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YOU MAKE THE CALL

Lowetide
9 years ago
The NHL trade deadline is Monday, March 2, 2015 at 1PM Edmonton time. Last year there were over 30 trades
on Deadline Day and another 20 or so leading up to it. Why talk about
it this soon?  The Edmonton Oilers will not compete for the playoffs
this spring and will be sellers at the deadline. Due to some very poor
contract management, Jeff Petry is available to the highest bidder
(unless the club comes to its senses). His availability has major
implications on the 2014-15 season and Edmonton’s final standing (and
draft number).
Jeff Petry is in the final year of his deal and makes $3.075 million. Petry plays over 20 minutes a night and is one of the few defenders Dallas Eakins can count on this season. The club uses him most often
with Andrew Ference and the pairing has been effective compared to
other blue employed by the Oilers this season—and are above 50% for the
year in possession.
What is Petry worth to
the Oilers? It’s difficult to say but the answer is probably in the
range of ‘formidable’ this year. What could the Oilers get in return?
Defensemen have high value and Petry is durable and that rare player who
is both young and experienced, so a 2nd round pick in a deep draft
might be a good estimate (it could be more, but I doubt NHL teams trade
their first round picks this year) plus maybe a sweetener involving a
prospect of some sort. 
Should they deal
him? Hell no. Will they deal him? I think it’s going to be close. Jason
Gregor wrote about Schultz recently, saying:
  • I
    don’t see any reason why the Oilers wouldn’t try hard to sign Petry to a
    five-year contract. If you compare recent free-agent D-men who are
    similar to Petry, a five-year $20 million deal is very reasonable. If
    they have to go as high as Stralman’s deal that would be reasonable as
    well.
    Source.
Makes
sense to me, but the Oilers have signed Niki Nikitin and Andrew Ference
to expensive deals and that uses up about $8 million. Mark Fayne’s deal
is for $3.625 million and Justin Schultz won’t be taking a cut in pay
from the current $3.675 million. Those four men will cost over $15
million next season, so adding another $4 million for Petry means the
club would be over $20 million for their defense in 2015-16.
Craig
MacTavish could trade or buy out Nikitin or Ference but it’s rare for
any GM to make that kind of move and admitting mistakes is not an
organizational strong point. 
The other
side of the conversation is this: If the Oilers are in the McDavid
sweepstakes at the deadline, it’s hard to imagine a better denver boot
for the rest of the season than trading Petry. The club would have a RH
depth chart on defense that included the solid if unspectacular Fayne
and the chaotic Schultz, plus one would assume a young defender or
Nikitin moving over from the LH side.
If
you’re Craig MacTavish and your choice is sign Petry to help you now and
in the future, or trade him and improve the McDavid karma, what would
you do?

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