Oilersnation Betway Bets of the Day — How I’m betting on the second round of the playoffs
Photo credit:Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
By Zach Laing28 days ago
Welcome back to another edition of the Betway Bets of the Day. All bets are for one unit unless otherwise noted.
The Bets of the Day are brought to you by NHL odds site Betway!
Today, we’re going to take a look back at how I fared betting on the first round of the playoffs, and what bets I’m laying ahead of the second round.
Overall, I’m really happy with how round one fared. In terms of outright bets, the Boston Bruins and Tampa Bay Lightning were each eliminated nullifying the outright bets on both of those teams. However, we still have the Oilers at +550 and Devils at +1200.
In terms of series outcome bets, we went three for three with the Panthers knocking off the Bruins at +275, the Stars beating the Wild -1.5 at +130, and the Devils beating the Rangers at -120. The only first-round bet we didn’t cash was taking Connor McDavid to score 12+ points, but there was only one player who did that period as Roope Hintz scored 12 points against the Wild.
Round two series winners
Edmonton Oilers -1.5 +125
There’s already been movement on this line in favour of the Oilers. I saw them around -150 to win the series and +150 -1.5, but those lines have moved to -163 and +125, respectively, at the time of writing.
This is going to be a great series between two strong teams but I think the Oilers have the edge in this one. They went 3-0-1 against Vegas in the regular season, and their forward group is playing some great hockey right now. Attacking with speed is going to be a key for the Oilers in this series, and I think they will have the chance to overwhelm the Golden Knights with their highly skilled game.
In the regular season, the Oilers handled the Golden Knights fairly well. At 5×5, they controlled 54.17 percent of the shot attempts, 56.30 percent of the expected goal share and 53.92 percent of the scoring chances. To top it off, the Oilers outscored Vegas 12-10 controlling 54.55 percent of the goals scored.
Florida Panthers +165
Hot take alert. We rode the Panthers against the Bruins in round one, and we’re going back to that well here in round two. I think this is going to be a tremendous matchup between these two teams and both have to be feeling really good heading into round two. For Toronto, they finally got out of the first round and for the Panthers, well, they just took out Goliath.
That being said, I’m edging with the Panthers as underdogs here in this series. I’m more impressed with their performance against Boston, than I am of Toronto’s against an exhausted Tampa Bay Lightning team.
In terms of the Panthers, they controlled just 47.39 percent of the expected goal share and 35.71 percent of the goals scored at 5×5 against the Leafs in the regular season. The Panthers also shot just 5.05 percent at 5×5 and while they went 1-1-2 in four games, three of those were one goal games determined in overtime.
This series could really go either way, but I like the value here for the underdog Panthers.
Seattle Kraken +155
Another underdog? You bet.
The Kraken making the playoffs was my bold prediction of the postseason, and now, I’m betting on them to make it to the Western Conference finals. Look, this is a good Kraken team no matter how you cut it. They took the defending Stanley Cup champions to seven games and dispatched them 2-1 in game seven on Sunday night.
Seattle is playing some really good hockey here, and I like this spot for them against Dallas, who is coming off a strong series of their own against the Minnesota Wild. The Kraken and Stars met three times in the regular season going 1-1-1, but in terms of 5×5 play, Seattle saw a big edge. They controlled 53.58 percent of the shot attempt share, 58.04 percent of the expected goal share and 51.67 percent of the scoring chance share. They also outscored Dallas 8-5, controlling 61.54 percent of the goals scored.
I’m going to be completely honest here — I can’t get a great read on this series.
On one hand, the Devils went 2-1-1 in the regular season against the Hurricanes outscoring them 10-6 at 5×5. On the other hand, the Hurricanes outplayed them controlling 59.15 percent of the shot attempts, 51.11 percent of the expected goal share, and 54.86 percent of the scoring chances.
Three of these four games, however, were played prior to Carolina losing Andrei Svechnikov to a torn ACL. Before that happened, Carolina went 43-13-8 scoring 3.28 goals for hour. Afterwards, they went 9-9-1 scoring just 2.56 goals for per hour. Simply put, it was a huge loss for them.
The Devils, meanwhile, have been tremendous this season and were one of the best teams in the league early in the season going on a massive run. While they slowed down a bit throughout the regular season, you could see the nerves they had early on against the Rangers in round one dropping both games one and two. Despite that, they stuck with it and roared back to win this series in game seven with a dominant 4-0 win.
At first I was going to take o6.5 games played at +187, but as I got writing, I started to lean more and more to the Devils here.
Record: 140-122 (+25.39u)
Last 30: 10-13 (+4.19u)
Last 7: 5-5 (+2.2u)
Last 7: 5-5 (+2.2u)
Zach Laing is the Nation Network’s news director and senior columnist. He can be followed on Twitter at @zjlaing, or reached by email at email@example.com.
Recent articles from Zach Laing
- NHL Notebook: The Edmonton Oilers have two days to sign this prospect, two teams name head coaches, and more
- Reviewing the previews: How I forecasted the 2022-23 Edmonton Oilers season
- NHL Notebook: What’s next for the Nashville Predators and St. Louis Blues and which NHL vacancies could fill this week