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Photo Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

The Oilers In Seven — part four: Things balancing out?


Hello, hello, hello.

Welcome back to part four of my series Oilers In Seven where we take a look at the Oilers in, well, seven-game sets.

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If you’re new to the series, welcome! For those reading once again, welcome! This series is here to give you a better understanding of the Oilers on a smaller scale.

Feedback is welcome in the comments, or on Twitter.

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The Numbers

Games 1-7: 6-1, .857 points %
Games 8-15: 4-3-1, .563
Games 16-22: 3-2-2, .571
Games 23-29: 4-3, 571

Season record: 17-9-3, 5th in the NHL, .638 points %

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Games 1-7:
PP% – 45.5, 1st overall.
PK% – 88.5, 5th.

Games 8-15:
PP% — 9.5, 26th overall.
PK% — 81.8, 18th.

Games 16-22:
PP% — 39.1, 2nd overall.
PK% — 92.0, 3rd.

Games 23-29:
PP% — 35.7, 4th overall.
PK% — 85.0, 10th.

Season totals:
PP% — 32.5, 1st overall.
PK% — 87.1, 2nd.

Even Strength

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STAT RATE G1-7 + LEAGUE RANK RATE G8-15 + LEAGUE RANK RATE G16-22 + LEAGUE RANK RATE G23-29 + LEAGUE RANK  SEASON TOTALS
CF% 44.02 – 30TH 50.13 — 16TH 48.97 — 18TH 47.45 — 23RD 47.78 — 25TH
GF% 54.55 – 10TH 50.00 — 17TH 48.65 — 18TH 44.12 — 24TH 49.23 — 19TH
XGF% 41.96 – 30TH 53.25 — 10TH 52.79 — 8TH 48.58 — 20TH 49.36 — 21ST
GF/60 3.1 — 9TH 1.89 — 29TH 3.19 — 10TH 2.5 — 15TH 2.63 — 18TH
GA/60 2.58 — 11TH 1.89 — 4TH 3.36 — 25TH 3.16 — 24TH 2.71 — 14TH
TEAM SH% 12.95 – 3RD 6.25 — 28TH 10.71 — 9TH 8.57 — 14TH 9.28 — 12TH
TEAM SV% .9167 – 11TH 93.23 — 4TH 88.82 — 23RD 90.59 — 23RD 91.13 — 14TH
PDO 1.046 – 3RD 99.5 — 20TH 99.5 — 16TH 99.2 — 19TH 100.4 — 15TH

All Situations

STAT RATE G1-7 + LEAGUE RANK RATE G8-15 + LEAGUE RANK RATE G16-22 + LEAGUE RANK RATE G23-29 + LEAGUE RANK  SEASON TOTALS
CF% 43.96 — 30TH 50.56 — 17TH 49.23 — 19TH 45.96 — 25TH 47.55 — 26TH
GF% 59.57 — 5TH 45.45 — 23RD 54.00 — 9TH 45.24 — 24TH 51.74 — 13TH
XGF% 40.50 — 30TH 52.59 — 12TH 50.49 — 14TH 47.41 — 24TH 47.88 — 25TH
GF/60 3.95 — 3RD 1.84 — 30TH 3.83 — 5TH 2.68 — 16TH 3.03 — 14TH
GA/60 2.68 — 11TH 2.21 — 5TH 3.26 — 19TH 3.25 — 24TH 2.83 — 11TH
TEAM SH% 15.64 — 1ST 6.07 — 29TH 12.80 — 4TH 9.45 — 17TH 10.62 — 6TH
TEAM SV% .9177 — 9TH 92.50 — 4TH 88.78 — 22ND 90.50 — 21ST 90.96 — 11TH
PDO 1.074 — 1ST 0.986 — 23RD 101.6 — 10TH 99.9 — 19TH 101.6 —8TH

Stats via Natural Stat Trick, glossary with definitions here.

Player Stats

Stats via Hockey Reference 

What it all means

For the fourth-set this season, the Edmonton Oilers have gone above .500 in their seven-game sets and it shows the team is trending in the right direction. Special teams continue to carry the club through the last set of games with a fourth-ranked powerplay and 10th ranked penalty kill and are a big reason why the team is doing so well.

And I think the team is beginning to balance itself out. Edmonton continues to get crushed in the possession game nearly night in and night out. Only one set of games, the team’s second, saw them average above 50 CF%.

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The organization as a whole has always seemed to struggle in the possession game and this year is no different. Team PDO of 101.6 is still a little bit high, but we’ve seen Edmonton’s save percentage fall from .921 in the first 15 games, to .896 over the last 14 equating for the drop.

The good news out of it: the team save percentage of .9096 ranks 11th in the league. If the combination of Mikko Koskinen and Mike Smith can keep that up, it’s certainly going to help the Oilers’ chances of making the playoffs.

Another thing that will help their chance at the playoffs, their 11th ranked GA/60 rank. Despite struggling in the last 14 games in allowing goals against per hour, the team has still managed to score lots largely in thanks to the power-play operating at such a great clip.

As things continue on this season, I think these analytics are largely what we’re going to see from the Oilers. They appear to be a group that’s largely middle of the pack, and still may be overachieving.

The good news? Edmonton has some serious points in the bank right now. If the club were to go .500 the rest of the way, they would end the year with 90 points clean. Last year 90 points got Colorado into the WC2 position in the West.

As it stands, the team is on pace for 106 points based off their points percentage alone. For the sake of comparison once again, that would’ve put Edmonton one point behind Calgary for the Pacific title.

On Twitter: @zjlaing