APPROXIMATE TRADE VALUE
By Lowetide
9 years ago
This is Martin Gernat. The young Slovak is progressing as a pro player after a solid junior career. Observers mention his connection to Martin Marincin from time to time—they’re from Kosice, Slovakia, they both play defense, and they both need to eat an extra steak or two over the summer—and they do have a lot in common. One area they are different? The current trade value.
APPROX TRADE VALUE
Marincin is a young player who has some NHL games under his belt. He would fetch something very nice in trade, like a more established (if less promising) NHL defenseman. Gernat? Well, he just doesn’t have a lot of value right now, despite a nice looking future. Why? Every NHL team has a Martin Gernat, a young defenseman scuffling through his AHL seasons trying to button down the defense while maintaining enough offensive production to get more power-play time. He’s at a different point in his development. Here’s an attempt to peg ‘trade value’ by player, and I’d love your input. I’ll do a cross section of Oilers and Barons, along with a few select prospects.
- Taylor Hall. He’s not a trade item. You could trade your franchise player for another, like John Tavares, but why bother?
- Nail Yakupov. Only deal that seems suitable is for an impact prospect like Nichushkin in Dallas or Jonathan Drouin. I doubt another team would trade for the struggling Russian now anyway, but you’d have to get exceptional talent to make it happen.
- Jordan Eberle. Aside from the Wanye Wailing Wall that would be created outside Wanye manor, the Eberle trade would shock the foundations of the rebuild. You would have to get a quality offensive player in exchange, a James Neal or something near that level. Tough to make this trade, because teams rarely have enough depth to trade one of these without getting another right back.
- David Perron. He’s good, has term left on his deal and appears to be signable. For a team like Edmonton, that’s all very valuable. You would need a similar contract in return. If St. Louis wanted him back I’d ask for TJ Oshie.
- Sam Gagner. His contract and difficult season make this a very difficult time to trade him. Under normal circumstances, Gagner could fetch a quality player in his early 20’s, but I think he might go for a 2nd and a 4th round pick, somewhere in there. It may be too harsh, but that contract is going to scare off teams this summer.
- Bord Gordon. You could get a nice player back for Gordon — he’s signed, delivered a wonderful year and it would have meant more with a contender. I’ll say Chris Tanev and make both sides of the deal mad at me.
- Andrew Ference. Veteran struggled this season, but these guys have wonderful sustainability in trade. I bet you could get Matt Bartkowski and maybe a late pick from Boston (except they have too many defensemen, and many are aging).
- Jeff Petry. I think you could get a significant value for Petry, he’s young and has experience. Many Oiler fans aren’t fond of him, but a team looking for puck movers would give up a nice asset. I bet NJD would offer Adam Larsson plus a little more for him. I don’t think Edmonton should make that trade.
- Martin Marincin. You could get a lot, he’s still an entry level contract and played significant minutes as a rookie. NHL teams rarely trade these guys because why would you? I think you could get Curtis Glencross (one year from UFA) and a pick for him. That’s a nice player.
- Darnell Nurse. A high first-round pick this season, and like most of the players drafted around him, Nurse had a fine year. His value has not decreased.
So, there you go. Completely unscientific but a fun exercise. Agree? Disagree? I’d love to hear your thoughts.
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