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NHL Betting Preview (June 10): Oilers vs. Panthers Game 2 Odds

Photo credit: Bob Frid-USA TODAY Sports
Jun 10, 2024, 08:45 EDTUpdated: Jun 14, 2024, 12:24 EDT
The Florida Panthers broke the ice in the Stanley Cup Final with a win in Game 1, and they’re the moneyline favourite heading into Game 2. Let’s look at the odds and trends as the Edmonton Oilers try to even the series.
Oilers vs. Panthers Game 2 Odds
- Edmonton Oilers Moneyline Odds: +120
- Florida Panthers Moneyline Odds: -140
- Puck Line Odds: Panthers +1.5 (-220), Oilers -1.5 (+185)
- Game Total: 5.5 goals (over -110, under -110)
Stanley Cup Final Odds
Sports Interaction currently lists Edmonton as a 2/1 series underdog, while Florida has an implied chance of 71.43 percent with -250 series odds, and there’s a good reason for this. Since the NHL adopted a best-of-7 format in 1939, the team that wins Game 1 has gone on to win the Stanley Cup 71.1 percent of the time (64 out of 90 series). However, it’s worth noting that three teams (Washington, St. Louis, and Tampa Bay) have come back to win the Cup after losing Game 1 since 2018.
Check out Daily Faceoff to get updates regarding the line combinations and goaltenders for Game 2 of the Cup Final.
Handicapping the Oilers (12-7 SU, 7-12 ATS, 9-10 O/U)
Edmonton dropped Game 1 by a score of 3-0 despite outshooting the Panthers 32-18. Following the loss, McDavid told reporters, “Maybe it was the hockey gods getting us back for that Game 6 where we probably didn’t deserve to win,” referring to Game 6 of the Western Conference Final, when they set the record for the lowest shot total (10) in a playoff win in NHL history.
Edmonton dominated play in the first two periods, but unfortunately, they allowed a goal on the first shot of both frames. It was the fourth time this postseason that Stuart Skinner allowed a goal on the first shot faced in a game. However, the pairing of Darnell Nurse and Cody Ceci has taken a lot of the heat, and rightfully so. The Oilers have been outscored 4-12 with the pairing on the ice during 5-on-5 play. Nurse has been on the ice for at least one goal against in 14 out of the last 15 games.
High-danger shots were 13-6 for Edmonton at 5-on-5, but high-danger goals were 2-0 in favour of the Panthers, according to Natural Stat Trick. Shot attempts were 70-42 in favour of the Oilers, but the ice was especially tilted when their top pairing was on the ice. Evan Bouchard (16) and Mattias Ekholm (10) combined for 26 of the Oilers’ 70 shot attempts in Game 1, which was the most by either player in a single game this postseason.
It was also more than Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, Zach Hyman, and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins combined, but those four players still finished with more expected goals than Bouchard or Ekholm in the game, according to Evolving Hockey. Bouchard and Ekholm are great, and their offensive contributions are welcome, but you want to see players like McDavid, Draisaitl, and Hyman lead the way in terms of shots and chances.
Handicapping the Panthers(13-6 SU, 8-10 ATS, 7-11 O/U)
The legend of Playoff Bob grew on Saturday, with the Panthers clearly off their game. Sergei Bobrovsky stood tall, stopping all 32 shots in the biggest game of his career. It’s a performance that has many of us in Oilersnation feeling the pressure of the series deficit. However, what should make Edmonton nervous about the performance is that it has given the Panthers a chance to start over again with a 1-0 series lead.
Even though it’s unlikely that Bobrovsky will be able to shut the Oilers out again, the Panthers are probably going to play a lot better in Game 2. Florida ranks first in goal differential and second in shot differential this postseason, and performances as poor as their effort in Game 1 have been few and far between. It’s possible we see the Oilers control play against the Panthers in upcoming games, but Game 1 was probably Florida’s worst.
The Panthers managed just one shot on goal in four minutes of power play time. It marked the third game in a row that Florida failed to score on the power play. However, while the Oilers’ penalty kill has been great, they may have met their match. The Panthers managed to kill off all three Oilers’ power plays in the game and they have now killed off 35 of 37 since Game 5 of the first round. Florida has already faced off against three of the top-10 power plays from the regular season, so maybe they can shut down the best power play in the NHL.
Team Betting Trends
- The Panthers have gone 7-3 straight up at home this postseason, but just 3-7 against the puck line. Edmonton is 6-4 as the road team, and 2-2 as the underdog. Florida is 3-0 versus Edmonton this season.
- Edmonton is 6-4 straight up in its last 10 games, and 4-6 against the puck line. Florida is 7-3 in its last 10 games ,but just 2-8 versus the puck line.
- Since 2021, Games 1-4 are 60-46-2 (.555) to the over, according to Action Labs. The Oilers are 7-2-1 to the under in their last 10 games, while the Panthers are 9-1 to the under.
Player Prop Betting Trends
- Connor McDavid registered six shots in Game 1, marking the fifth time he’s had four or more shots on goal since the start of the Western Conference Final. McDavid has gone pointless in five of 14 games since the start of round two.
- Carter Verhaeghe now has four goals in his last 10 games and leads the Panthers. He’s also registered at least three shots in 12 out of 18 games this postseason. Verhaeghe leads the Panthers with 10 goals this postseason.
- Aleksander Barkov still owns the scoring lead for the Panthers after picking up two assists in Game 1. Barkov only has one goal in his last nine games, though.
- Sergei Bobrovsky has allowed two or fewer goals in eight out of ten home games this postseason. However, Game 1 was only the second time this postseason that he’s made 30 saves, and just the fourth time that the Panthers have allowed 30 or more shots on goal.
Best Bets for Oilersnation
- Leon Draisaitl has cooled off with just two goals in his last 10 games, but he’s always a threat. He’s registered three or more shots on goal in five out of his last eight games and 13 out of 19 games this postseason. Bettors can find a competitive -114 price on Draisaitl to register over 2.5 shots on goal at NorthStar Bets.
- Sam Bennett has registered at least one point in eight out of 11 games since returning from injury and he has scored six goals in his last 12 games. Bettors can bet on Bennett to score an anytime goal at +320 odds.
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