Peter Chiarelli was hired by the Boston Bruins as GM on May 26, 2006.
He did not get to work officially for a month or so, and the archives
tell us the Bruins 2006 draft (a monster, delivering Phil Kessel, Brad
Marchand and Milan Lucic) was the work of the scouts and previous admin.
He did not get to work officially for a month or so, and the archives
tell us the Bruins 2006 draft (a monster, delivering Phil Kessel, Brad
Marchand and Milan Lucic) was the work of the scouts and previous admin.
An
article today by Matt Dolloff from CBS Boston is getting some play,
some quotes from the Bruins brass laying blame at the feet of Peter
Chiarelli (and the author of the piece points out a few facts, including
Boston’s cap and other issues on the day PC left). Article is here.
article today by Matt Dolloff from CBS Boston is getting some play,
some quotes from the Bruins brass laying blame at the feet of Peter
Chiarelli (and the author of the piece points out a few facts, including
Boston’s cap and other issues on the day PC left). Article is here.
If
we can agree that Peter Chiarelli’s time as director of the NHL draft
for Boston began after the 2006 draft, we can begin to cobble together
his track record. How good is Peter Chiarelli at the draft table?
we can agree that Peter Chiarelli’s time as director of the NHL draft
for Boston began after the 2006 draft, we can begin to cobble together
his track record. How good is Peter Chiarelli at the draft table?
CHIARELLI’S FIRST ROUNDERS
- F Tyler Seguin, No. 2 in 2010 (426gp, 123-192-355)
- D Dougie Hamilton, No. 9 in 2011 (260gp, 34-92-126)
- C Joe Colborne, No. 16 in 2008 (233gp, 38-68-106)
- L Jordan Caron, No. 25 in 2009 (157gp, 12-16-28)
- R David Pastrnak, No. 25 in 2014 (97gp, 25-28-53)
- C Zach Hamill, No. 8 in 2007 (20gp, 0-4-4)
- G Malcom Subban, No. 24 in 2012 (1gp, 5.81 .500)
These
are the first-round selections under the Chiarelli regime. Scott Cullen
of TSN did a study a few years ago looking at success rates for
specific areas of the draft. He established a line for each spot in the
draft, where ‘average’ can be measured based on previous picks at a
specific number. Based on his work, the PC first-round picks fall
into these categories:
are the first-round selections under the Chiarelli regime. Scott Cullen
of TSN did a study a few years ago looking at success rates for
specific areas of the draft. He established a line for each spot in the
draft, where ‘average’ can be measured based on previous picks at a
specific number. Based on his work, the PC first-round picks fall
into these categories:
- Home Run:
- Covered the Bet: Tyler Seguin, Dougie Hamilton, Joe Colborne, Jordan Caron, David Pastrnak
- Draft Fail: Zach Hamill
- Too Soon to Know: Malcom Subban
- Cullen’s work
A
quick note on these rankings. You may argue that Seguin deserves to be a
home run pick, but based on where he was chosen it qualifies only as a
solid bet. At the other end of the first-round spectrum, Jordan Caron
may seem like a failure but No. 25 picks, on average, emerge as ‘fringe ‘
NHL players. Also, David Pastrnak is ranked as covering the bet, that
could improve if he blossoms as a scorer (he is a very promising 19-year
old).
quick note on these rankings. You may argue that Seguin deserves to be a
home run pick, but based on where he was chosen it qualifies only as a
solid bet. At the other end of the first-round spectrum, Jordan Caron
may seem like a failure but No. 25 picks, on average, emerge as ‘fringe ‘
NHL players. Also, David Pastrnak is ranked as covering the bet, that
could improve if he blossoms as a scorer (he is a very promising 19-year
old).
Impressions: I would call
Chiarelli’s first-round draft record solid-to-good, with only one clear
fail. He received good value on the Pastrnak deal, Colborne is an NHL
regular—that has value—and Seguin plus Hamilton should have been
cornerstones for a decade or longer.
Chiarelli’s first-round draft record solid-to-good, with only one clear
fail. He received good value on the Pastrnak deal, Colborne is an NHL
regular—that has value—and Seguin plus Hamilton should have been
cornerstones for a decade or longer.
OUTSIDE THE FIRST ROUND
- F Ryan Spooner, No. 45 in 2010 (136gp, 21-57-78)
- G Michael Hutchinson, No. 77 in 2008 (71gp, 2.53 .912)
- D Zach Trotman, No. 210 in 2010 (67gp, 3-9-12)
- R Craig Cunningham, No. 97 in 2010 (63gp, 3-5-8)
- R Seth Griffith, No. 131 in 2012 (34gp, 6-5-11)
- R Tyler Randall, No. 176 in 2009 (27gp, 6-0-6)
- L Lane McDermid, No. 112 in 2009 (21gp, 2-2-4)
- C Alexander Khokhlachev, No. 40 in 2011 (9gp, 0-1-1)
- R Brian Ferlin, No. 121 in 2011 (7gp, 0-1-1)
- F Justin Florek, No. 135 in 2010 (4gp, 1-1-2)
- D Tommy Cross, No. 35 in 2007 (3gp, 0-1-1)
- C Maxime Sauve, No. 47 in 2008 (1gp, 0-0-0)
- R Jamie Arniel, No. 97 in 2008 (1gp, 0-0-0)
In
eight seasons (with the understanding that 2013 and 2014 are still
developing), Boston did not get a lot from the draft outside the first
round. Ryan Spooner is a solid young player, Michael Hutchinson has
developed into a legit NHL goalie, and who knows if any of these other
kids will end up playing.
eight seasons (with the understanding that 2013 and 2014 are still
developing), Boston did not get a lot from the draft outside the first
round. Ryan Spooner is a solid young player, Michael Hutchinson has
developed into a legit NHL goalie, and who knows if any of these other
kids will end up playing.
Using the six
seasons from 2007-2012 as a guideline (the 2012 draft was four years
ago), Boston draft picks played in 444 games. In the same years,
Edmonton’s picks—not considered a strong group by the fan base—have
played in 784 NHL games. Names from that draft set include Anton Lander,
Martin Marincin, Brandon Davidson, Tobias Rieder, Jujhar Khaira and
Erik Gustafsson.
seasons from 2007-2012 as a guideline (the 2012 draft was four years
ago), Boston draft picks played in 444 games. In the same years,
Edmonton’s picks—not considered a strong group by the fan base—have
played in 784 NHL games. Names from that draft set include Anton Lander,
Martin Marincin, Brandon Davidson, Tobias Rieder, Jujhar Khaira and
Erik Gustafsson.
CONCLUSIONS
I
think Boston received good value for their first-round picks and did
not do well outside the first round. However, it is also important to
point out that the Bruins were winning during this period, so prospects
were not only less important—established NHLers were ahead of them—the
Bruins were trading away picks at a fairly high rate during this time.
As an example, Boston had only five picks twice during this look at
their draft history, and traded their 2013 first-round selection for
Jaromir Jagr.
think Boston received good value for their first-round picks and did
not do well outside the first round. However, it is also important to
point out that the Bruins were winning during this period, so prospects
were not only less important—established NHLers were ahead of them—the
Bruins were trading away picks at a fairly high rate during this time.
As an example, Boston had only five picks twice during this look at
their draft history, and traded their 2013 first-round selection for
Jaromir Jagr.
In looking at the 2007-14 drafts, Boston had a total of 48 picks in eight
years—six per season. Edmonton? 61, or just over about eight per season.
Chiarelli’s track record is not terribly inspiring, but his Bruins were trying to win, not develop, during those years. If he can win as often in Edmonton
as he did in Boston, no one will be bitching about the draft.
years—six per season. Edmonton? 61, or just over about eight per season.
Chiarelli’s track record is not terribly inspiring, but his Bruins were trying to win, not develop, during those years. If he can win as often in Edmonton
as he did in Boston, no one will be bitching about the draft.
