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Questions, Rumours and more…

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Jason Gregor
4 years ago
Last night the New York Rangers acquired Jacob Trouba from the Winnipeg Jets for Neal Pionk and the 20th pick (the pick they traded to NYR at the deadline) in Friday’s NHL draft. Trouba wasn’t going to re-sign with the Jets, so they had to move him, but this looks like a big win for the Rangers. If you combine the trade deadline trade with this one, the Jets essentially traded Jacob Trouba and Brendon Lemieux to the Rangers for Neal Pionk and 20 games of Kevin Hayes. They traded their first round pick to acquire Hayes, and then got it back when they dealt Trouba. Trouba wasn’t going to re-sign with the Jets, and seemed very specific on which teams he would re-sign with so that likely impacted the return. Also the fact the Rangers weren’t allowed to speak with him prior to the deal, to discuss a contract extension, also impacted the return. I’m curious why the Jets wouldn’t have allowed that, or maybe the Rangers knew he’d sign with them, so they didn’t push for it, to lower the return.
The Jets are up against the cap as they have to re-sign RFAs Patrik Laine, Kyle Connor, Andrew Copp and Pionk along with UFAs Tyler Myers and Brandon Tanev. They have $25 million in cap space to sign those players, so they should get at least four, possibly five of them signed. Tanev is likely to test the market and he is a solid bottom six option. He is a tenacious, good skating left winger who can kill penalties. He chipped in 14-15-29 last year with decent underlying numbers.
Don’t be surprised if the Rangers make some other deals this week. I hear they want to unload Vlad Namestnikov, but at $4 million, they might have to eat some salary to do it. He has one year remaining on his deal.
I’m surprised the Flyers didn’t land Trouba. He is exactly what they need and they have a lot of cap space to sign him. I expect the Flyers to be a big player in free agency or a trade. I’m surprised Shayne Gostisbehere’s name is out there, but I’ve read about it enough to think where there is smoke there’s fire. He has the 14th most points among D-men the past four years, and he is sixth in PP points over that time. I recognize his underlying numbers aren’t great, but how much of that is due to him and Ivan Provorov, two young defenders, being paired together for over 1,000 minutes the past three years and facing tough competition?
He isn’t a great defender yet, but he is so good offensively, I’d take the chance to acquire him and work on his defensive deficiencies. He also has an excellent cap hit at $4.5 million for another four years. I’m not sure he fits for the Oilers, as he shoots left, but if the rumours are true about him being on the block, I’d guess many teams would be interested.
And the Nikolaj Ehlers trade rumours are heating up. After 64 and 60 point seasons he only produced 37 points in 62 games last year. Opposing teams will try to buy low, especially knowing the Jets’ cap situation. The Blue Jackets will need some scoring after Artemi Panarin leaves, and maybe Matt Duchene does too.

QUESTIONS…

Nation reader GoodtobeLucky97 asked:
Over the past six draft years, how many U.S. born players going the NCAA route have stayed in school for three years and became UFA’s? Considering that, if the Oilers select a U.S. born NCAA bound player at #8, I wonder what are the chances of that player ever signing with the Oilers?
Since the 2012 draft, here are the players who were drafted in the top ten and went NCAA route:
2012: Jacob Trouba. Drafted ninth to Winnipeg. Played one season in NCAA and then signed with the Jets.
2013: None
2014: None
2015: Jack Eichel second to Buffalo and Noah Hanafin, fifth to Carolina. Both played NCAA during their draft year, but came directly to NHL for 2015/2016 season.
Zack Werenski, eighth to Columbus. Played NCAA during his draft year, then spent one more season in NCAA before joining Blue Jackets.
2016: Clayton Keller, seventh to Arizona. Played one season of NCAA and then went to Coyotes.
2017: Cale Makar (Canadian), fourth to Colorado. Played two seasons at NCAA and joined Avs during playoffs this past April.
Casey Middlestadt, eighth to Buffalo. Played one year of NCAA and then joined the Sabres.
2018: Quinn Hughes, seventh to Vancouver. Was drafted out of NCAA, stayed last year and then joined Canucks at the end of last season.
It isn’t an issue for high picks to stay the full three years in the NCAA and become free agents. You shouldn’t worry about it.
Bshaw asks: If Corey Perry is bought out would he fit in Edmonton?
On a one-year deal, I’d look at him. I know he only had 10 points in 31 games last year, but he missed the first half of the season and trying to play catch up is hard. He had 49, 53 and 62 points the previous three seasons. He is a veteran RW and he could complement either Connor McDavid or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins. He knows how to play with skill players, and he is highly competitive. His speed is an issue, but Patrick Maroon and David Perron aren’t fleet of foot and they played key roles for the St. Louis Blues. Not every player has to be a burner for your team to win.
The big challenge would be the cost. How much does he want? He is 34 so he is likely looking for a multi-year deal, and I’d be leery of that. Two years max, but the wheels can fall off quickly for players who play his style, and that’s why I’d be much more comfortable on a one-year deal.
Shaun J asks: Should the Oilers buyout Brandon Manning?
No. It just means more dead cap space for the 2020/2021 season. The Oilers should just bite the bullet this year and put him in the minors. He will count just over $1.1 million against the cap, but then there is no cap hit next year. Every dollar matters, and the Oilers are likely to be more competitive in 2021 than next year, so I wouldn’t waste cap space on buying him out.

PARTING SHOTS…

Darren Dreger reported the salary cap might be $82 million instead of $83 million, and with many teams up against the cap, that extra million dollars makes a big difference. It sure makes the Manning deal sting even more since he is going to count over $1 million towards the cap, and that illustrates how important cap space, even one million or less can be.
Lower cap means lower escrow and I’ve argued for years increasing the cap doesn’t get the players more money, it just increases the escrow they pay. It is kind of a false number. The players loathe escrow and I won’t be surprised if the cap is lower than the projected $83 million.

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