sylvain Rodrique (goalie coaches) know him really well and
    have worked with him.”

REMINDS ME….

This is so much like the 2008 draft. Edmonton took Jordan Eberle in round one, didn’t have a second or a third round selection, and then drafted Johan Motin, Phil Cornet, Teemu Hartikainen and Jordan Bendfeld.

Career Numbers:

  • Jordan Eberle: 275GP, 96-125-221
  • Johan Motin: 1GP, 0-0-0
  • Phil Cornet: 2GP, 0-1-1
  • Teemu Hartikainen: 52GP, 6-7-13

Six years later, those are the boxcars for the 2008 entry draft. I think Leon Draisaitl will play more NHL games than Jordan Eberle in his first six seasons (he should be over 400) but the rest of this 2014 draft class can reasonably be expected to score about the same in terms of NHL games played.

The lesson here: those second and third round picks are valuable, because there are still good players available. Craig MacTavish received very good value for those picks (David Perron and Ben Scrivens), and I’m not suggesting they were mistakes.

It is worth noting that the picks traded away over the last 12 months turned into Ivan Barbashev and Dominic Turgeron today, and that stings more than a little.

  • Dan 1919

    Most likely Erhoff doesn’t want to sign here. If not, get Jovanovski. His prime is way behind him, but better off having an old veteran playing in the last D spot and helping coach the young kids rather than an AHL player like Fraser.

    Ference- Nikitin

    Marincin- Petry

    Shultz/Klefbom/Nurse- Jovanovski

    You’d then have 5 guys (Mar, Petry, Shultz, Klef, Nurse) battling for the 3 spots (D2,D3,D4)

  • dougtheslug

    That the Oilers have underperformed with their drafting and player development over the past 8 years is old news. But consider their management of existing assets – underwhelming to zero returns on players like Souray, Pronger, and most recently Hemsky.

    Consider the return Oilers got on Hemsky vs the return Canucks got on Kesler. Now, no-one would argue Kesler hasn’t been a better player than Hemsky over his career, but over the past 3 years the two have posted almost identical numbers, (both having been bothered by injuries), with Hemsky even outpointing Kesler over the last 2 years.

    Oilers mis-time their trade of Hemmer, getting basically nothing for him at the trade deadline at the end of last season (a fifth round pick this year, a third next).

    Canucks flip Kesler at the best possible time getting a young proven NHLer in Bonino ( who actually outpointed BOTH Hemmer and Kesler last year), a young depth dman in Sbisa, AND a first round pick this year.

    Canucks finish out of the playoffs for the first time in 8 years, proceed to fire their GM and coach, make some key trades and load up on draft picks.

    Oilers miss the playoffs for the eighth straight year and raise ticket prices, fire nobody, hire a few new friends of the owner, GM and coach, give new jobs to hopeless assistant coaches, and tell everybody they know a thing or two about winning.

    • The Kesler deal was a great trade. Difference was there was contract, and their position. Anaheim should of either given up the first or Bonino, not both for a injury prone guy, with declining skills. I laughed out loud on the trade because Anaheim got hosed.

      Hemsky just did not have the value, hes an enigma. Best player on the ice one day, bad the next.

      • dougtheslug

        You just made my point for me. Canucks didn’t wait until their backs were to the wall at trade deadline day – they managed the asset brilliantly, getting good value for a diminishing asset.

        I remind you that Hemsky DID have value, as he demonstrated with 17 points in 20 games with Ottawa last year. He will definitely be getting more than the 3year $10 million contract he turned down from Ottawa.

        Better asset management would have got a lot more than magic beans for him.

        • BlazingSaitls

          I agreed with you, thus reinforcing your point. I just tried to state the differences.

          Kesler was terrible last year. Anaheim paid for 2011 Kesler, and for the last 2 years hes been inconsistant.

          Anaheim wanted him too bad, that trade could of been made after the draft, and they had stupid amounts if leverage. Kesler only wanted to go to a handful of places. Why pay top dollar for a guy trending down.

          • dougtheslug

            Agree, it is a bit mystifying, although Anaheim has so many top prospects (Etem, Smith-Pelly, Ritchie this year), that I guess Bonino becomes expendable and a guy with Kesler’s pedigree becomes worth the expense.

        • Old Retired Guy (A.K.A. Die-Nasty)

          You make it seem like moving Kesler was the ‘Nucks idea. Kesler demanded a trade. With a NMC it is very unlikely Kesler gets traded unless he motivated it.

    • BlazingSaitls

      I am a huge Hemsky fan and miss him. I hope he succeeds and wins a cup on a good team. That all being said I dont miss him as much as I thought I would. Yuu truly do not understand the value other NHL GM’s gave Hemsky. It was lowe. Unjustifiably lowe and there was no good trade to be made. Even in Free Agency Hemsky wont garner the respect he deserves. I know the Pens, Anaheim, and many other playoff teams could have used him this playoffs but the only team that provided decent value @ trade-deadline was a team chasing the playoffs. Knockin MacT for Hemsky is just silly.

      • dougtheslug

        My point is they mistimed moving the asset. There was a time (probably a few years back, maybe after the Oilers had only missed the playoffs 5 or 6 years in a row) when flipping Hemsky would have garnered significantly more.

        Canucks didn’t wait for Kesler’s value to drop any more, while Oilers dithered and dallied until Hemsky was worth nothing.

        • BlazingSaitls

          ohh, ohh you’re going back 3 yrs? Quit living in the past man. Ive seen enough from the past year to convince me MacT is turning the ship in the right direction now.

          • Reds

            Which is why they now have Craig Ramsay on board, with Bucky and Smith gone from the bench.

            I know you’ll point out Bucky is still with the team, but there’s finally some accountability there and it goes un noticed.