Connor McDavid could realistically reach 1,000 career points next season

Photo credit:Sergei Belski-USA TODAY Sports
Cam Lewis
9 months ago
Connor McDavid reached his second major career scoring milestone of the season on Tuesday night.
He started off the season with 697 points in his career and a four-point performance in the Edmonton Oilers’ season-opening game against the Vancouver Canucks vaulted him past the 700-point mark. Four months later, McDavid’s three-point game against the Philadelphia Flyers got him over the 800-point mark for his career.
McDavid reached 800 points in his career over the course of 545 games, which made him the fifth-fastest player to reach the mark in NHL history, behind only Wayne Gretzky, Mario Lemieux, Mike Bossy, and Peter Stastny…
Given the way McDavid has been producing over the past few seasons, it’s reasonable to suggest that he can reach the 1,000-point plateau quicker than everybody other than Gretzky and Lemieux.
When might we see McDavid reach 1,000 points for his career? It could happen next season.
There are 24 games left on the Edmonton Oilers’ schedule for the 2022-23 regular season. If McDavid continues producing at the 1.81 point-per-game pace that he’s scored at through the first 58 games of the season, he would score 43 points the rest of the way. That would result in him finishing the season with a career-high of 148 points and it would put him at 845 points for his career.
McDavid would then go into the 2023-24 season 55 points shy of the 900-point mark and he would need 155 points to become the 96th player ever to reach 1,000 points. That’s obviously no small task, but, given the level that McDavid has reached offensively over the past few years, I wouldn’t bet against him.
Let’s say hypothetically that McDavid reaches 1,000 points in Game 82 of the 2023-24 season. He would have done so in 651 games, which would be the thirst-fastest to the mark in NHL history…
In order for McDavid to reach 1,000 points faster than Mike Bossy, who did so in 656 games, he’ll have to score 198 points over his next 110 games. The pace that would be required to beat Bossy is 1.80 points-per-game, which is almost exactly the pace he’s been scoring at this season.
Difficult? Absolutely. Impossible? Absolutely not.


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