NHL Betting Preview (March 2): Oilers at Kraken Odds

Photo credit:© Perry Nelson-USA TODAY Sports

4 months ago

Edmonton will play four of its next five games on the road, starting with a matinee game in Seattle on Saturday. This article will break down the odds and trends that make this Pacific Division matchup worth betting on.

Oilers at Kraken Odds

Edmonton Oilers Moneyline Odds: -150
Seattle Kraken Moneyline Odds: +125
Puck Line Odds: Oilers -1.5 (+150), Kraken +1.5 (-200)
Game Total: 6.5 goals (over -105, under -115)

All odds courtesy of Betway.

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Last Matchup

Seattle carried a 2-0 lead into the first intermission on Jan. 18th at Rogers Place, but the Oilers (-219) stormed back, scoring four unanswered goals to win 4-2 to cover the puck line and stay under the total of 6.5 goals. Warren Foegele had two goals, both assisted by Leon Draisaitl and Evander Kane. The Oilers outshot the Kraken 36-27 and went 2-4 on the power play. Seattle went 0-5 with the man advantage.

Check out Daily Faceoff to get updates regarding the starting lineups and goaltenders.

Handicapping the Kraken (26-33 SU, 32-27 ATS, 25-30 O/U)

The Kraken play low-event hockey, meaning their games typically don’t feature an average amount of shots or expected goals. They’re not good offensively, ranking 28th and 29th in goals and expected goals per 60 minutes respectively, but they’ve been good at defending and their goaltending has held up better than expected.

Seattle’s faint playoff hopes remain alive with five wins in its last seven games, however, the Kraken haven’t been playing their best hockey. According to Evolving Hockey, Seattle ranks 27th in expected goals percentage and 24th in unblocked-shot percentage at 5-on-5 since the All-Star break. Not to mention, they’ve never matched up well with the Oilers.

Handicapping the Oilers (35-22 SU, 28-29 ATS, 25-29 O/U)

Based on the odds and the historical trends, there’s a decent chance that the Oilers will extend their win streak to three on Saturday in Seattle. Edmonton is 8-2-0 against the Kraken all time and they have won five straight, including their last four trips to Climate Pledge Arena. The Oilers have not lost in Seattle since Dec. 3rd, 2021.

Stuart Skinner gets the nod on Saturday, despite the Pittsburgh Penguins coming to town on Sunday. However, I’m hesitant to back the Oilers at -150 odds. While Edmonton has an impressive 57 percent win rate on the road this season, with a 14-7 record under Kris Knoblauch away from home, the recent performances suggest they may not be worth the steep odds.

The Oilers clearly have more firepower than the Kraken, and they should get the better of the shots and scoring chances, but that’s not a secret and finding a bargain is tough.

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Team Betting Trends

Edmonton is 6-4 to the under in its last 10 road games, while Seattle is 6-3-1 to the over in its last 10 home games. The Oilers and Kraken have combined to go over the total in eight out of 10 matchups all time.
The Oilers are 7-3 straight up in their last 10 road games, but they’ve gone just 4-6 against the puck line.
Seattle is 6-4 straight up and 6-4 against the puck line in its last 10 home games. The Kraken have generally been a bad bet to win games outright, though, as only five teams have gone to overtime more often than the Kraken.

Player Prop Betting Trends

Zach Hyman hit the 40-goal mark for the first time in his career on Wednesday against St. Louis. He’s got nine goals in his last 10 games and he’s listed at even money (+100) to score a goal on Saturday. Hyman had 39 shots on goal and registered three or more shots in seven out of the last 10 games.
Connor McDavid finally ended his goal scoring drought when he potted the overtime winner on Wednesday after going 10 games without lighting the lamp. McDavid is listed at -105 to score on Saturday.
Jordan Eberle and Jared McCann each have five goals in their last 10 games. No other forward on the Kraken has scored more than two goals in their last 10 games. Eberle has 14 goals on the season and is priced at +240 to score. While McCann leads the team with 25 goals in 58 games and sits at +188 to score.

Best Bets for Oilersnation

The Oilers have scored four or more goals in five straight games against Seattle, and the latter generally has trouble shutting the top offensive teams down. If Calvin Picard had gotten the start I’d be more inclined to suggest betting this to go game over the total of 6.5 goals. However, with Stuart Skinner getting the nod, Edmonton’s team total is the better option at the same odds.

Bet on the Oilers to score over 3.5 goals at -105 odds.

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