Oilers 3rd quarter report card

Glass Half Full

After 62 games the Oilers had a record of 33-21-8, sitting ten points up on ninth place Los Angeles.

The Oilers were 12-8-1 in the first quarter, 9-9-6 in the second and went 12-7-1 (I used 21 games for the first and second quarter, and 20 for the third and fourth).

They have been very consistent picking up 25, 24 and 25 in each quarter thus far.

I give them a solid A- for their third quarter. While some individuals are struggling, the team continues to win, and considering how consistent they’ve been through the first three quarters, we should expect them to pick up 23-25 points in the final quarter.

They lost 5-4 to Nashville yesterday to start the fourth quarter, but 13 of their final 19 games are at home, with only two sets of back-to-back games.

You can read their first quarter report card here, and their mid-season grade here. I like to look closely at how the team and individuals fared in each quarter.

TEAM COMPARISONS

               First Q    vs.                  2nd Q                            3rd Q

Record    12-8-1 (25 pts)             9-6-6 (24 pts)             12-7-1 (25 pts)

Home:      5-4-0 (10 pts)               4-3-2 (10 pts)             6-3-1 (13 pts)

Road:      7-4-1  (15 pts)              5-3-4 (14 pts)             6-4-0 (12 pts)

GF-GA    64-54                            54-56                         55-47

SF/SA     657-632                        640-630                     591-587

PP          12 of 63 (19%)              16 of 69 (23.2%)        9 of 48 (18.8%)

PK          8 of 60 (86.7%)             16 of 64 (75%)           9 of 51 (82.3%)

It is interesting to note the drop in powerplay chances. They only had 2.4 PP/game this quarter after 3.28/game in the 2nd quarter and 3/game in the first.

We also saw a dip in PK/game. They had 2.85 PK/game in the first quarter, 3.04/game in the second quarter and 2.55/game this past quarter.

PLAYER COMPARISONS

connor1

  

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Connor McDavid

21

9

18

27

6

8

0

0

3

0

58

15.5

21

5

16

21

6

10

2

0

0

0

69

7.2

20

6

15

21

6

4

0

0

2

1

55

10.9

McDavid has been very consistent all season. His SOG dipped a bit from the second quarter, however he did score one more goal. He had his best stretch of faceoff success. He still isn’t great in the dot.

In his first 21 games he won 43.9% of his draws (126 of 287), in the second quarter he was 41.9%, winning 81 of 193, and this quarter he was 46.3%, winning 76 of 164. Leon Draisaitl takes the majority of the draws when they play together, which is why we’ve seen a steady decline in the amount of faceoffs he’s taken, but at least he was trending up this past quarter.

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Leon Draisaitl

21

7

9

16

-6

2

5

0

0

0

39

17.9

21

8

11

19

9

4

3

0

1

1

58

13.8

20

8

11

19

1

6

2

0

2

1

37

21.6

Leon had another strong quarter. In one fewer game he produced the same amount of goals and points as the last quarter. I’d like to see him shoot a bit more. He had 21 fewer shots this quarter than the second, yet he still scored eight goals.

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Jordan Eberle

21

7

9

16

-5

4

2

0

0

0

64

10.9

21

1

9

10

2

0

1

0

0

0

41

2.4

20

4

6

10

3

8

0

0

0

0

49

8.1

Eberle had a more productive goal scoring quarter than the second, but that isn’t saying much considering he only had one goal in the second quarter. He should be closer to his first quarter totals. He needs to generate more, and when he does he will score more. He had seven games with one or fewer shots this quarter. Not good enough. He has to get in better positions to shoot.

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Milan Lucic

21

6

8

14

-1

9

2

0

1

0

48

12.5

21

4

8

12

-5

9

2

0

0

0

49

12.2

20

2

5

7

0

16

1

0

1

0

28

7.14

His worst quarter of the season by far. Like Eberle, it starts with his SOG. He only 1.4 per game, which simply isn’t good enough. He needs to get back to shooting the puck and going to the net. He and Eberle both scored yesterday in the first game of the final quarter and both need to carry that through the final 19 games.

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Patrick Maroon

21

6

4

10

5

19

0

0

0

0

48

12.5

21

10

3

13

9

31

1

0

2

0

42

23.8

20

4

3

7

-3

23

1

0

0

0

51

7.8

I didn’t expect him to maintain his second quarter goal-scoring numbers, but even though he had his quietest stretch of the season I don’t think he played poorly. He just didn’t finish. He had the most shots, he just didn’t bury them. Maroon has had a strong season, and if he keeps going to the net I’d expect we will see him finish with 25 goals.

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

21

3

7

10

-1

4

2

0

1

0

62

4.8

21

5

4

9

-11

12

1

0

1

1

53

9.4

20

5

6

11

1

11

0

0

1

0

45

11.1

RNH had his most productive quarter, and he wasn’t on the ice for nearly as many goals against. He was -11 in the second quarter and +1 this time. RNH is a fluid player, who should produce more, and I wonder if we see him hire a skills coach in the summer. He should be a 55-point player, not a 40-point guy.

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Mark Letestu

18

2

4

6

-2

0

0

2

2

0

11

18.2

21

6

6

12

2

11

4

0

2

1

44

13.6

20

3

7

10

4

4

2

0

1

0

33

9.1

He’s had a very strong second and third quarter. He helps on the PP and he doesn’t get outscored at EV centering the third and fourth lines.

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Tyler Pitlick

21

6

1

7

-1

4

0

0

1

0

36

16.7

10

2

2

4

1

2

0

0

1

0

18

11.1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

You wonder how his season would have gone had he remained healthy.

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Zack Kassian

18

2

2

4

1

27

0

0

0

0

30

6.7

21

0

5

5

-4

41

0

0

0

0

31

0

20

3

5

8

3

18

0

0

0

0

22

13.6

He had his most productive quarter of the season, despite having his lowest shot total. He was snake-bitten in the second quarter, mainly from having goals disallowed, so his luck was bound to change. His effort has been very consistent all season. He’s looking more comfortable on the PK and his size and speed should have a positive impact in the playoffs.

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Jesse Puljujarvi

17

1

5

6

5

4

1

0

0

0

34

2.9

11

0

2

2

0

6

0

0

0

0

41

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

He was in the AHL this quarter and he produced 7-9-16 in 19 games. He had 56 shots, 2.94/game, and he scored twice on the PP and five times at EV. He is progressing well, and head coach Gerry Fleming told me Puljujarvi is looking more comfortable every game. His biggest adjustment has been getting used to the smaller ice and having to get his shot away quicker. The Condors have moved into a playoff spot, and I would keep Puljujarvi down there all year.

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Benoit Pouliot

18

3

1

4

-1

20

0

0

1

0

21

14.3

19

2

1

3

-3

8

0

0

0

0

23

11.4

14

0

3

3

-1

2

0

0

0

0

11

0

He had a dreadful quarter. He was injured, unproductive and rarely looked engaged in the play. He can salvage his season with a strong final quarter and playoffs. Otherwise this will go down as easily his worst NHL season.

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Drake Caggiula

3

0

2

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

21

2

2

4

-4

2

1

0

0

0

28

7.1

20

2

2

4

0

8

0

0

0

0

32

6.6

I believe he will be a much better player next season. You can tell he is pressing, by how often he misses the net on great scoring chances. If Peter Chiarelli adds a player or two at the deadline, Caggiula will likely see his icetime cut a bit, or he’ll have a game or two in the pressbox. That might help him because I’m sure he’s a bit fatigued having never played more than 45 games the past few years in NCAA.

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Anton Lander

16

1

2

3

4

6

0

0

0

0

7

14.3

3

0

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

3

0

0

0

0

-4

0

0

0

0

4

0

He is a dominant AHL player, but his footspeed holds him back in the NHL.

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Anton Slepyshev

11

2

2

4

5

2

0

0

0

0

18

11.1

4

0

0

0

-1

0

0

0

0

0

4

0

17

1

3

4

0

0

0

0

0

0

23

4.3

He looks like the odd man out, and I wonder if he gets a stint in the AHL in the final quarter to help them in their push to the playoffs. I like his size and speed, and he has a great shot. He’s still very young, and this has been a good developmental year for him.

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Matt Hendricks

3

0

1

1

1

2

0

0

0

0

1

0

14

1

1

2

-7

13

0

0

1

0

17

5.8

15

3

1

4

4

12

0

0

0

0

17

17.6

Anytime you get three goals in 15 games from Hendricks you are happy. Hendricks rebounded after a tough 2nd quarter where he was -7. When your fourth line scores goals and is a plus line you are happy. I suspect he will get a few nights off down the stretch to keep him fresh.

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Iiro Pakarinen

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

6

1

2

3

2

0

0

0

0

0

8

12.5

He missed the first 56 games of the season and produced three points in his first four games. Hard to critique his game, but if the Oilers add at the deadline he could be the odd man out.

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Jujhar Khaira

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

5

1

0

1

1

2

0

0

0

0

4

25

He’s only played five games due to injury. He has good size and speed. He has the potential to be a solid third or fourth line centre down the road. He just needs more playing time. I could see him getting some AHL time if the Oilers a centre at the deadline.

DEFENCEMAN

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Andrej Sekera

21

2

4

6

6

8

0

0

0

0

22

9.1

19

2

11

13

4

2

0

1

0

0

28

7.1

20

3

4

7

-4

6

1

0

1

0

44

6.8

He doubled his SOG from the first quarter during the past 20 games. He had a bit of struggle for four or five this quarter, but overall he’s been very solid.

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Oscar Klefbom

21

3

4

7

0

0

0

0

2

0

50

6

21

3

4

7

-5

0

1

0

0

0

55

5.6

20

5

7

12

11

4

1

0

2

0

52

9.6

He was dominant in the third quarter and was the Oilers 3rd highest point producer behind McDavid and Draisaitl. He rebounded defensively this past quarter after a tough middle 21 games, and I believe he still hasn’t reached his full potential.

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Adam Larsson

21

1

3

4

-1

12

0

0

0

0

23

4.3

21

1

2

3

1

14

0

0

0

0

22

4.5

17

1

7

8

14

12

0

0

0

0

23

4.3

He and Klefbom were a fantastic duo. Not only was Larsson very good defensively, he chipped in eight points in 17 games. He was +14 in 17 games. 

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Matthew Benning

12

0

4

4

7

4

0

0

0

0

12

0

18

1

3

4

-3

11

0

0

0

0

28

3.4

18

2

2

4

1

12

1

0

0

0

18

11.1

A solid quarter. Benning doesn’t play like a rookie much of the time. He’s very poised with the puck. Eventually I believe we will see more offence from Benning, but the team has wisely not overloaded him with too much responsibilities. 

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Darnell Nurse

21

3

2

5

-4

17

0

0

0

0

38

7.9

4

0

0

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

5

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Didn’t play the entire quarter, but played in Nashville on Sunday. He will have 19 games to knock off the rust and be ready for the playoff push.

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Kris Russell

14

0

3

3

8

0

0

0

0

0

17

0

21

0

2

2

-6

10

0

0

0

0

24

0

15

1

0

1

-1

5

0

0

1

0

8

12.5

He finally scored. He has a good shot and it is frustrating he rarely uses it. We saw him hit two goal posts in the past four games on one-timers from far out where he beat the goalie. He needs to shoot more. He only had eight shots in the 15 games he played this quarter. I’d like him to be more assertive offensively and use his speed to jump into the play more often.

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Eric Gryba

14

0

0

0

-2

14

0

0

0

0

16

0

8

1

2

3

0

22

0

0

1

0

8

12.5

9

0

2

2

-2

15

0

0

0

0

9

0

A solid extra defender. He most likely will not play much down the stretch, but when called upon he can fill in on the third pair and give you 12-15 solid minutes.

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Brandon Davidson

1

0

0

0

-1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

8

0

1

1

2

6

0

0

0

0

14

0

19

0

0

0

0

10

0

0

0

0

15

0

He is still searching for his first goal. He skates well, has a hard shot, but he isn’t physical, hasn’t added any offence and hasn’t done anything that stands out from the group. He can play both sides, and likely will down the stretch, and if he is your 7th defender then you have a solid top-six.

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Mark Fayne

1

0

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

3

0

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

3

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

He spent the quarter in Bakersfield and barring a major string of injuries on the Oilers blueline he won’t be returning. Fayne has been a really good leader to the kids according to head coach Gerry Fleming. He’s also chipped in 2-9-11 in 22 games.

Player

GP

G

A

P

+/-

PIM

PP

SH

GW

OT

S

S%

Jordan Oesterle

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

2

0

0

0

-1

0

0

0

0

0

2

0

He played two games and at this point he is #9 on the Oilers D depth chart. He skates well, and is good insurance in case of injury. 

GOALIES

TalbotStock 

Cam Talbot had 19 starts in the first quarter going 11-7-1 with a .919sv% (534 saves on 581 shots) and a 2.48 GAA. In the second quarter he had 18 starts, going 9-4-5 with a .920sv% (496 saves on 539 shots) and a solid 2.39 GAA.

This past quarter he had 18 starts and posted a record of 11-6-1 with a .924Sv% (460 saves on 498 shots) and a 2.14 GAA. He had his best SV% and GAA during this quarter, and he also faced fewer shots which is a good sign for the team.

Talbot has been very consistent all season. 

Laurent Brossoit had two starts in the third quarter and four appearances with a record of 1-1-0. He stopped 81 of 89 (.910sv%), and a 3.10 GAA. He was okay as a backup. He wasn’t outstanding, but if your backup can win half his games you’d be happy. He still seems vulnerable to shots over the shoulder, and if the Oilers don’t acquire a veteran he likely will get three, maybe four starts in the final 19 games.

WRAP UP

Wrap 

The Oilers had their best quarter of the season, if you go by winning percentage. 

They would love to get more production from Eberle, Lucic and RNH, and if that occurs over the final 19 games they should glide into the postseason.

When you break down their season into quarters, the Oilers have been fairly consistent, and despite the usual ups and downs of the season, the Oilers are what you see. 

They are a young team still striving for consistency, but overall they’ve been solid, and the most positive sign for them heading into the final quarter is they’re finally learning how to win on home ice.

Recently by Jason Gregor: 

  • GDB 62.0: Capital Challenge
  • Talbot chasing a record and Oilers trade options
  • GDB 60.0: Battling the Bolts
  • Monday Musings: Home ice advantage
  • GDB 58.0: Feisty for Philly
  • Trade Options: Right Wing
    • Nugey was the third most productive forward in that last quarter. Starting to get back to optimum Nuge. Still a ways to go, though.

      Klefbom just keeps getting better and better and it’s beautiful to watch.

    • Hemmercules

      Imaging where the team would be if they didn’t have over 20 mil locked up in 4 guys having off years.

      Making the playoffs and playing some convincing hockey once they get there is so important right now. Get these kids hungry for the playoffs year after year.

      • FISTO Siltanen

        Flames had everyone have career years back in 2015. I think it just creates unrealistic expectations for the following year.

        I see what you are saying – this team would be so much better if everyone was closer to their career average or better. I’d rather see how some of these guys respond in the playoffs and next year as well.

        End of last year Sekeras’ contract was looking like an albatross. This year he’s been one of our best. Hope we are saying the same about 2/4 or 3/4 of those guys you are talking about.

        • Hemmercules

          I guess I just expected more out of Ebs and Lucic. Pouliot absolutely fell off the planet after being a pretty good secondary player.

          Trying not to worry right now but I’m not as confident as others seem to be about the Oilers being a lock for the playoffs. That 10 point cushion on Nash and the Shames evaporated pretty quickly there. You know LA is capable of making a run with the roster they have. St Louis a bit of a wild card right now. I just hope the Oil dont have to count on that last week of games to make the show, dont know if I could take that haha

          • FISTO Siltanen

            Pouliot has been a head scratcher. If along with Nuge and Ebs he could regain his form from the last two years that gives Oil a solid second line. Which probably takes some of the focus off McDavid and his line and maybe that frees up Draisaitl to play with Lucic. Suddenly you have 3 solid 5×5 lines and not just one plus whatever you get from the rest every night.

            This team really came together after the 2006 trade deadline had come and went. Wondering if this team has a similar experience.

            • Total Points

              McClellan has Nuge, Eberle and Pou playing 200 foot hockey which is required for a playoff team.

              This had hurt the offence that they produced in prior years.

              They will not be getting better offensively.

    • Super Sweet

      Oilers defensive corps really stepped up this quarter. Klefblom, Larsson, Sekera, and Benning are the real most improved MVP’s of Q3.

      It feels so great and surreal where we can praise more than one defender or the fact the Oilers defensive corps is our bread and butter this year.

    • Petrolero

      Rental prices are too high for the quality of guys imo. I’m not even mad Chia missed on hanzal and Boyle. Really really need a reliable back up goalie though.

    • Monumental improvement in team +/- from last quarter, more so from preventing opponents from scoring, and a slightly improved Talbot.

      That right there has been the difference–players believing and executing in McLellan’s defensive system.

      Now if they could also focus on continuing to attack the net consistently, the next quarter will be even better.

    • Good timing on this article, just when the fair-weather fans were teetering off the bandwagon… This was a tough trip to the Eastern Conference where the Oilers this year have not had a lot of success. Our record against the west is outstanding (especially compared to years prior), but we can’t keep up with the east as well.

      While I am worried that the gap is closing, I am looking forward to heading into March with a top-3 division spot to lose. It’ll be a fun race to the end but I think with our Western conference record and relatively easy schedule we’ll be playoff bound!

    • tileguy

      No stats to back this up but I beleive the NHL enforces the rulebook in the first half of the season and not so much leading into the playoffs which is why Oil pp chances are down in Q3.

    • TruthHurts98

      I’m still hopeful PC will add a couple of players or back up tender before Wed at noon. I think the Oil need a couple more pieces to give themselves a real good shot at winning a round or two. Hanzal was way too pricy. I think PC might be able to sign someone like Oshie in the summer… Here’s to hoping!

    • Rama Lama

      I like the format of the report card. I still am worried at how many players have regressed, and how many upcoming players have not filled the void.

      It just seems to me like no player except Connor seems to be able to drive the offence consistently……..now a lot of my perceptions are probably that he makes everyone on the team look slow. It would be nice if another line ( hello 2nd line) could do things on their own and take some pressure off the first line. To me the second line seems out of sync most of the time, passes missed, passes incomplete, shots missed, shots not taken, the list goes on.

      I sure hope that they start clicking as the “Flames are catching up”! Not sure if other agree but LD looks gassed out there……..maybe he just needs a rest for a couple of games?

    • hags437

      Shattenkirk to the Caps. They are definitely all in! Can’t wait for the whining about Chia not grabbing him. Lol. Not even Jim Carrey thought we had a chance

        • FISTO Siltanen

          I just went to Sportsnet and the first thing you see is how amazing it is the Leafs got Brian Boyle…so maybe it happened and got buried?

          In all seriousness I think he is talking about a TSN discussion where LeBrun said he’d heard something about it.

      • I am Batman

        Why not? The price wasn’t that expensive and if come the summer he doesn’t want to sign here so be it.

        Shatt was one of 3 pieces we need in the McDavid era to fight for a cup.

        I don’t care if you think I’m whining but the truth is we never get stars here, we were lucky to have Gretzky , Messier and now McDavid but other than that… well we had Pronger who went running for his life as soon as he could.

        Shattenkirk in our blue line and we would be contenders this year.

        Only silver linen is we don’t have to play him tomorrow

    • RJ

      McDavid, Talbot and Drai have been amazing. Top marks for each of them.

      Nuge, Eberle, Lucic and Poo have been terrible. Nuge, Ebs and Poo are on pace for career worst PPG, and Nuge has been consistently terrible at faceoffs his entire career, and he’s not getting any better.

    • Heavy Stick

      Must be me but I think when Gryba plays the team does better. Why?
      He seems to win battles and gets the puck moving(albeit by passing). We lose a lot of battles in our D zone with our first 2 pairings.