NHL Betting Preview (April 15): Sharks vs. Oilers Odds

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22 days ago

Edmonton will look to finish the season at home on a high note with a win over the San Jose Sharks. This article breaks down the odds and trends that will help bettors decide if this Pacific Division matchup is worth betting on.

Sharks vs. Oilers Odds

San Jose Sharks Moneyline Odds: +425
Edmonton Oilers Moneyline Odds: -575
Puck Line Odds: Sharks +1.5 (+165), Oilers -1.5 (-200)
Game Total: 6.5 goals (over -120, under +100)

All odds courtesy of Bet365.

Last Matchup

After hitting rock bottom in San Jose on November 9th, losing 3-2, Edmonton got their revenge by defeating the Sharks 5-0 back on December 28th. Evan Bouchard, Zach Hyman, and Ryan McLeod all finished the game with a goal and an assist.

Check out Daily Faceoff to get updates regarding the line combinations and goaltenders for Monday’s matchup.

Handicapping the Sharks (19-61 SU, 37-43 ATS, 36-41 O/U)

San Jose has just five wins in its last 30 games, and based on the odds, the Sharks are staring down the barrel of another lopsided defeat. According to Evolving Hockey, the Sharks rank dead last in 5-on-5 expected goals percentage and goal differential per 60 minutes. Only the Chicago Blackhawks have scored fewer goals, and no team has allowed more goals than San Jose.

It’s unclear who San Jose will start in goal, but the options are MacKenzie Blackwood, who has one win in his last 11 starts, or Devin Cooley, an undrafted 26-year-old who only has four games under his belt. Whatever goaltender does start, though, will likely face a barrage of high-quality shots. No team in the NHL has allowed more shots or expected goals than the Sharks.

Handicapping the Oilers (48-31 SU, 37-42 ATS, 33-43 O/U)

Edmonton has played five games this season without McDavid in the lineup, and they have gone 1-4 straight up, bringing their record without No. 97 to 6-12 straight up since the start of the 2016-17 season. They’ve scored just 2.39 goals per game without him in the lineup compared to 3.27 per game when he is. However, according McDavid himself, he will be back in the lineup on Monday. It’s just unclear whether or not he will play in all three remaining games.

With McDavid officially back in the lineup, sportsbooks have already started to adjust their odds. For example, Bet365 had the Oilers listed at -450 earlier, but they are now listed as a -575 favourite and the odds should continue to move in their direction. Edmonton’s puck line odds (-1.5) also changed to -200 after being listed at -165 because the spread is correlated to the moneyline.

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Team Betting Trends

Edmonton is 9-1 straight up in its last 10 meetings versus San Jose and they have covered the puck line in six of those games. The Oilers have gone 7-3 in their last 10 home games, while the Sharks have gone 2-8 in their last 10 road games.
The Oiler are 6-4 against the puck line in their last 10 games against the Sharks, and 6-4 against the puck line in their last 10 games at Rogers Place. The Sharks have covered the puck line in five out of their last 10 games.
The Sharks and Oilers have gone 8-1-1 to the over in their last 10 meetings at Rogers Place, but San Jose is just 4-6 to the over in its last 10 games, while Edmonton is 7-3 to the under in its last 10 games.

Player Prop Betting Trends

Winger Fabian Zetterlund is going to be the only member of the Sharks to score 20 goals this season, as his 22 goals is six more than the next-best player. Zetterlund has two goals and seven points in his last 10 games. Zetterlund is listed at +220 to score a goal and -130 to score a point.
William Eklund has been leading the way for San Jose over the last 10 games with five goals and seven assists. The 21-year-old has played 20 minutes or more in six out of the last seven games playing on the top line. Eklund is listed at +280 to score a goal and -110 to score a point.
Mikael Granlund, the final member of the top forward line, has also scored 12 points (10 assists) in his last 10 games. He is listed at -190 to score a point and +280 to score a goal. Grandlund (32) and Zetterlund (25) have both been shooting the puck more than Eklund (16) in the last 10 games.
McDavid is currently sitting at 99 assists on the year, and he is currently listed at -300 (75 percent implied probability) to register his 100th assists of the season on Monday.

Best Bets for Oilersnation

Edmonton should be up for the last home game of the regular season, as should the Oilers, who have lost their last two home games, and McDavid should provide the spark Edmonton needs to start Monday’s game on time. Bet on the Oilers to score early and often by going over Edmonton’s first period team total. Bet over 1.5 first period goals at +155 goals as only four teams have allowed more first period goals than the Sharks this season.