Join Daily Faceoff’s Andy MacNeil as he handicaps Sunday’s matchup between the Edmonton Oilers and Anaheim Ducks.
Oilers vs. Ducks Odds
- Edmonton Oilers Moneyline: -300
- Anaheim Ducks Moneyline: +240
- Puck Line: Oilers -1.5 (-160), Ducks +1.5 (+135)
- Game Total: 6 (Over -115, Under -105)
Game odds courtesy of Sports Interaction.
Handicapping the Oilers (21-14 SU, 13-22 ATS, 15-19-1 O/U)
The Oilers played well on Saturday, especially on the road, but they were let down by a subpar performance from goaltender Stuart Skinner, who posted -0.86 goals saved above expected—a stat suggesting an average goaltender would have performed better.
With a back-to-back on the schedule, backup Calvin Pickard is expected to start Sunday in Anaheim. Pickard has been solid against the Ducks since joining the Oilers, recording a 2.01 goals-against average and a .924 save percentage in three games, all of which were wins. The 32-year-old allowed just six goals in three games against Anaheim last season.
Connor McDavid extended his point streak to 10 games with an assist, and he should make it 11 on Sunday. McDavid has points in 13 straight meetings versus Anaheim, including 11 multi-point games. Leon Draisaitl also pushed his point streak to 10 games with an assist. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins made an impact in his return to the lineup with a goal, while Viktor Arvidsson added a revenge goal against his former team.
Edmonton hasn’t scored more than three goals in its last four games, but they’ve dominated Anaheim recently, winning nine of their last 10 matchups. Even more impressive, the Oilers have scored five or more goals in eight of those games, including each of the last four meetings.
Handicapping the Ducks (13-20 SU, 21-11 ATS, 9-21-3 O/U)
Anaheim lost 3-1 on home ice to Philadelphia on Saturday, despite starting their top goaltender, Lukas Dostal. With backup John Gibson missing Friday’s practice due to illness, the Ducks might have no choice but to start Dostal again on Sunday. Calle Clang, called up from AHL San Diego, dressed as the backup on Saturday, but he has yet to make his NHL debut.
The loss to the Flyers marked Anaheim’s 12th straight home defeat, dropping the Ducks to 6-11-1 this season at the Honda Center. They have managed just two wins in their last eight home games. Adding to their struggles, Anaheim is 1-9 in its last 10 meetings with the Oilers and 0-5 at home against Edmonton since the start of the 2021-22 season. The Ducks last defeated the Oilers on home ice on February 25, 2020.
Per Evolving Hockey, Anaheim ranks 29th in shot attempt percentage, 31st in expected goals percentage, and 30th in goal share. The Ducks are also the worst offensive team in the league, with just 2.35 goals per 60 minutes, despite ranking 15th in shot attempts and 19th in expected goals per 60. Troy Terry leads the team with 10 goals and 16 assists in 34 games, but he’s the only player that’s on pace to finish with at least 60 points, let alone 50 points.
Best Bet for Oilers vs. Ducks
Connor McDavid Over 3.5 Shots On Goal (+125) at Sports Interaction
McDavid didn’t even attempt a shot in Saturday’s game and has had two or fewer shots on goal in nine of his last 10 outings. However, this is a good spot to buy back in, as McDavid has registered four or more shots on goal in eight of his last 10 games against Anaheim. The Ducks are currently ranked 32nd in shot attempts against, making this a promising matchup. Some shops are even offering this prop at longer odds.
Zach Hyman Anytime Goal (+150) at Sports Interaction
Although Zach Hyman didn’t cash my ticket on Saturday, he looked dangerous, and there are plenty of reasons to back him to score on Sunday. Hyman has 10 goals in his last 10 games and has scored in six straight meetings against Anaheim, totaling seven goals in that span. Hyman should likely be priced closer to 50-50 odds, as he is at some sportsbooks, but Sports Interaction, along with a few other shops, is offering this prop at +150 or better.
